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We simulate a spatial behavioral model of the diffusion of an infection to understand the role of geographic characteristics: the number and distribution of outbreaks, population size, density, and agents' movements. We show that several…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

We investigate an SIR model of epidemic propagation on networks in the context of mean-field games. In a real epidemic, individuals adjust their behavior depending on the epidemic level and the impact it might have on them in the future.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-27 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the livelihoods of people worldwide prompted the implementation of a range of preventive measures at local, national, and international levels. Early in the outbreak, before the vaccine became…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-03 Pranav Verma , Viney Kumar , Samit Bhattacharyya

In this paper, I study epidemic diffusion in a generalized spatial SEIRD model, where individuals are initially connected in a social or geographical network. As the virus spreads in the network, the structure of interactions between people…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-23 Giorgio Fagiolo

Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) continue to present a complex and costly challenge to public health programs. The preferences and social dynamics of a population can have a large impact on the course of an outbreak as well as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Michael A. L. Hayashi , Marisa C. Eisenberg

Understanding the effects of interventions, such as restrictions on community and large group gatherings, is critical to controlling the spread of COVID-19. Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models are traditionally used to forecast…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Andrew Giffin , Wenlong Gong , Suman Majumder , Ana G. Rappold , Brian J. Reich , Shu Yang

We introduce a new type of Mean Field Game epidemiological models, in which subpopulations have different behavioral patterns: some are viewed as "highly rational" (choosing Nash-equilibrium long-term strategies) while others follow…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-24 Finnegan Buckley , Alexander Vladimirsky

We introduce a model of the diffusion of an epidemic with demographically heterogeneous agents interacting socially on a spatially structured network. Contagion-risk averse agents respond behaviorally to the diffusion of the infections by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-13 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

Motivated by epidemics such as COVID-19, we study the spread of a contagious disease when behavior responds to the disease's prevalence. We extend the SIR epidemiological model to include endogenous meeting rates. Individuals benefit from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-25 Krishna Dasaratha

We consider the spread of infectious diseases through a Mean Field Game version of a SIR compartmental model with social structure, in which individuals are grouped by their age class and interact together in different settings. In our game…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-14 Louis Bremaud , Denis Ullmo

Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

In regard to infectious diseases socioeconomic determinants are strongly associated with differential exposure and susceptibility however they are seldom accounted for by standard compartmental infectious disease models. These associations…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-28 Alison C Hale , Jonathan M Read , Christopher P Jewell

In network-based SIS models of infectious disease transmission, infection can only occur between directly connected individuals. This constraint naturally gives rise to spatial correlations between the states of neighboring nodes, as the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-18 Alexander Leibenzon , Samuel W. S. Johnson , Ruth E. Baker , Michael Assaf

Contacts' temporal ordering and dynamics are crucial for understanding the transmission of infectious diseases. We introduce an interaction-driven model of an airborne disease over contact networks. We demonstrate our interaction-driven…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Alex Abbey , Yanir Marmor , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

The spreading of an infectious disease can trigger human behavior responses to the disease, which in turn plays a crucial role on the spreading of epidemic. In this study, to illustrate the impacts of the human behavioral responses, a new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Can Liu , Jia-Rong Xie , Han-Shuang Chen , Hai-Feng Zhang , Ming Tang

Individuals change their behavior during an epidemic in response to whether they and/or those they interact with are healthy or sick. Healthy individuals are concerned about contracting a disease from their sick contacts and may utilize…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Ceyhun Eksin , Jeff S. Shamma , Joshua S. Weitz

Social networks are an important infrastructure for information, viruses and innovations propagation. Since users behavior has influenced by other users activity, some groups of people would be made regard to similarity of users interests.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-30 Hamidreza Sotoodeh , Farshad Safaei , Arghavan Sanei , Elahe Daei
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