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Recent work has focused on the problem of conducting linear regression when the number of covariates is very large, potentially greater than the sample size. To facilitate this, one useful tool is to assume that the model can be well…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-21 Zhou Fang

Standard penalized methods of variable selection and parameter estimation rely on the magnitude of coefficient estimates to decide which variables to include in the final model. However, coefficient estimates are unreliable when the design…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jonathan P Williams , Jan Hannig

Recent work has shown that models trained to the same objective, and which achieve similar measures of accuracy on consistent test data, may nonetheless behave very differently on individual predictions. This inconsistency is undesirable in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Emily Black , Klas Leino , Matt Fredrikson

Traditional machine learning methods usually minimize a simple loss function to learn a predictive model, and then use a complex performance measure to measure the prediction performance. However, minimizing a simple loss function cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-19 Ning Zhang , Prathamesh Chandrasekar

Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

Conformal predictors, introduced by Vovk et al. (2005), serve to build prediction intervals by exploiting a notion of conformity of the new data point with previously observed data. In the present paper, we propose a novel method for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-12 Mohamed Hebiri

We consider the estimation of a sparse factor model where the factor loading matrix is assumed sparse. The estimation problem is reformulated as a penalized M-estimation criterion, while the restrictions for identifying the factor loading…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Benjamin Poignard , Yoshikazu Terada

Imprecise probability is concerned with uncertainty about which probability distributions to use. It has applications in robust statistics and machine learning. We look at programming language models for imprecise probability. Our…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Jack Liell-Cock , Sam Staton

Selective prediction [Dru13, QV19] models the scenario where a forecaster freely decides on the prediction window that their forecast spans. Many data statistics can be predicted to a non-trivial error rate without any distributional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Licheng Liu , Mingda Qiao

Composition methodologies in the current literature are mainly to promote estimation efficiency via direct composition, either, of initial estimators or of objective functions. In this paper, composite estimation is investigated for both…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-31 Lu Lin , Feng Li , Kangning Wang , Lixing Zhu

In high-dimensional model selection problems, penalized simple least-square approaches have been extensively used. This paper addresses the question of both robustness and efficiency of penalized model selection methods, and proposes a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-06 Jelena Bradic , Jianqing Fan , Weiwei Wang

Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to stabilize estimations for one or more population variables of interest that are performed using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective sample size.…

Gibbs random fields play an important role in statistics, however, the resulting likelihood is typically unavailable due to an intractable normalizing constant. Composite likelihoods offer a principled means to construct useful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Julien Stoehr , Nial Friel

Covariance selection seeks to estimate a covariance matrix by maximum likelihood while restricting the number of nonzero inverse covariance matrix coefficients. A single penalty parameter usually controls the tradeoff between log likelihood…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Vijay Krishnamurthy , Alexandre d'Aspremont

The problem of constructing confidence sets in the high-dimensional linear model with $n$ response variables and $p$ parameters, possibly $p\ge n$, is considered. Full honest adaptive inference is possible if the rate of sparse estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Richard Nickl , Sara van de Geer

Sparse modelling or model selection with categorical data is challenging even for a moderate number of variables, because one parameter is roughly needed to encode one category or level. The Group Lasso is a well known efficient algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Szymon Nowakowski , Piotr Pokarowski , Wojciech Rejchel , Agnieszka Sołtys

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

In many applications, data cluster. Failing to take the cluster structure into consideration generally leads to underestimated variances of point estimators and inflated type I errors in hypothesis tests. Many circumstance-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Jiahua Chen , Pengfei Li , Yukun Liu , James V. Zidek

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera

Sparse estimation methods are aimed at using or obtaining parsimonious representations of data or models. While naturally cast as a combinatorial optimization problem, variable or feature selection admits a convex relaxation through the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-04-23 Francis Bach , Rodolphe Jenatton , Julien Mairal , Guillaume Obozinski