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Current practice in interpretable machine learning often focuses on explaining the final model trained from data, e.g., by using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method. The recently developed Shapley variable importance cloud…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Yilin Ning , Mingxuan Liu , Nan Liu

Data samples collected for training machine learning models are typically assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid). Recent research has demonstrated that this assumption can be problematic as it simplifies the manifold of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Kaixuan Zhang , Qinglong Wang , Xue Liu , C. Lee Giles

Predictions are the currency of a machine learning model, and to understand the model's behavior over segments of a dataset, or over time, is an important problem in machine learning research and practice. There currently is no systematic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Aalok Shanbhag , Avijit Ghosh , Josh Rubin

In causal inference, confounders are variables that influence both treatment decisions and outcomes. However, unlike as in randomized clinical trials, the treatment assignment mechanism in observational studies is not known, and it is thus…

This paper introduces the shapr R package, a versatile tool for generating Shapley value-based prediction explanations for machine learning and statistical regression models. Moreover, the shaprpy Python library brings the core capabilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Martin Jullum , Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Jon Lachmann , Annabelle Redelmeier

We provide an inferential framework to assess variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects. This assessment is especially useful in high-risk domains such as medicine, where decision makers hesitate to rely on black-box treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Pawel Morzywolek , Peter B. Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

Note that a newer expanded version of this paper is now available at: arXiv:1802.03888 It is critical in many applications to understand what features are important for a model, and why individual predictions were made. For tree ensemble…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Scott M. Lundberg , Su-In Lee

Measuring the value of individual samples is critical for many data-driven tasks, e.g., the training of a deep learning model. Recent literature witnesses the substantial efforts in developing data valuation methods. The primary data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Ou Wu , Weiyao Zhu , Mengyang Li

Predictive Business Process Monitoring is becoming an essential aid for organizations, providing online operational support of their processes. This paper tackles the fundamental problem of equipping predictive business process monitoring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Riccardo Galanti , Bernat Coma-Puig , Massimiliano de Leoni , Josep Carmona , Nicolò Navarin

We propose Group Shapley, a metric that extends the classical individual-level Shapley value framework to evaluate the importance of feature groups, addressing the structured nature of predictors commonly found in business and economic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-07 Jingyi Wang , Ying Chen , Paolo Giudici

A well-established insight in mortality forecasting is that combining predictions from a set of models improves accuracy compared to relying on a single best model. This paper proposes a novel ensemble approach based on Shapley values, a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-05 G. Bimonte , M. Russolillo , Y. Yang , H. L. Shang

In this paper the Shapley value of digraph (directed graph) games are considered. Digraph games are transferable utility (TU) games with limited cooperation among players, where players are represented by nodes. A restrictive relation…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-09 Krishna Khatri

Variable importance in regression analyses is of considerable interest in a variety of fields. There is no unique method for assessing variable importance. However, a substantial share of the available literature employs Shapley values,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Sinan Acemoglu , Christian Kleiber , Jörg Urban

Changes in input distribution can induce shifts in the average predictions of machine learning models. Such prediction shifts may impact downstream business outcomes (e.g. a bank's loan approval rate), so understanding their causes can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Tom Bewley , Salim I. Amoukou , Emanuele Albini , Saumitra Mishra , Manuela Veloso

Feature attribution for kernel methods is often heuristic and not individualised for each prediction. To address this, we turn to the concept of Shapley values~(SV), a coalition game theoretical framework that has previously been applied to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-27 Siu Lun Chau , Robert Hu , Javier Gonzalez , Dino Sejdinovic

Multimodal learning combines information from multiple data modalities to improve predictive performance. However, modalities often contribute unequally and in a data dependent way, making it unclear which data modalities are genuinely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Mathew Chandy , Michael Johnson , Judong Shen , Devan V. Mehrotra , Hua Zhou , Jin Zhou , Xiaowu Dai

This paper proposes a uniqueness Shapley measure to compare the extent to which different variables are able to identify a subject. Revealing the value of a variable on subject $t$ shrinks the set of possible subjects that $t$ could be. The…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-04 Benjamin B. Seiler , Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen

Numerous works propose post-hoc, model-agnostic explanations for learning to rank, focusing on ordering entities by their relevance to a query through feature attribution methods. However, these attributions often weakly correlate or…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Tanya Chowdhury , Yair Zick , James Allan

Recent publications have suggested using the Shapley value for anomaly localization for sensor data systems. Using a reasonable mathematical anomaly model for full control, experiments indicate that using a single fixed term in the Shapley…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Xubin Fang , Rick S. Blum , Franziska Freytag

This paper re-examines the Shapley value methods for attribution analysis in the area of online advertising. As a credit allocation solution in cooperative game theory, Shapley value method directly quantifies the contribution of online…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-17 Kaifeng Zhao , Seyed Hanif Mahboobi , Saeed R. Bagheri