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What fundamentally distinguishes an adversarial attack from a misclassification due to limited model expressivity or finite data? In this work, we investigate this question in the setting of high-dimensional binary classification, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-17 Matteo Vilucchio , Lenka Zdeborová , Bruno Loureiro

We consider a novel paradigm for Bayesian testing of hypotheses and Bayesian model comparison. Our alternative to the traditional construction of posterior probabilities that a given hypothesis is true or that the data originates from a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Kaniav Kamary , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

The main purpose of this paper is to introduce first a new family of empirical test statistics for testing a simple null hypothesis when the vector of parameters of interest are defined through a specific set of unbiased estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Nirian Martín , Leandro Pardo

The problem of scheduling sensor transmissions for the detection of correlated random fields using spatially deployed sensors is considered. Using the large deviations principle, a closed-form expression for the error exponent of the miss…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Youngchul Sung , Lang Tong , H. Vincent Poor

In this work, we revisit outlier hypothesis testing and propose exponentially consistent, low-complexity fixed-length tests that achieve a better tradeoff between detection performance and computational complexity than existing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-28 Lina Zhu , Lin Zhou

Model misspecification is a long-standing enigma of the Bayesian inference framework as posteriors tend to get overly concentrated on ill-informed parameter values towards the large sample limit. Tempering of the likelihood has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-13 Owen Thomas , Jukka Corander

Hypothesis testing results often rely on simple, yet important assumptions about the behaviour of the distribution of p-values under the null and the alternative. We examine tests for one dimensional parameters of interest that converge to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Yanbo Tang , Radu Craiu , Lei Sun

Machine learning theory has mostly focused on generalization to samples from the same distribution as the training data. Whereas a better understanding of generalization beyond the training distribution where the observed distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-29 Matias Vera , Pablo Piantanida , Leonardo Rey Vega

Inverse probability weighting (IPW) is widely used in many areas when data are subject to unrepresentativeness, missingness, or selection bias. An inevitable challenge with the use of IPW is that the IPW estimator can be remarkably unstable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-29 Yukun Liu , Yan Fan

Softmax distributions are widely used in machine learning, including Large Language Models (LLMs), where the attention unit uses softmax distributions. We abstract the attention unit as the softmax model, where given a vector input, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Yuzhou Gu , Zhao Song , Junze Yin

This paper resolves two open problems from a recent paper, arXiv:2403.16981, concerning the sample complexity of distributed simple binary hypothesis testing under information constraints. The first open problem asks whether interaction…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Hadi Kazemi , Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog

This paper shows that the probability that the error exponent of a given code randomly generated from a pairwise independent ensemble being smaller than a lower bound on the typical random-coding exponent tends to zero as the codeword…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Giuseppe Cocco , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas , Josep Font-Segura

Under the null hypothesis, the marginal probability of the positive response is symmetric at any specified correlated coefficient, and the discordance probability is also symmetric to the positive response probability. The marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-11 Guanghui Huang

The small sample universal hypothesis testing problem is investigated in this paper, in which the number of samples $n$ is smaller than the number of possible outcomes $m$. The goal of this work is to find an appropriate criterion to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn

We investigate the nonparametric, composite hypothesis testing problem for arbitrary unknown distributions in the asymptotic regime where both the sample size and the number of hypotheses grow exponentially large. Such asymptotic analysis…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Qunwei Li , Tiexing Wang , Donald J. Bucci , Yingbin Liang , Biao Chen , Pramod K. Varshney

A trade-off between accuracy and fairness is almost taken as a given in the existing literature on fairness in machine learning. Yet, it is not preordained that accuracy should decrease with increased fairness. Novel to this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-14 Sanghamitra Dutta , Dennis Wei , Hazar Yueksel , Pin-Yu Chen , Sijia Liu , Kush R. Varshney

Hypothesis testing for small-sample scenarios is a practically important problem. In this paper, we investigate the robust hypothesis testing problem in a data-driven manner, where we seek the worst-case detector over distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Jie Wang , Yao Xie

Linear mixed-effects models are widely used in analyzing repeated measures data, including clustered and longitudinal data, where inferences of both fixed effects and variance components are of importance. Unlike the fixed effect inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-31 J. Zhang , W. Guo , J. S. Carpenter , Andrew Leroux , K. R. Merikangas , N. G. Martin , I. B. Hickie , H. Shou , H. Li

The problem of multi-hypothesis testing with controlled sensing of observations is considered. The distribution of observations collected under each control is assumed to follow a single-parameter exponential family distribution. The goal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Aditya Deshmukh , Srikrishna Bhashyam , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Information divergence functions play a critical role in statistics and information theory. In this paper we show that a non-parametric f-divergence measure can be used to provide improved bounds on the minimum binary classification…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-02-11 Visar Berisha , Alan Wisler , Alfred O. Hero , Andreas Spanias