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Network interference amounts to the treatment status of one unit affecting the potential outcome of other units in the population. Testing for spillover effects in this setting makes the null hypothesis non-sharp. An interesting approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Supriya Tiwari , Pallavi Basu

An implicit association test is a human psychological test used to measure subconscious associations. While widely recognized by psychologists as an effective tool in measuring attitudes and biases, the validity of the results can be…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Brendon Boldt , Zack While , Eric Breimer

This paper studies optimal hypothesis testing for nonregular econometric models with parameter-dependent support. We consider both one-sided and two-sided hypothesis testing and develop asymptotically uniformly most powerful tests based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Yuya Shimizu , Taisuke Otsu

Negative binomial regression is commonly employed to analyze overdispersed count data. With small to moderate sample sizes, the maximum likelihood estimator of the dispersion parameter may be subject to a significant bias, that in turn…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

With multiple outcomes in empirical research, a common strategy is to define a composite outcome as a weighted average of the original outcomes. However, the choices of weights are often subjective and can be controversial. We propose an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Wei Zhang , Qizhai Li , Peng Ding

Causal mediation analysis aims at disentangling a treatment effect into an indirect mechanism operating through an intermediate outcome or mediator, as well as the direct effect of the treatment on the outcome of interest. However, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-05 Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs

We consider a hypothesis testing problem where a part of data cannot be observed. Our helper observes the missed data and can send us a limited amount of information about them. What kind of this limited information will allow us to make…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Marat V. Burnashev

A Partial Conjunction Hypothesis (PCH) test combines information across a set of base hypotheses to determine whether some subset is non-null. PCH tests arise in a diverse array of fields, but standard PCH testing methods can be highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Biyonka Liang , Lu Zhang , Lucas Janson

We present a robust test for composite null hypothesis based on the general $S$-divergence family. This requires a non-trivial extension of the results of Ghosh et al.~(2015). We derive the asymptotic and theoretical robustness properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

A common concern when trying to draw causal inferences from observational data is that the measured covariates are insufficiently rich to account for all sources of confounding. In practice, many of the covariates may only be proxies of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Oliver Dukes , Ilya Shpitser , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We develop sensitivity analyses for weak nulls in matched observational studies while allowing unit-level treatment effects to vary. The methods may be applied to studies using any optimal without-replacement matching algorithm. In contrast…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-18 Colin B. Fogarty

Testing for a mediation effect is important in many disciplines, but is made difficult - even asymptotically - by the influence of nuisance parameters. Classical tests such as likelihood ratio (LR) and Wald (Sobel) tests have very poor…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-05 Grant Hillier , Kees Jan van Garderen , Noud van Giersbergen

We develop a novel test of the instrumental variable identifying assumptions for heterogeneous treatment effect models with conditioning covariates. We assume semiparametric dependence between potential outcomes and conditioning covariates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-19 Thomas Carr , Toru Kitagawa

Estimating causal effects is particularly challenging when outcomes arise in complex, non-Euclidean spaces, where conventional methods often fail to capture meaningful structural variation. We develop a framework for topological causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Kwangho Kim , Hajin Lee

Understanding the effect of a feature vector $x \in \mathbb{R}^d$ on the response value (label) $y \in \mathbb{R}$ is the cornerstone of many statistical learning problems. Ideally, it is desired to understand how a set of collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Mohammad Mehrabi , Ryan A. Rossi

This paper develops an empirical balancing approach for the estimation of treatment effects under two-sided noncompliance using a binary conditionally independent instrumental variable. The method weighs both treatment and outcome…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-10 Phillip Heiler

This paper deals with the concept of equivalence between direct and indirect effects of a treatment on a response using two sets of intermediate variables and covariates. First, we provide criteria for testing whether two sets of variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Manabu Kuroki

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

Causal indirect and direct effects provide an interpretable method for decomposing the total effect of an exposure on an outcome into the effect through a mediator and the effect through all other pathways. When the mediator is a biomarker,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Ariel Chernofsky , Ronald J. Bosch , Judith J. Lok

Randomization inference (RI) is typically interpreted as testing Fisher's "sharp" null hypothesis that all unit-level effects are exactly zero. This hypothesis is often criticized as restrictive and implausible, making its rejection…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Devin Caughey , Allan Dafoe , Xinran Li , Luke Miratrix