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Financial time-series forecasting has long been a challenging problem because of the inherently noisy and stochastic nature of the market. In the High-Frequency Trading (HFT), forecasting for trading purposes is even a more challenging task…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj

Financial time-series forecasting is one of the most challenging domains in the field of time-series analysis. This is mostly due to the highly non-stationary and noisy nature of financial time-series data. With progressive efforts of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

Deep Learning models have become dominant in tackling financial time-series analysis problems, overturning conventional machine learning and statistical methods. Most often, a model trained for one market or security cannot be directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

Financial time-series analysis and forecasting have been extensively studied over the past decades, yet still remain as a very challenging research topic. Since the financial market is inherently noisy and stochastic, a majority of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Financial forecasting is an example of a signal processing problem which is challenging due to Small sample sizes, high noise, non-stationarity, and non-linearity,but fast forecasting of stock market price is very important for strategic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Arka Ghosh

Time series forecasting is a crucial component of many important applications, ranging from forecasting the stock markets to energy load prediction. The high-dimensionality, velocity and variety of the data collected in these applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Data normalization is one of the most important preprocessing steps when building a machine learning model, especially when the model of interest is a deep neural network. This is because deep neural network optimized with stochastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Forecasting based on financial time-series is a challenging task since most real-world data exhibits nonstationary property and nonlinear dependencies. In addition, different data modalities often embed different nonlinear relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-25 Steven Y. K. Wong , Jennifer Chan , Lamiae Azizi , Richard Y. D. Xu

The task of multi-channel time series forecasting is ubiquitous in numerous fields such as finance, supply chain management, and energy planning. It is critical to effectively capture complex dynamic dependencies within and between channels…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Lei Gao , Hengda Bao , Jingfei Fang , Guangzheng Wu , Weihua Zhou , Yun Zhou

The prediction of financial markets is a challenging yet important task. In modern electronically-driven markets, traditional time-series econometric methods often appear incapable of capturing the true complexity of the multi-level…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Martin Magris , Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Financial firms are interested in simulation to discover whether a given algorithm involving financial machine learning will operate profitably. While many versions of this type of algorithm have been published recently by researchers, the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Mark Joseph Bennett

The existing literature provides evidence that limit order book data can be used to predict short-term price movements in stock markets. This paper proposes a new neural network architecture for predicting return jump arrivals in equity…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-17 Ymir Mäkinen , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

In this paper, we tackle the challenge of predicting stock movements in financial markets by introducing Higher Order Transformers, a novel architecture designed for processing multivariate time-series data. We extend the self-attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Soroush Omranpour , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany
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