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Deploying an algorithmically informed policy is a significant intervention in the structure of society. As is increasingly acknowledged, predictive algorithms have performative effects: using them can shift the distribution of social…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Sebastian Zezulka , Konstantin Genin

The COVID-19 global pandemic and the lockdown policies enacted to mitigate it have had profound effects on the labour market. Understanding these effects requires us to obtain and analyse data in as close to real time as possible,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Rudy Arthur

While the estimation of risk is an important question in the daily business of banking and insurance, many existing plug-in estimation procedures suffer from an unnecessary bias. This often leads to the underestimation of risk and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-28 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

This paper analyzes the relation between bank profit performance and business models. Using a machine learning-based approach, we propose a methodological strategy in which balance sheet components' contributions to profitability are the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-24 F. Bolivar , Miguel A. Duran , A. Lozano-Vivas

Training data influence estimation methods quantify the contribution of training documents to a model's output, making them a promising source of information for example-based explanations. As humans cannot interpret thousands of documents,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Loris Schoenegger , Benjamin Roth

The electricity industry is heavily implementing smart grid technologies to improve reliability, availability, security, and efficiency. This implementation needs technological advancements, the development of standards and regulations, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Ankitha Nandipura Prasanna , Priscila Grecov , Angela Dieyu Weng , Christoph Bergmeir

Financial market risk forecasting involves applying mathematical models, historical data analysis and statistical methods to estimate the impact of future market movements on investments. This process is crucial for investors to develop…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Jinxin Xu , Kaixian Xu , Yue Wang , Qinyan Shen , Ruisi Li

An employer contracts with a worker to incentivize efforts whose productivity depends on ability; the worker then enters a market that pays him contingent on ability evaluation. With non-additive monitoring technology, the interdependence…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Tan Gan , Hongcheng Li

We test the international applicability of Friedman s famous plucking theory of the business cycle in 12 advanced economies between 1970 and 2021. We find that in countries where labour markets are flexible (Australia, Canada, United…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-05 Emanuel Kohlscheen , Richhild Moessner , Daniel Rees

Large language model (LLM) evaluation is increasingly costly, prompting interest in methods that speed up evaluation by shrinking benchmark datasets. Benchmark prediction (also called efficient LLM evaluation) aims to select a small subset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Guanhua Zhang , Florian E. Dorner , Moritz Hardt

While the {estimation} of risk is an important question in the daily business of banking and insurance, many existing plug-in estimation procedures suffer from an unnecessary bias. This often leads to the underestimation of risk and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-04 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

To enhance documentation and maintenance practices, developers conventionally establish links between related software artifacts manually. Empirical research has revealed that developers frequently overlook this practice, resulting in…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Maliheh Izadi , Pooya Rostami Mazrae , Tom Mens , Arie van Deursen

The statistical machine learning community has demonstrated considerable resourcefulness over the years in developing highly expressive tools for estimation, prediction, and inference. The bedrock assumptions underlying these developments…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Alnur Ali , Maxime Cauchois , John C. Duchi

Unlearning methods have the potential to improve the privacy and safety of large language models (LLMs) by removing sensitive or harmful information post hoc. The LLM unlearning research community has increasingly turned toward empirical…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Pratiksha Thaker , Shengyuan Hu , Neil Kale , Yash Maurya , Zhiwei Steven Wu , Virginia Smith

The current job survey shows that most software employees are planning to change their job role due to high pay for recent jobs such as data scientists, business analysts and artificial intelligence fields. The survey also indicated that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Swarajya lakshmi v papineni , A. Mallikarjuna Reddy , Sudeepti yarlagadda , Snigdha Yarlagadda , Haritha Akkinen

Development effort is an undeniable part of the project management which considerably influences the success of project. Inaccurate and unreliable estimation of effort can easily lead to the failure of project. Due to the special…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2012-09-13 Elham Khatibi , Roliana Ibrahim

As has long been known to computer scientists, the performance of probabilistic algorithms characterized by relatively large runtime fluctuations can be improved by applying a restart, i.e., episodic interruption of a randomized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-21 Dmitry Starkov , Sergey Belan

Outsourcing tasks to previously unknown parties is becoming more common. One specific such problem involves matching a set of workers to a set of tasks. Even if the latter have precise requirements, the quality of individual workers is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Philip Ekman , Sebastian Bellevik , Christos Dimitrakakis , Aristide Tossou

Large-scale black-box models have become ubiquitous across numerous applications. Understanding the influence of individual training data sources on predictions made by these models is crucial for improving their trustworthiness. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Myeongseob Ko , Feiyang Kang , Weiyan Shi , Ming Jin , Zhou Yu , Ruoxi Jia

We extend the exploration regarding dynamical approach of macroeconomic variables by tackling systematically expenditure using Statistical Physics models (for the first time to the best of our knowledge). Also, using polynomial distribution…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Elvis Oltean , Fedor Kusmartsev