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Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

Interactions between humans give rise to complex social networks that are characterized by heterogeneous degree distribution, weight-topology relation, overlapping community structure, and dynamics of links. Understanding such networks is a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-16 Yohsuke Murase , Hang-Hyun Jo , János Török , János Kertész , Kimmo Kaski

Latent space models are effective tools for statistical modeling and exploration of network data. These models can effectively model real world network characteristics such as degree heterogeneity, transitivity, homophily, etc. Due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-21 Zhuang Ma , Zongming Ma

We present methodology for estimating the stochastic intensity of a doubly stochastic Poisson process. Statistical and theoretical analyses of traffic traces show that these processes are appropriate models of high intensity traffic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-24 Ruixin Wang , Prateek Jaiwal , Harsha Honnappa

Consider a network where all nodes are distributed on a unit square following a Poisson distribution with known density $\rho$ and a pair of nodes separated by an Euclidean distance $x$ are directly connected with probability…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-12-30 Guoqiang Mao , Brian DO Anderson

In this work, we introduce a new methodology for inferring the interaction structure of discrete valued time series which are Poisson distributed. While most related methods are premised on continuous state stochastic processes, in fact,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Jeremie Fish , Jie Sun , Erik Bollt

Although the $p_1$ model was proposed 40 years ago, little progress has been made to address asymptotic theories in this model, that is, neither consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) nor other parameter estimation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Qunqiang Feng , Yaru Tian , Ting Yan

Modeling networks can serve as a means of summarizing high-dimensional complex systems. Adapting an approach devised for dense, weighted networks, we propose a new method for generating and estimating unweighted networks. This approach can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-12 Benjamin Leinwand , Vince Lyzinski

We introduce a class of neural networks derived from probabilistic models in the form of Bayesian networks. By imposing additional assumptions about the nature of the probabilistic models represented in the networks, we derive neural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-04-30 Michael J. Barber , John W. Clark

In this paper, we adopt a latent variable method to formulate a network model with arbitrarily dependent structure. We assume that the latent variables follow a multivariate normal distribution and a link between two nodes forms if the sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Ting Yan

In this paper, we study the $SIS$ (susceptible-infected-susceptible) and $SIR$ (susceptible-infected-removed) epidemic models on undirected, weighted networks by deriving pairwise-type approximate models coupled with individual-based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-22 Prapanporn Rattana , Konstantin B. Blyuss , Ken T. D. Eames , Istvan Z. Kiss

Community structure is common in many real networks, with nodes clustered in groups sharing the same connections patterns. While many community detection methods have been developed for networks with binary edges, few of them are applicable…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Andressa Cerqueira , Elizaveta Levina

In wireless channels, the path loss exponent (PLE) has a strong impact on the quality of links, and hence, it needs to be accurately estimated for the efficient design and operation of wireless networks. In this paper, we address the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-01-24 Sunil Srinivasa , Martin Haenggi

Network data are increasingly common in the social sciences and infectious disease epidemiology. Analyses often link network structure to node-level covariates, but existing methods falter with sparse networks and high-dimensional node…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Emma G Crenshaw , Yuhua Zhang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The Ising model is a celebrated example of a Markov random field, introduced in statistical physics to model ferromagnetism. This is a discrete exponential family with binary outcomes, where the sufficient statistic involves a quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Somabha Mukherjee

We present a structured additive regression approach to model conditional densities given scalar covariates, where only samples of the conditional distributions are observed. This links our approach to distributional regression models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Eva-Maria Maier , Alexander Fottner , Sonja Greven , Almond Stöcker

For a sensor network, a tractable spatially-dependent node deployment model is presented with the property that the density is inversely proportional to the sink distance. A stochastic model is formulated to examine message advancements…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 H. Paul Keeler

We study the large-volume asymptotics of the sum of power-weighted edge lengths $\sum_{e \in E}|e|^\alpha$ in Poisson-based spatial random networks. In the regime $\alpha > d$, we provide a set of sufficient conditions under which the upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Christian Hirsch , Daniel Willhalm

This article develops a class of models called Sender/Receiver Finite Mixture Exponential Random Graph Models (SRFM-ERGMs) that enables inference on networks. This class of models extends the existing Exponential Random Graph Modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Teague R Henry , Kathleen M Gates , Mitchell J Prinstein , Douglas Steinley

The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang