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The importance of considering contextual probabilities in shaping response patterns within psychological testing is underscored, despite the ubiquitous nature of order effects discussed extensively in methodological literature. Drawing from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Andrea Bosco

Large-scale image retrieval benchmarks invariably consist of images from the Web. Many of these benchmarks are derived from online photo sharing networks, like Flickr, which in addition to hosting images also provide a highly interactive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-07-18 Julian McAuley , Jure Leskovec

Social influence cannot be identified from purely observational data on social networks, because such influence is generically confounded with latent homophily, i.e., with a node's network partners being informative about the node's…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Edward McFowland , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

In various situations one is given only the predictions of multiple classifiers over a large unlabeled test data. This scenario raises the following questions: Without any labeled data and without any a-priori knowledge about the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-31 Ariel Jaffe , Boaz Nadler , Yuval Kluger

We consider the problem of estimating how well a model class is capable of fitting a distribution of labeled data. We show that it is often possible to accurately estimate this "learnability" even when given an amount of data that is too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

We address tracking and prediction of multiple moving objects in visual data streams as inference and sampling in a disentangled latent state-space model. By encoding objects separately and including explicit position information in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Adnan Akhundov , Maximilian Soelch , Justin Bayer , Patrick van der Smagt

This paper discusses the fundamental principles of causal inference - the area of statistics that estimates the effect of specific occurrences, treatments, interventions, and exposures on a given outcome from experimental and observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-03 Francesca Dominici , Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Fabrizia Mealli

Understanding the temporal dependence of precipitation is key to improving weather predictability and developing efficient stochastic rainfall models. We introduce an information-theoretic approach to quantify memory effects in discrete…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-16 Juan De Gregorio , David Sánchez , Raúl Toral

Identifiability of discrete statistical models with latent variables is known to be challenging to study, yet crucial to a model's interpretability and reliability. This work presents a general algebraic technique to investigate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Yuqi Gu

The statistical problem of using an initial sample to estimate the number of species in a larger sample has found important applications in fields far removed from ecology. Here we address the general problem of estimating the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-16 Chao Deng , Timothy Daley , Peter Calabrese , Jie Ren , Andrew D. Smith

This paper is the second in a series of papers which combine graphical modelling and marked spatial point patterns. Extending the previous results of \cite Eckardt (2016a), we introduce a marked spatial dependence graph model which depicts…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-29 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu

Images of scenes have various objects as well as abundant attributes, and diverse levels of visual categorization are possible. A natural image could be assigned with fine-grained labels that describe major components, coarse-grained labels…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Hexiang Hu , Guang-Tong Zhou , Zhiwei Deng , Zicheng Liao , Greg Mori

Large-scale multiple testing tasks often exhibit dependence, and leveraging the dependence between individual tests is still one challenging and important problem in statistics. With recent advances in graphical models, it is feasible to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-19 Jie Liu , Chunming Zhang , Catherine McCarty , Peggy Peissig , Elizabeth Burnside , David Page

Model diagnostics and forecast evaluation are two sides of the same coin. A common principle is that fitted or predicted distributions ought to be calibrated or reliable, ideally in the sense of auto-calibration, where the outcome is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Tilmann Gneiting , Johannes Resin

This paper addresses the inference of spatial dependence in the context of a recently proposed framework. More specifically, the paper focuses on the estimation of model parameters for a class of generalized Gibbs random fields, i.e.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Samuel Elogne , Dionisis Hristopulos

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) comprise a powerful generative approach for modeling sequential data and time-series in general. However, the commonly employed assumption of the dependence of the current time frame to a single or multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis

In this paper, we derive copula-based and empirical dependency models (DMs) for simulating non-independent variables, and then propose a new way for determining the distribution of the model outputs conditional on every subset of inputs.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Matieyendou Lamboni

Statistical analysis is an important tool to distinguish systematic from chance findings. Current statistical analyses rely on distributional assumptions reflecting the structure of some underlying model, which if not met lead to problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

Spatial dependence, referring to the correlation between variable values observed at different geographic locations, is one of the most fundamental characteristics of spatial data. The presence of spatial dependence violates the classical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-23 Chuan Chen , Peng Luo

In public opinion studies, the relationships between opinions on different topics are likely to shift based on the characteristics of the respondents. Thus, understanding the complexities of public opinion requires methods that can account…