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When facing uncertainty, decision-makers want predictions they can trust. A machine learning provider can convey confidence to decision-makers by guaranteeing their predictions are distribution calibrated -- amongst the inputs that receive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-14 Shengjia Zhao , Michael P. Kim , Roshni Sahoo , Tengyu Ma , Stefano Ermon

This paper presents a comprehensive empirical analysis of conformal prediction methods on a challenging aerial image dataset featuring diverse events in unconstrained environments. Conformal prediction is a powerful post-hoc technique that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki

Deep learning models suffer from catastrophic forgetting when learning new tasks incrementally. Incremental learning has been proposed to retain the knowledge of old classes while learning to identify new classes. A typical approach is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Huitong Chen , Yu Wang , Qinghua Hu

We implemented several multilabel classification algorithms in the machine learning package mlr. The implemented methods are binary relevance, classifier chains, nested stacking, dependent binary relevance and stacking, which can be used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-09 Philipp Probst , Quay Au , Giuseppe Casalicchio , Clemens Stachl , Bernd Bischl

Calibration is commonly evaluated by comparing model confidence with its empirical correctness, implicitly treating reliability as a function of the confidence score alone. However, this view can hide substantial structure: models may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Katarzyna Kobalczyk , Mihaela van der Schaar

Probabilistic classifiers are central for making informed decisions under uncertainty. Based on the maximum expected utility principle, optimal decision rules can be derived using the posterior class probabilities and misclassification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Gael Varoquaux , Sanmi Koyejo , Matthieu Doutreligne , Marine Le Morvan

Providing reliable model uncertainty estimates is imperative to enabling robust decision making by autonomous agents and humans alike. While recently there have been significant advances in confidence calibration for trained models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Sooyong Jang , Insup Lee , James Weimer

Most classifiers operate by selecting the maximum of an estimate of the conditional distribution $p(y|x)$ where $x$ stands for the features of the instance to be classified and $y$ denotes its label. This often results in a {\em hubristic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 Yotam Hechtlinger , Barnabás Póczos , Larry Wasserman

Multi-label classification (MLC) is a supervised learning problem in which, contrary to standard multiclass classification, an instance can be associated with several class labels simultaneously. In this chapter, we advocate a rule-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz , Eyke Hüllermeier , Michael Rapp

Unbiased confidence estimates of neural networks are crucial especially for safety-critical applications. Many methods have been developed to calibrate biased confidence estimates. Though there is a variety of methods for classification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Fabian Küppers , Jan Kronenberger , Amirhossein Shantia , Anselm Haselhoff

For semantic segmentation, label probabilities are often uncalibrated as they are typically only the by-product of a segmentation task. Intersection over Union (IoU) and Dice score are often used as criteria for segmentation success, while…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Zhipeng Ding , Xu Han , Peirong Liu , Marc Niethammer

We develop a new approach to multi-label conformal prediction in which we aim to output a precise set of promising prediction candidates with a bounded number of incorrect answers. Standard conformal prediction provides the ability to adapt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Multi-class classification problems are fundamental in many varied domains in research and industry. To solve multi-class classification problems, heuristic strategies such as One-vs-One or One-vs-All can be employed. However, these…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-06 S M Pillay , I Sinayskiy , E Jembere , F Petruccione

Top-k error is currently a popular performance measure on large scale image classification benchmarks such as ImageNet and Places. Despite its wide acceptance, our understanding of this metric is limited as most of the previous research is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-19 Maksim Lapin , Matthias Hein , Bernt Schiele

We study binary classification in the setting where the learner is presented with multiple corrupted training samples, with possibly different sample sizes and degrees of corruption, and introduce an approach based on minimizing a weighted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-11 Clayton Scott , Jianxin Zhang

State-of-the-art semi-supervised learning (SSL) approaches rely on highly confident predictions to serve as pseudo-labels that guide the training on unlabeled samples. An inherent drawback of this strategy stems from the quality of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Shambhavi Mishra , Balamurali Murugesan , Ismail Ben Ayed , Marco Pedersoli , Jose Dolz

Variational mutual information (MI) estimators are widely used in unsupervised representation learning methods such as contrastive predictive coding (CPC). A lower bound on MI can be obtained from a multi-class classification problem, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Jiaming Song , Stefano Ermon

The prediction reliability of neural networks is important in many applications. Specifically, in safety-critical domains, such as cancer prediction or autonomous driving, a reliable confidence of model's prediction is critical for the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Byeongmoon Ji , Hyemin Jung , Jihyeun Yoon , Kyungyul Kim , Younghak Shin

Multi-label classification (MC) is a standard machine learning problem in which a data point can be associated with a set of classes. A more challenging scenario is given by hierarchical multi-label classification (HMC) problems, in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Eleonora Giunchiglia , Thomas Lukasiewicz

We conduct an extensive study on the state of calibration under real-world dataset shift for image classification. Our work provides important insights on the choice of post-hoc and in-training calibration techniques, and yields practical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Mélanie Roschewitz , Raghav Mehta , Fabio de Sousa Ribeiro , Ben Glocker