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Predictions are often probabilities; e.g., a prediction could be for precipitation tomorrow, but with only a 30% chance. Given such probabilistic predictions together with the actual outcomes, "reliability diagrams" help detect and diagnose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Imanol Arrieta-Ibarra , Paman Gujral , Jonathan Tannen , Mark Tygert , Cherie Xu

The problem of signal detection using sparse, faint information is closely related to a variety of contemporary statistical problems, including the control of false-discovery rate, and classification using very high-dimensional data. Each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Peter Hall , Jiashun Jin

The present generation of weak lensing surveys will be superseded by surveys run from space with much better sky coverage and high level of signal to noise ratio, such as SNAP. However, removal of any systematics or noise will remain a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Dipak Munshi , Patrick Valageas

A popular approach for testing if two univariate random variables are statistically independent consists of partitioning the sample space into bins, and evaluating a test statistic on the binned data. The partition size matters, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-28 Ruth Heller , Yair Heller , Shachar Kaufman , Barak Brill , Malka Gorfine

Research often necessitates of samples, yet obtaining large enough samples is not always possible. When it is, the researcher may use one of two methods for deciding upon the required sample size: rules-of-thumb, quick yet uncertain, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-08 Jose D. Perezgonzalez

Statistical matching is an effective method for estimating causal effects in which treated units are paired with control units with ``similar'' values of confounding covariates prior to performing estimation. In this way, matching helps…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Sanjeewani Weerasingha , Michael J. Higgins

We show how to utilize machine learning approaches to improve sliding window algorithms for approximate frequency estimation problems, under the ``algorithms with predictions'' framework. In this dynamic environment, previous…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Rana Shahout , Ibrahim Sabek , Michael Mitzenmacher

A method is presented to exploit adaptive integration algorithms using importance sampling, like VEGAS, for the task of scanning theoretical predictions depending on a multi-dimensional parameter space. Usually, a parameter scan is…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-04-05 Oliver Brein

Score matching is a vital tool for learning the distribution of data with applications across many areas including diffusion processes, energy based modelling, and graphical model estimation. Despite all these applications, little work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Josh Givens , Song Liu , Henry W J Reeve

Composite endpoints are increasingly used in clinical trials to capture treatment effects across multiple or hierarchically ordered outcomes. Although inference procedures based on win statistics, such as the win ratio, win odds, and net…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Xi Fang , Zhiqiang Cao , Fan Li

Accurate estimation for extent of cross{sectional dependence in large panel data analysis is paramount to further statistical analysis on the data under study. Grouping more data with weak relations (cross{sectional dependence) together…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-16 Jiti Gao , Guangming Pan , Yanrong Yang , Bo Zhang

Modern randomization methods in clinical trials are invariably adaptive, meaning that the assignment of the next subject to a treatment group uses the accumulated information in the trial. Some of the recent adaptive randomization methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Alan R. Vazquez , Weng Kee Wong

We consider the problem of localizing a submatrix with larger-than-usual entry values inside a data matrix, without the prior knowledge of the submatrix size. We establish an optimization framework based on a multiscale scan statistic, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-24 Yuchao Liu , Ery Arias-Castro

With rapid advances in information technology, massive datasets are collected in all fields of science, such as biology, chemistry, and social science. Useful or meaningful information is extracted from these data often through statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Wenxuan Zhong , Yiwen Liu , Peng Zeng

We present an identity for an unbiased estimate of a general statistical distribution. The identity computes the distribution density from dividing a histogram sum over a local window by a correction factor from a mean-force integral, and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-06-04 Cheng Zhang , Jianpeng Ma

Feature or variable selection is a problem inherent to large data sets. While many methods have been proposed to deal with this problem, some can scale poorly with the number of predictors in a data set. Screening methods scale linearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-09 Naveed Merchant , Jeffrey D. Hart

The question of how individual patient data from cohort studies or historical clinical trials can be leveraged for designing more powerful, or smaller yet equally powerful, clinical trials becomes increasingly important in the era of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-01 Sandra Siegfried , Stephen Senn , Torsten Hothorn

In this paper, we focus on the problem of statistical dependence estimation using characteristic functions. We propose a statistical dependence measure, based on the maximum-norm of the difference between joint and product-marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Povilas Daniušis , Shubham Juneja , Lukas Kuzma , Virginijus Marcinkevičius

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

Accurately estimating the proportion of true signals among a large number of variables is crucial for enhancing the precision and reliability of scientific research. Traditional signal proportion estimators often assume independence among…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Jingtian Bai , Xinge Jessie Jeng