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The generalization performance of a risk prediction model can be evaluated by its calibration, which measures the agreement between predicted and observed outcomes on external validation data. Here, methods for assessing the calibration of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-31 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

This project was motivated by a dialysis study in northern Taiwan. Dialysis patients, after shunt implantation, may experience two types ("acute" or "non-acute") of shunt thrombosis, both of which may recur. We formulate the problem under…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-07 Bowen Li

I propose kernel ridge regression estimators for nonparametric dose response curves and semiparametric treatment effects in the setting where an analyst has access to a selected sample rather than a random sample; only for select…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-24 Rahul Singh

New methods and theory have recently been developed to nonparametrically estimate cumulative incidence functions for competing risks survival data subject to current status censoring. In particular, the limiting distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-12 Marloes H. Maathuis , Michael G. Hudgens

Conventional approaches to statistical inference preclude structures that facilitate incorporation of supplemental information acquired from similar circumstances. For example, the analysis of data obtained using perfusion computed…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-18 Thomas A. Murray , Brian P. Hobbs , Bradley P. Carlin

In order to anticipate rare and impactful events, we propose to quantify the worst-case risk under distributional ambiguity using a recent development in kernel methods -- the kernel mean embedding. Specifically, we formulate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Jia-Jie Zhu , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Moritz Diehl , Bernhard Schölkopf

In this paper we estimate the dynamic parameters of a time-varying coefficient model through radial kernel functions in the context of a longitudinal study. Our proposal is based on a linear combination of weighted kernel functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Juan Sosa , Lina Buitrago

Kundu and Gupta (2007, Metrika, 65, 159 - 170) provided the analysis of Type-I hybrid censored competing risks data, when the lifetime distribution of the competing causes of failures follow exponential distribution. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-18 Arnab Koley , D. Kundu , Ayon Ganguly

Classical penalized likelihood regression problems deal with the case that the independent variables data are known exactly. In practice, however, it is common to observe data with incomplete covariate information. We are concerned with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-04 Xiwen Ma , Bin Dai , Ronald Klein , Barbara E. K. Klein , Kristine E. Lee , Grace Wahba

Recent research has shown the potential for neural networks to improve upon classical survival models such as the Cox model, which is widely used in clinical practice. Neural networks, however, typically rely on data that are centrally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Dekai Zhang , Francesca Toni , Matthew Williams

We develop quantile regression models in order to derive risk margin and to evaluate capital in non-life insurance applications. By utilizing the entire range of conditional quantile functions, especially higher quantile levels, we detail…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-12 Alice X. D. Dong , Jennifer S. K. Chan , Gareth W. Peters

In this paper, we measure systematic risk with a new nonparametric factor model, the neural network factor model. The suitable factors for systematic risk can be naturally found by inserting daily returns on a wide range of assets into the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-14 Jeonggyu Huh

Survival models are a popular tool for the analysis of time to event data with applications in medicine, engineering, economics, and many more. Advances like the Cox proportional hazard model have enabled researchers to better describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Stefan Groha , Sebastian M Schmon , Alexander Gusev

We consider variable selection in competing risks regression for multi-center data. Our research is motivated by deceased donor kidney transplants, from which recipients would experience graft failure, death with functioning graft (DWFG),…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-20 Zhixuan Fu , Shuangge Ma , Haiqun Lin , Chirag R Parikh , Bingqing Zhou

This paper focuses on quantifying and estimating the predictive accuracy of prognostic models for time-to-event outcomes with competing events. We consider the time-dependent discrimination and calibration metrics, including the receiver…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-14 Cai Wu , Liang Li

In survival analysis, estimating the failure time distribution is an important and difficult task, since usually the data is subject to censoring. Specifically, in this paper we consider current status data, a type of data where all of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Yael Travis-Lumer , Yair Goldberg

Assessing the causal effect of time-varying exposures on recurrent event processes is challenging in the presence of a terminating event. Our objective is to estimate both the short-term and delayed marginal causal effects of exposures on…

This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Myung Hwan Seo

In this paper we introduce a mixture cure model with a linear hazard rate regression model for the event times. Cure models are statistical models for event times that take into account that a fraction of the population might never…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Emil Aas Stoltenberg

The cumulative incidence is the probability of failure from the cause of interest over a certain time period in the presence of other risks. A semiparametric regression model proposed by Fine and Gray (1999) has become the method of choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Lu Mao , D. Y. Lin