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Obtaining samples from the posterior distribution of inverse problems with expensive forward operators is challenging especially when the unknowns involve the strongly heterogeneous Earth. To meet these challenges, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Mathias Louboutin , Philipp A. Witte , Felix J. Herrmann

Many modern applications of Bayesian inference, such as in cosmology, are based on complicated forward models with high-dimensional parameter spaces. This considerably limits the sampling of posterior distributions conditioned on observed…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-17 Marco Raveri , Cyrille Doux , Shivam Pandey

This paper illustrates novel methods for nonstationary time series modeling along with their applications to selected problems in neuroscience. These methods are semi-parametric in that inferences are derived by combining sequential…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Fabio Rigat , Jim Q. Smith

This paper explores the connections between tempering (for Sequential Monte Carlo; SMC) and entropic mirror descent to sample from a target probability distribution whose unnormalized density is known. We establish that tempering SMC…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-18 Nicolas Chopin , Francesca R. Crucinio , Anna Korba

Variational Bayes (VB) is a popular tool for Bayesian inference in statistical modeling. Recently, some VB algorithms are proposed to handle intractable likelihoods with applications such as approximate Bayesian computation. In this paper,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Zhijian He , Zhenghang Xu , Xiaoqun Wang

Computing the marginal likelihood (also called the Bayesian model evidence) is an important task in Bayesian model selection, providing a principled quantitative way to compare models. The learned harmonic mean estimator solves the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-22 Alicja Polanska , Matthew A. Price , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Jason D. McEwen

Bayesian analysis has become an indispensable tool across many different cosmological fields including the study of gravitational waves, the Cosmic Microwave Background and the 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn among other phenomena. The…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-19 Harry T. J. Bevins , William J. Handley , Pablo Lemos , Peter H. Sims , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Anastasia Fialkov , Justin Alsing

Kullback-Leibler divergence (KL) regularization is widely used in reinforcement learning, but it becomes infinite under support mismatch and can degenerate in low-noise limits. Utilizing a unified information-geometric framework, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Viktor Stein , Adwait Datar , Nihat Ay

For training an encoder network to perform amortized variational inference, the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence from the exact posterior to its approximation, known as the inclusive or forward KL, is an increasingly popular choice of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Declan McNamara , Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

Recently, a series of papers proposed deep learning-based approaches to sample from target distributions using controlled diffusion processes, being trained only on the unnormalized target densities without access to samples. Building on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Lorenz Richter , Julius Berner

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is frequently used in data science. For discrete distributions on large state spaces, approximations of probability vectors may result in a few small negative entries, rendering the KL divergence…

In this study, we use Rational-Quadratic Neural Spline Flows, a sophisticated parametrization of Normalizing Flows, for inferring posterior probability distributions in scenarios where direct evaluation of the likelihood is challenging at…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-26 Mathias El Baz , Federico Sánchez

We consider the problem of sampling from a probability distribution $\pi$ which admits a density w.r.t. a dominating measure. It is well known that this can be written as an optimisation problem over the space of probability distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Francesca Romana Crucinio

We introduce Projected Latent Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PL-MCMC), a technique for sampling from the high-dimensional conditional distributions learned by a normalizing flow. We prove that a Metropolis-Hastings implementation of PL-MCMC…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Chris Cannella , Mohammadreza Soltani , Vahid Tarokh

Normalizing flows can transform a simple prior probability distribution into a more complex target distribution. Here, we evaluate the ability and efficiency of generative machine learning methods to sample the Boltzmann distribution of an…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-09-16 Gerhard Jung , Giulio Biroli , Ludovic Berthier

Efficient sampling of unnormalized probability densities such as the Boltzmann distribution of molecular systems is a longstanding challenge. Next to conventional approaches like molecular dynamics or Markov chain Monte Carlo, variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Henrik Schopmans , Pascal Friederich

In the context of Bayesian inversion for scientific and engineering modeling, Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling strategies are the benchmark due to their flexibility and robustness in dealing with arbitrary posterior probability density…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-07 Han Lu , Mohammad Khalil , Thomas Catanach , Jiefu Chen , Xuqing Wu , Xin Fu , Cosmin Safta , Yueqin Huang

Bayesian nonparametric statistics is an area of considerable research interest. While recently there has been an extensive concentration in developing Bayesian nonparametric procedures for model checking, the use of the Dirichlet process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Luai Al-Labadi , Viskakh Patel , Kasra Vakiloroayaei , Clement Wan

Semantic communications based on deep joint source-channel coding (JSCC) aim to improve communication efficiency by transmitting only task-relevant information. However, ensuring robustness to the stochasticity of communication channels…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Taewoo Park , Eunhye Hong , Yo-Seb Jeon , Namyoon Lee , Yongjune Kim

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions if the model is misspecified. Given a prior distribution and a random sample from a distribution $P_0$, which may not be in the support of the prior, we show that the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart