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In this paper, we consider possibly misspecified stochastic differential equation models driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Regardless of whether the driving noise is Gaussian or not, Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimator can estimate unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Yuma Uehara

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

The combination of high-dimensionality and disparity of time scales encountered in many problems in computational physics has motivated the development of coarse-grained (CG) models. In this paper, we advocate the paradigm of data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-03-05 L. Felsberger , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

Understanding how systems evolve over time often requires discovering the differential equations that govern their behavior. Automatically learning these equations from experimental data is challenging when the data are noisy or limited,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-19 Oriol Cabanas-Tirapu , Sergio Cobo-Lopez , Savannah E. Sanchez , Forest L. Rohwer , Marta Sales-Pardo , Roger Guimerà

This paper enhances the classical Solow model of economic growth by integrating L\'evy noise, a type of non-Gaussian stochastic perturbation, to capture the inherent uncertainties in economic systems. The extended model examines the impact…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-03 Almaz Abebe , Shenglan Yuanb , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan

Nonlinear dynamical systems are sometimes under the influence of random fluctuations. It is desirable to examine possible bifurcations for stochastic dynamical systems when a parameter varies. A computational analysis is conducted to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Huiqin Chen , Jinqiao Duan , Chengjian Zhang

A theoretical approach for characterising the influence of asymmetry of noise distribution on the escape rate of a multi-stable system is presented. This was carried out via the estimation of an action, which is defined as an exponential…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2014-02-26 I. A. Khovanov , N. A. Khovanova

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

We describe a method to extract from experimental data the important dynamical modes in spatio-temporal patterns in a system driven out of thermodynamic equilibrium. Using a novel optical technique for controlling fluid flow, we create an…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2011-05-03 Adam C. Perkins , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

The recent availability of large databases allows to study macroscopic properties of many complex systems. However, inferring a model from a fit of empirical data without any knowledge of the dynamics might lead to erroneous interpretations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-31 Riccardo Gallotti , Armando Bazzani , Sandro Rambaldi , Marc Barthelemy

We present a numerical method for learning the dynamics of slow components of unknown multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. While the governing equations of the systems are unknown, bursts of observation data of the slow variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

We consider a nonlinear filtering problem of multiscale non-Gaussian signal processes and observation processes with jumps. Firstly, we prove that the dimension for the signal system can be reduced by a homogenized approach. Secondly,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Huijie Qiao

The L\'evy, jumping process, defined in terms of the jumping size distribution and the waiting time distribution, is considered. The jumping rate depends on the process value. The fractional diffusion equation, which contains the variable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-10 Tomasz Srokowski

This paper establishes a stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems governed by time-changed forward-backward stochastic differential equations with L\'evy noise. The system incorporates a random, non-decreasing operational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Jingwei Chen , Jun Ye , Feng Chen

Control barrier functions are widely used to synthesize safety-critical controls. However, the presence of Gaussian-type noise in dynamical systems can generate unbounded signals and potentially result in severe consequences. Although…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-21 Chuanzheng Wang , Yiming Meng , Jun Liu , Stephen Smith

This paper introduces a novel methodology for the identification of switching dynamics for switched autoregressive linear models. Switching behavior is assumed to follow a Markov model. The system's outputs are contaminated by possibly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-28 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa

We consider nonparametric statistical inference for L\'evy processes sampled irregularly, at low frequency. The estimation of the jump dynamics as well as the estimation of the distributional density are investigated. Non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-23 Johanna Kappus

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

We present a numerical method for learning unknown nonautonomous stochastic dynamical system, i.e., stochastic system subject to time dependent excitation or control signals. Our basic assumption is that the governing equations for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu
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