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Related papers: Rethinking Trajectory Forecasting Evaluation

200 papers

Future trajectories of neighboring traffic agents have a significant influence on the path planning and decision-making of autonomous vehicles. While trajectory forecasting is a well-studied field, research mainly focuses on snapshot-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Alexander Prutsch , David Schinagl , Horst Possegger

Efficient trajectory planning for urban intersections is currently one of the most challenging tasks for an Autonomous Vehicle (AV). Courteous behavior towards other traffic participants, the AV's comfort and its progression in the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Oliver Speidel , Maximilian Graf , Ankit Kaushik , Thanh Phan-Huu , Andreas Wedel , Klaus Dietmayer

To safely and efficiently navigate in complex urban traffic, autonomous vehicles must make responsible predictions in relation to surrounding traffic-agents (vehicles, bicycles, pedestrians, etc.). A challenging and critical task is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Yuexin Ma , Xinge Zhu , Sibo Zhang , Ruigang Yang , Wenping Wang , Dinesh Manocha

Real-time safety metrics are important for the automated driving system (ADS) to assess the risk of driving situations and to assist the decision-making. Although a number of real-time safety metrics have been proposed in the literature,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Xintao Yan , Shuo Feng , David J. LeBlanc , Carol Flannagan , Henry X. Liu

Trajectory prediction is a critical functionality of autonomous systems that share environments with uncontrolled agents, one prominent example being self-driving vehicles. Currently, most prediction methods do not enforce scene…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Yuxiao Chen , Boris Ivanovic , Marco Pavone

Human motion prediction is non-trivial in modern industrial settings. Accurate prediction of human motion can not only improve efficiency in human robot collaboration, but also enhance human safety in close proximity to robots. Among…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Weiye Zhao , Liting Sun , Changliu Liu , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Motion forecasting is crucial in enabling autonomous vehicles to anticipate the future trajectories of surrounding agents. To do so, it requires solving mapping, detection, tracking, and then forecasting problems, in a multi-step pipeline.…

It is desirable to predict the behavior of traffic participants conditioned on different planned trajectories of the autonomous vehicle. This allows the downstream planner to estimate the impact of its decisions. Recent approaches for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Julian Schmidt , Pascal Huissel , Julian Wiederer , Julian Jordan , Vasileios Belagiannis , Klaus Dietmayer

Human motion trajectory prediction, an essential task for autonomous systems in many domains, has been on the rise in recent years. With a multitude of new methods proposed by different communities, the lack of standardized benchmarks and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Andrey Rudenko , Luigi Palmieri , Wanting Huang , Achim J. Lilienthal , Kai O. Arras

Trajectory forecasting is critical for autonomous platforms to make safe planning and actions. Currently, most trajectory forecasting methods assume that object trajectories have been extracted and directly develop trajectory predictors…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Pu Zhang , Lei Bai , Jianru Xue , Jianwu Fang , Nanning Zheng , Wanli Ouyang

Self-driving vehicles rely on sensory input to monitor their surroundings and continuously adapt to the most likely future road course. Predictive trajectory planning is based on snapshots of the (uncertain) road course as a key input.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Benjamin Bogenberger , Johannes Bürger , Vladislav Nenchev

Current evaluation methods for autonomous driving prediction models rely heavily on simplistic metrics such as Average Displacement Error (ADE) and Final Displacement Error (FDE). While these metrics offer basic performance assessments,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Feifei Liu , Haozhe Wang , Zejun Wei , Qirong Lu , Yiyang Wen , Xiaoyu Tang , Jingyan Jiang , Zhijian He

Predicting future trajectories of nearby objects, especially under occlusion, is a crucial task in autonomous driving and safe robot navigation. Prior works typically neglect to maintain uncertainty about occluded objects and only predict…

This study provides a detailed analysis of current advancements in dynamic object tracking (DOT) and trajectory prediction (TP) methodologies, including their applications and challenges. It covers various approaches, such as feature-based,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Zhongping Dong , Liming Chen , Mohand Tahar Kechadi

Predicting a vehicle's trajectory is an essential ability for autonomous vehicles navigating through complex urban traffic scenes. Bird's-eye-view roadmap information provides valuable information for making trajectory predictions, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Ross Greer , Nachiket Deo , Mohan Trivedi

An open problem in autonomous driving research is modeling human driving behavior, which is needed for the planning component of the autonomy stack, safety validation through traffic simulation, and causal inference for generating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-15 Raunak P. Bhattacharyya , Kyle Brown , Juanran Wang , Katherine Driggs-Campbell , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Predicting the trajectories of surrounding agents is still considered one of the most challenging tasks for autonomous driving. In this paper, we introduce a multi-modal trajectory prediction framework based on the transformer network. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Zhenning Li , Hao Yu

Trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous vehicles. The planning system not only needs to know the current state of the surrounding objects but also their possible states in the future. As for vehicles, their trajectories are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Chenxu Luo , Lin Sun , Dariush Dabiri , Alan Yuille

Machine learning is about forecasting. When the forecasts come with an evaluation metric the forecasts become useful. What are reasonable evaluation metrics? How do existing evaluation metrics relate? In this work, we provide a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Rabanus Derr , Robert C. Williamson

Intelligent robots and machines are becoming pervasive in human populated environments. A desirable capability of these agents is to respond to goal-oriented commands by autonomously constructing task plans. However, such autonomy can add…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-04-14 Yu Zhang , Sarath Sreedharan , Anagha Kulkarni , Tathagata Chakraborti , Hankz Hankui Zhuo , Subbarao Kambhampati