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The research described herewith investigates detecting change points of means and of variances in a sequence of observations. The number of change points can be divergent at certain rate as the sample size goes to infinity. We define a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-04 Wenbiao Zhao , Xuehu Zhu , Lixing Zhu

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely used for regression and system identification due to their flexibility and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, their computational complexity limits their applicability to small datasets. Moreover…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Thore Wietzke , Knut Graichen

The increasing pervasiveness of object tracking technologies leads to huge volumes of spatiotemporal data collected in the form of trajectory streams. The discovery of useful group patterns from moving objects' movement behaviours in…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Yanwei Yu , Ruoshan Lan , Lei Cao , Peng Song , Yingjie Wang

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

Models trained on data composed of different groups or domains can suffer from severe performance degradation under distribution shifts. While recent methods have largely focused on optimizing the worst-group objective, this often comes at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Hoang Phan , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Qi Lei

Accurately modeling power distribution grids is crucial for designing effective monitoring and decision making algorithms. This paper addresses the partial observability issue of data-driven distribution modeling in order to improve the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-08 Shanny Lin , Hao Zhu

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi

We propose a framework for online Change Point Detection (CPD) from multi-entity, multivariate time series data, motivated by applications in crowd monitoring where traditional sensing methods (e.g., video surveillance) may be infeasible.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-24 Bahar Kor , Bipin Gaikwad , Abani Patra , Eric L. Miller

We prove for the first time that, if a linear inverse problem exhibits a group symmetry structure, gradient-based optimizers can be designed to exploit this structure for faster convergence rates. This theoretical finding demonstrates the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Junqi Tang , Guixian Xu

A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

Massive device connectivity is a crucial communication challenge for Internet of Things (IoT) networks, which consist of a large number of devices with sporadic traffic. In each coherence block, the serving base station needs to identify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Tao Jiang , Yuanming Shi , Jun Zhang , Khaled B. Letaief

Low discrepancy point sets have been widely used as a tool to approximate continuous objects by discrete ones in numerical processes, for example in numerical integration. Following a century of research on the topic, it is still unclear…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-07-17 François Clément , Carola Doerr , Kathrin Klamroth , Luís Paquete

We study the detection of a sparse change in a high-dimensional mean vector as a minimax testing problem. Our first main contribution is to derive the exact minimax testing rate across all parameter regimes for $n$ independent, $p$-variate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Haoyang Liu , Chao Gao , Richard J. Samworth

This paper describes and compares several prominent single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data. Due to their importance in inferential matters, changepoint research on correlated data has accelerated recently.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Xueheng Shi , Colin Gallagher , Robert Lund , Rebecca Killick

Interactions among people or objects are often dynamic in nature and can be represented as a sequence of networks, each providing a snapshot of the interactions over a brief period of time. An important task in analyzing such evolving…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

We propose an algorithm for simultaneously detecting and locating changepoints in a time series, and a framework for predicting the distribution of the next point in the series. The kernel of the algorithm is a system of equations that…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-09 Allen B. Downey

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-19 Yang Cao , Yao Xie , Nagi Gebraeel

Motivated by a condition monitoring application arising from subsea engineering we derive a novel, scalable approach to detecting anomalous mean structure in a subset of correlated multivariate time series. Given the need to analyse such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Martin Tveten , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

We consider detecting change points in the correlation structure of streaming data with minimum assumptions posed on the underlying data distribution. Detection statistics are constructed for dense and sparse change settings, based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Jie Gao , Liyan Xie , Zhaoyuan Li