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The ability to construct a realistic simulator of financial exchanges, including reproducing the dynamics of the limit order book, can give insight into many counterfactual scenarios, such as a flash crash, a margin call, or changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Namid R. Stillman , Rory Baggott , Justin Lyon , Jianfei Zhang , Dingqiu Zhu , Tao Chen , Perukrishnen Vytelingum

We provide a method to solve optimization problem when objective function is a complex stochastic simulator of an urban transportation system. To reach this goal, a Bayesian optimization framework is introduced. We show how the choice of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-15 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov

Variational representations of divergences and distances between high-dimensional probability distributions offer significant theoretical insights and practical advantages in numerous research areas. Recently, they have gained popularity in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis

The simulation of complex stochastic network dynamics arising, for instance, from models of coupled biomolecular processes remains computationally challenging. Often, the necessity to scan a models' dynamics over a large parameter space…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-14 Tiago Ramalho , Marco Selig , Ulrich Gerland , Torsten A. Enßlin

In scheduling problems, deterministic task durations are often assumed. This usually does not capture reality and may lead to schedules that are not robust to (small) changes to these task lengths. The use of stochastic task durations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Philip de Bruin , Bram Elderhorst , Marjan van den Akker , Han Hoogeveen

For the formal verification and design of control systems, abstractions with quantified accuracy are crucial. This is especially the case when considering accurate deviation bounds between a stochastic continuous-state model and its finite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 B. C. van Huijgevoort , S. Haesaert

This paper introduces the notion of stochastic simulation-gap function, which formally quantifies the gap between an approximate mathematical model and a high-fidelity stochastic simulator. Since controllers designed for the mathematical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 P Sangeerth , Abolfazl Lavaei , Pushpak Jagtap

Metamodeling of complex numerical systems has recently attracted the interest of the mathematical programming community. Despite the progress in high performance computing, simulations remain costly, as a matter of fact, the assessment of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-11-13 Soumaya Azzi , Yuanyuan Huang , Bruno Sudret , Joe Wiart

Even though the computation of local properties, such as densities or radial distribution functions, remains one of the most standard goals of molecular simulation, it still largely relies on straighforward histogram-based strategies. Here…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 Benjamin Rotenberg

Forecast systems in science and technology are increasingly moving beyond point prediction toward methods that produce full predictive distributions of future outcomes y, conditional on high-dimensional and complex sequences of inputs x.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Elizabeth Cucuzzella , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

Stochastic approximation algorithm is a useful technique which has been exploited successfully in probability theory and statistics for a long time. The step sizes used in stochastic approximation are generally taken to be deterministic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Krishanu Maulik

The mathematical models used to represent physical phenomena are generally known to be imperfect representations of reality. Model inadequacies arise for numerous reasons, such as incomplete knowledge of the phenomena or computational…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Teresa Portone , Damon McDougall , Robert D. Moser

Optimal Transport is a theory that allows to define geometrical notions of distance between probability distributions and to find correspondences, relationships, between sets of points. Many machine learning applications are derived from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-10 Titouan Vayer

Simulation is one of the most powerful tools we have for evaluating the performance of Opportunistic Networks. In this survey, we focus on available tools and models, compare their performance and precision and experimentally show the…

Two-stage stochastic optimization is a framework for modeling uncertainty, where we have a probability distribution over possible realizations of the data, called scenarios, and decisions are taken in two stages: we make first-stage…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Andre Linhares , Chaitanya Swamy

This article gives an introduction to optimal transport, a mathematical theory that makes it possible to measure distances between functions (or distances between more general objects), to interpolate between objects or to enforce…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Bruno Levy , Erica Schwindt

Simulation has become a standard tool in statistics because it may be the only tool available for analysing some classes of probabilistic models. We review in this paper simulation tools that have been specifically derived to address…

Computation · Statistics 2011-05-25 Christian P. Robert

Optimal transport (OT) is a popular tool in machine learning to compare probability measures geometrically, but it comes with substantial computational burden. Linear programming algorithms for computing OT distances scale cubically in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Gaspard Beugnot , Aude Genevay , Kristjan Greenewald , Justin Solomon

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

Modern signal processing (SP) methods rely very heavily on probability and statistics to solve challenging SP problems. SP methods are now expected to deal with ever more complex models, requiring ever more sophisticated computational…