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We propose a computationally efficient method to construct nonparametric, heteroscedastic prediction bands for uncertainty quantification, with or without any user-specified predictive model. Our approach provides an alternative to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Tengyuan Liang

This paper makes several important contributions to the literature about nonparametric instrumental variables (NPIV) estimation and inference on a structural function $h_0$ and its functionals. First, we derive sup-norm convergence rates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy M. Christensen

We develop a novel method to construct uniformly valid confidence bands for a nonparametric component $f_1$ in the sparse additive model $Y=f_1(X_1)+\ldots + f_p(X_p) + \varepsilon$ in a high-dimensional setting. Our method integrates sieve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-24 Philipp Bach , Sven Klaassen , Jannis Kueck , Martin Spindler

This paper presents uniform estimation and inference theory for a large class of nonparametric partitioning-based M-estimators. The main theoretical results include: (i) uniform consistency for convex and non-convex objective functions;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Boris Shigida

We consider nonparametric regression in the context of functional data, that is, when a random sample of functions is observed on a fine grid. We obtain a functional asymptotic normality result allowing to build simultaneous confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 David A. Degras

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

We consider the estimation of a structural function which models a non-parametric relationship between a response and an endogenous regressor given an instrument in presence of dependence in the data generating process. Assuming an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

Adaptively collected data has become ubiquitous within modern practice. However, even seemingly benign adaptive sampling schemes can introduce severe biases, rendering traditional statistical inference tools inapplicable. This can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Wei Fan , Kevin Tan , Yuting Wei

We provide general adaptive upper bounds for estimating nonparametric functionals based on second order U-statistics arising from finite dimensional approximation of the infinite dimensional models. We then provide examples of functionals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Lin Liu , Rajarshi Mukherjee , James Robins , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

For nonparametric regression with one-sided errors and a boundary curve model for Poisson point processes we consider the problem of efficient estimation for linear functionals. The minimax optimal rate is obtained by an unbiased estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Markus Reiß , Leonie Selk

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

When the study variable is functional and storage capacities are limited or transmission costs are high, selecting with survey sampling techniques a small fraction of the observations is an interesting alternative to signal compression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Hervé Cardot , Camelia Goga , Pauline Lardin

This paper proposes and analyzes fully data driven methods for inference about the mean function of a stochastic process from a sample of independent trajectories of the process, observed at discrete time points and corrupted by additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-20 F. Bunea , M. H. Wegkamp , A. E. Ivanescu

This paper develops new tools to quantify uncertainty in optimal decision making and to gain insight into which variables one should collect information about given the potential cost of measuring a large number of variables. We investigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Yunan Wu , Lan Wang , Haoda Fu

In this paper, we construct the simultaneous confidence band (SCB) for the nonparametric component in partially linear panel data models with fixed effects. We remove the fixed effects, and further obtain the estimators of parametric and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Xiujuan Yang , Suigen Yang , Gaorong Li

We study sequential decision-making in batched nonparametric contextual bandits, where actions are selected over a finite horizon divided into a small number of batches. Motivated by constraints in domains such as medicine and marketing --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-04 Sakshi Arya

Quantifying uncertainty using confidence regions is a central goal of statistical inference. Despite this, methodologies for confidence bands in Functional Data Analysis are still underdeveloped compared to estimation and hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Dominik Liebl , Matthew Reimherr

Asymptotic uniform confidence bands are constructed for a multivariate nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic noise, employing histogram estimators under flexible partition conditions. The construction is especially applicable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Natalie Neumeyer , Jan Rabe , Mathias Trabs

Motivated by the pressing request of methods able to create prediction sets in a general regression framework for a multivariate functional response and pushed by new methodological advancements in non-parametric prediction for functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-04 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela
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