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We consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with logistic competition in a regime of weak competition, or equivalently of a large carrying capacity. Individuals reproduce at random times independently of each other but…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Raphaël Forien

The paper considers the well-known Galton-Watson stochastic branching process. We are dealing with a non-critical case. In the subcritical case, when the mean of the direct descendants of one particle per generation of the time step is less…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Azam Imomov , Misliddin Murtazaev

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

We establish a variety of properties of the discrete time simple random walk on a Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive when the offspring distribution, $Z$ say, is in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-24 David A. Croydon , Takashi Kumagai

A decomposable strongly critical Galton-Watson branching process with $N$ types of particles labelled $1,2,...,N$ is considered in which a type~$i$ parent may produce individuals of types $j\geq i$ only. This model may be viewed as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-28 Vladimir Vatutin

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $% \zeta$, and $W$ be the limit of the normalized population size $Z_n/\mathbb{E%}(Z_n|\zeta)$. We show necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-13 Xingang Liang , Quansheng Liu

By introducing a new measure for the infinite Galton-Watson process and providing estimates for (discrete) Green's functions on trees, we establish the asymptotic behavior of the capacity of critical branching random walks: in high…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Tianyi Bai , Yijun Wan

We discuss various forms of convergence of the vicinity of a uniformly at random selected vertex in random simply generated trees, as the size tends to infinity. For the standard case of a critical Galton-Watson tree conditioned to be large…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Benedikt Stufler

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

We derive a complete left-tail asymptotic series for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of a Galton-Watson process with immigration. We show that the series converges everywhere, not only for small arguments. This is the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Anton A Kutsenko

The distribution of waiting times until the occurrence of a critical event is a crucial statistical problem across several disciplines in Science. In this work we present a statistical model in which a relevant quantity X accumulates until…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-12 Vivianne Olguín-Arias , Sergio Davis , Gonzalo Gutiérrez

The statistics of natural catastrophes contains very counter-intuitive results. Using earthquakes as a working example, we show that the energy radiated by such events follows a power-law or Pareto distribution. This means, in theory, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-04 Alvaro Corral , Francesc Font-Clos

Let $\tau$n be a random tree distributed as a Galton-Watson tree with geometric offspring distribution conditioned on {Zn = an} where Zn is the size of the n-th generation and (an, n $\in$ N *) is a deterministic positive sequence. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Romain Abraham , Aymen Bouaziz , Jean-François Delmas

The paper has four goals. First, we want to generalize the classical concept of the branching property so that it becomes applicable for historical and genealogical processes (using the coding of genealogies by ($V$-marked) ultrametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Andreas Greven , Thomas Rippl , Patric Karl Glöde

Consider a general branching process, a.k.a. Crump-Mode-Jagers process, generated by a perturbed random walk $\eta_1$, $\xi_1+\eta_2$, $\xi_1+\xi_2+\eta_3,\ldots$. Here, $(\xi_1,\eta_1)$, $(\xi_2, \eta_2),\ldots$ are independent identically…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Bohdan Rashytov

We consider quenched critical percolation on a supercritical Galton--Watson tree with either finite variance or $\alpha$-stable offspring tails for some $\alpha \in (1,2)$. We show that the GHP scaling limit of a quenched critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Eleanor Archer , Tanguy Lions

Consider an arbitrary large population at the present time, originated at an unspecified arbitrary large time in the past, where individuals in the same generation reproduce independently, forward in time, with the same offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Airam Blancas , Sandra Palau

For many stochastic diffusion processes with mean field interaction, convergence of the rescaled total mass processes towards a diffusion process is known. Here we show convergence of the so-called finite system scheme for interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Leif Doering , Achim Klenke , Leonid Mytnik

We provide a complete picture of the local convergence of critical or subcritical Galton-Watson tree conditioned on having a large number of individuals with out-degree in a given set. The generic case, where the limit is a random tree with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Romain Abraham , Jean-Francois Delmas

In this paper, we establish the necessary and sufficient criterion for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees (resp. random graphs) to exhibit the phase of extinction (resp. short survival). We prove that the survival threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Shankar Bhamidi , Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly
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