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In multiple testing several criteria to control for type I errors exist. The false discovery rate, which evaluates the expected proportion of false discoveries among the rejected null hypotheses, has become the standard approach in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez

We study a statistical framework for replicability based on a recently proposed quantitative measure of replication success, the sceptical $p$-value. A recalibration is proposed to obtain exact overall Type-I error control if the effect is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Charlotte Micheloud , Fadoua Balabdaoui , Leonhard Held

Statistical significance of both the original and the replication study is a commonly used criterion to assess replication attempts, also known as the two-trials rule in drug development. However, replication studies are sometimes conducted…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-31 Leonhard Held , Samuel Pawel , Charlotte Micheloud

Verifying that a statistically significant result is scientifically meaningful is not only good scientific practice, it is a natural way to control the Type I error rate. Here we introduce a novel extension of the p-value - a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Jeffrey D. Blume , Lucy DAgostino McGowan , William D. Dupont , Robert A. Greevy

In clinical studies upon which decisions are based there are two types of errors that can be made: a type I error arises when the decision is taken to declare a positive outcome when the truth is in fact negative, and a type II error arises…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Andrew P Grieve

The indirect effect of an exposure on an outcome through an intermediate variable can be identified by a product of two regression coefficients under certain causal and regression modeling assumptions. In this context, the null hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Caleb H. Miles , Antoine Chambaz

We consider statistical hypothesis testing simultaneously over a fairly general, possibly uncountably infinite, set of null hypotheses, under the assumption that a suitable single test (and corresponding $p$-value) is known for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-10 Gilles Blanchard , Sylvain Delattre , Etienne Roquain

This research deals with massive multiple hypothesis testing. First regarding multiple tests as an estimation problem under a proper population model, an error measurement called Erroneous Rejection Ratio (ERR) is introduced and related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cheng Cheng

There is a well-known problem in Null Hypothesis Significance Testing: many statistically significant results fail to replicate in subsequent experiments. We show that this problem arises because standard `point-form null' significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

P-hacking is prevalent in reality but absent from classical hypothesis testing theory. As a consequence, significant results are much more common than they are supposed to be when the null hypothesis is in fact true. In this paper, we build…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-09 Adam McCloskey , Pascal Michaillat

Testing to see whether a given data set comes from some specified distribution is among the oldest types of problems in Statistics. Many such tests have been developed and their performance studied. The general result has been that while a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-07 Wolfgang Rolke

Hybrid clinical trials, that borrow real-world data (RWD), are gaining interest, especially for rare diseases. They assume RWD and randomized control arm be exchangeable, but violations can bias results, inflate type I error, or reduce…

Large-scale replication studies like the Reproducibility Project: Psychology (RP:P) provide invaluable systematic data on scientific replicability, but most analyses and interpretations of the data fail to agree on the definition of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Kenneth Hung , William Fithian

Assigning significance in high-dimensional regression is challenging. Most computationally efficient selection algorithms cannot guard against inclusion of noise variables. Asymptotically valid p-values are not available. An exception is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-12 Nicolai Meinshausen , Lukas Meier , Peter Bühlmann

Large-scale multiple testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional statistical inference. It is increasingly common that various types of auxiliary information, reflecting the structural relationship among the hypotheses, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Hongyuan Cao , Jun Chen , Xianyang Zhang

The two-trials rule in drug regulation requires statistically significant results from two pivotal trials to demonstrate efficacy. However, it is unclear how the effect estimates from both trials should be combined to quantify the drug…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Samuel Pawel , Małgorzata Roos , Leonhard Held

We analyze theoretical properties of the hybrid test for superior predictability. We demonstrate with a simple example that the test may not be pointwise asymptotically of level $\alpha$ at commonly used significance levels and may lead to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-13 Deborah Kim

We propose a method for constructing p-values for general hypotheses in a high-dimensional linear model. The hypotheses can be local for testing a single regression parameter or they may be more global involving several up to all…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-14 Peter Bühlmann

In modern high-throughput data analysis, researchers perform a large number of statistical tests, expecting to find perhaps a small fraction of significant effects against a predominantly null background. Higher Criticism (HC) was…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 David Donoho , Jiashun Jin

The partial conjunction null hypothesis is tested in order to discover a signal that is present in multiple studies. The standard approach of carrying out a multiple test procedure on the partial conjunction (PC) $p$-values can be extremely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Thorsten Dickhaus , Ruth Heller , Anh-Tuan Hoang , Yosef Rinott
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