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This work will study an optimal control problem describing the two-strain SEIR epidemic model. The studied model is in the form of six nonlinear differential equations illustrating the dynamics of the susceptibles and the exposed, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-29 Karam Allali , Mouhamadou A. M. T. Balde , Babacar M. Ndiaye

This paper is concerned with the design of intermittent non-pharmaceutical strategies to mitigate the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic exploiting network epidemiological models. Specifically, by studying a variational equation for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-14 Marco Coraggio , Shihao Xie , Francesco De Lellis , Giovanni Russo , Mario di Bernardo

Contact tracing and quarantine programs have been one of the leading Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions against COVID-19. Some governments have relied on mandatory programs, whereas others embrace a voluntary approach. However, there is…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-13 Darija Barak , Edoardo Gallo , Alastair Langtry

Motivated by the issue of COVID-19 mitigation, in this work we tackle the general problem of optimally controlling an epidemic outbreak of a communicable disease structured by time since exposure, by the aid of two types of control…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-13 Alberto d'Onofrio , Mimmo Iannelli , Piero Manfredi , Gabriela Marinoschi

Although modeling studies are focused on the control of SIR-based systems describing epidemic data sets (particularly the COVID-19), few of them present a formal dynamic characterization in terms of equilibrium sets and stability. Such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-03 A. H. González , A. L. Anderson , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas

This article considers the optimal control of the SIR model with both transmission and treatment uncertainty. It follows the model presented in Gatto and Schellhorn (2021). We make four significant improvements on the latter paper. First,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Yujia Ding , Henry Schellhorn

COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11th, 2020. With half of the world's countries in lockdown as of April due to this pandemic, monitoring and understanding the spread of the virus and infection…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Kelvin K. F. Li , Stephen A. Jarvis , Fayyaz Minhas

After the first lockdown in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, many countries faced difficulties in balancing infection control with economics. Due to limited prior knowledge, economists began researching this issue using cost-benefit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-19 Tsuyoshi Hondou

Health policy decisions regarding patient treatment strategies require consideration of both treatment effectiveness and cost. Optimizing treatment rules with respect to effectiveness may result in prohibitively expensive strategies; on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-20 Nicholas Illenberger , Andrew J. Spieker , Nandita Mitra

The main focus of this chapter is on public health control strategies which are currently the main way to mitigate COVID-19 pandemic. We introduce and compare compartmental models of increasing complexity for COVID-19 transmission to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-14 Redouane Qesmi , Aayah Hammoumi

In this paper, we consider an optimal distributed control problem for a reaction-diffusion-based SIR epidemic model with human behavioral effects. We develop a model wherein non-pharmaceutical intervention methods are implemented, but a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Marcelo Bongarti , Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

In this paper, we provide insights on how much testing and social distancing is required to control COVID-19. To this end, we develop a compartmental model that accounts for key aspects of the disease: 1) incubation time, 2) age-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Sara Grundel , Stefan Heyder , Thomas Hotz , Tobias K. S. Ritschel , Philipp Sauerteig , Karl Worthmann

The COVID-19 pandemic constitutes one of the largest threats in recent decades to the health and economic welfare of populations globally. In this paper, we analyze different types of policy measures designed to fight the spread of the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-03 Philipp Bach , Victor Chernozhukov , Martin Spindler

Successful predictive modeling of epidemics requires an understanding of the implicit feedback control strategies which are implemented by populations to modulate the spread of contagion. While this task of capturing endogenous behavior can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-31 Ali Jadbabaie , Arnab Sarker , Devavrat Shah

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

Pandemics can bring a range of devastating consequences to public health and the world economy. Identifying the most effective control strategies has been the imperative task all around the world. Various public health control strategies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-29 Zhe Xu , Xiaoming Duan

We design and analyze a multi-level game-theoretic model of hierarchical policy interventions for epidemic control, such as those in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our model captures the potentially mismatched priorities among a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Feiran Jia , Aditya Mate , Zun Li , Shahin Jabbari , Mithun Chakraborty , Milind Tambe , Michael Wellman , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Several models have been developed to predict how the COVID-19 pandemic spreads, and how it could be contained with non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as social distancing restrictions and school and business closures. This paper…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Risto Miikkulainen , Olivier Francon , Elliot Meyerson , Xin Qiu , Elisa Canzani , Babak Hodjat

Many countries have experienced at least two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic. The second wave is far more dangerous as distinct strains appear more harmful to human health, but it stems from the complacency about the first wave. This paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-29 Edilson F. Arruda , Tarun Sharma , Rodrigo e A. Alexandre , Sinnu Susan Thomas

We consider an optimal control problem for a non-autonomous model of ODEs that describes the evolution of the number of customers in some firm. Namely we study the best marketing strategy. Considering a $L^2$ cost functional, we establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-16 S. Rosa , P. Rebelo , C. M. Silva , H. Alves , P. G. Carvalho