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In this paper, we propose a novel hierarchical representation via message propagation (HRMP) method for robust model fitting, which simultaneously takes advantages of both the consensus analysis and the preference analysis to estimate the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Shuyuan Lin , Xing Wang , Guobao Xiao , Yan Yan , Hanzi Wang

High dimensional statistics deals with the challenge of extracting structured information from complex model settings. Compared with the growing number of frequentist methodologies, there are rather few theoretically optimal Bayes methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Chao Gao , Aad W. van der Vaart , Harrison H. Zhou

The use of improper priors in the context of Bayesian hierarchical linear mixed models has been studied under the assumption of normality of the random effects. We study the propriety of the posterior under more flexible distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 F. J. Rubio

Latent variable models are increasingly used in economics for high-dimensional categorical data like text and surveys. We demonstrate the effectiveness of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) with parallelized automatic differentiation for…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-04 Szymon Sacher , Laura Battaglia , Stephen Hansen

Bayesian nonparametric hierarchical priors are highly effective in providing flexible models for latent data structures exhibiting sharing of information within and across groups. In this work, we focus on latent feature allocation models,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Lancelot Fitzgerald James , Juho Lee , Abhinav Pandey

Bayesian hierarchical linear models provide a natural framework to analyze nested and clustered data. Classical estimation with Markov chain Monte Carlo produces well calibrated posterior distributions but becomes computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Cristian Parra-Aldana , Juan Sosa

Exploration of the intractable posterior distributions associated with Bayesian versions of the general linear mixed model is often performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo. In particular, if a conditionally conjugate prior is used, then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-03 Tavis Abrahamsen , James P. Hobert

Numerous methods for probabilistic reasoning in large, complex belief or decision networks are currently being developed. There has been little research on automating the dynamic, incremental construction of decision models. A uniform…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Soe-Tsyr Yuan

Bayesian hierarchical models have been demonstrated to provide efficient algorithms for finding sparse solutions to ill-posed inverse problems. The models comprise typically a conditionally Gaussian prior model for the unknown, augmented by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

In current clinical trial development, historical information is receiving more attention as it provides utility beyond sample size calculation. Meta-analytic-predictive (MAP) priors and robust MAP priors have been proposed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Yiwang Zhou , Ziqian Geng , Yihua Gu , Jian Kang , Li Wang , Xiaohong Huang , Elizabeth H. Slate

Model-based diagnosis reasons backwards from a functional schematic of a system to isolate faults given observations of anomalous behavior. We develop a fully probabilistic approach to model based diagnosis and extend it to support…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Sampath Srinivas

The hyperlink prediction task, that of proposing new links between webpages, can be used to improve search engines, expand the visibility of web pages, and increase the connectivity and navigability of the web. Hyperlink prediction is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Dario Garcia-Gasulla , Eduard Ayguadé , Jesús Labarta , Ulises Cortés , Toyotaro Suzumura

In the past few years, approximate Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have demonstrated the ability to produce statistically consistent posteriors on a wide range of inference problems at unprecedented speed and scale. However, any disconnect…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-24 Sebastian Wagner-Carena , Ji Won Park , Simon Birrer , Philip J. Marshall , Aaron Roodman , Risa H. Wechsler

While we are usually focused on forecasting future values of time series, it is often valuable to additionally predict their entire probability distributions, e.g. to evaluate risk, Monte Carlo simulations. On example of time series of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Jarek Duda

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms play an important role in statistical inference problems dealing with intractable probability distributions. Recently, many MCMC algorithms such as Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and Riemannian…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

It is well-known that the distribution over functions induced through a zero-mean iid prior distribution over the parameters of a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) converges to a Gaussian process (GP), under mild conditions. We extend this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Russell Tsuchida , Fred Roosta , Marcus Gallagher

In the literature, two series of models have been proposed to address prediction problems including classification and regression. Simple models, such as generalized linear models, have ordinary performance but strong interpretability on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Jingbo Shang , Meng Jiang , Wenzhu Tong , Jinfeng Xiao , Jian Peng , Jiawei Han

Recent technological advances have made it possible to simultaneously measure multiple protein activities at the single cell level. With such data collected under different stimulatory or inhibitory conditions, it is possible to infer the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-04 Ruiyan Luo , Hongyu Zhao

Higher-order relations are widespread in nature, with numerous phenomena involving complex interactions that extend beyond simple pairwise connections. As a result, advancements in higher-order processing can accelerate the growth of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Iulia Duta , Giulia Cassarà , Fabrizio Silvestri , Pietro Liò

The training of high-dimensional regression models on comparably sparse data is an important yet complicated topic, especially when there are many more model parameters than observations in the data. From a Bayesian perspective, inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner