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The efficient placement of wind turbines relies on accurate local wind speed forecasts. Climate projections provide valuable insight into long-term wind speed conditions, yet their spatial data resolution is typically insufficient for…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-12 Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

Wind turbines often work under complex conditions which result in performance degradation. Accurate performance degradation monitoring is essential to ensure the reliable operation of wind turbines and reduce the maintenance costs. Wind…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-07 Peng Wang , Yanting Li , Fugee Tsung

The growth of wind generation capacities in the past decades has shown that wind energy can contribute to the energy transition in many parts of the world. Being highly variable and complex to model, the quantification of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Alina Walch , Nahid Mohajeri , Jean-Louis Scartezzini , Mikhail Kanevski

We study short-term prediction of wind speed and wind power (every 10 minutes up to 4 hours ahead). Accurate forecasts for these quantities are crucial to mitigate the negative effects of wind farms' intermittent production on energy…

Over the past decade, wind energy has gained more attention in the world. However, owing to its indirectness and volatility properties, wind power penetration has increased the difficulty and complexity in dispatching and planning of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Onder Eyecioglu , Batuhan Hangun , Korhan Kayisli , Mehmet Yesilbudak

The forecasting of large ramps in wind power output known as ramp events is crucial for the incorporation of large volumes of wind energy into national electricity grids. Large variations in wind power supply must be compensated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Russell Sharp , Hisham Ihshaish , J. Ignacio Deza

Climate change will impact wind and therefore wind power generation with largely unknown effect and magnitude. Climate models can provide insights and should be used for long-term power planning. In this work we use Gaussian processes to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-23 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig

Accurate and reliable forecasting of renewable energy generation is crucial for the efficient integration of renewable sources into the power grid. In particular, probabilistic forecasts are becoming essential for managing the intrinsic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

In this paper we use risk management techniques to evaluate the potential effects of those operational risks that affect the energy production of a wind farm. We concentrate our attention on three major risk factors: wind speed uncertainty,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-15 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Climate change, deforestation, and biodiversity loss are calling for innovative approaches to effective reforestation and afforestation. This paper explores the integration of artificial intelligence and remote sensing technologies for…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-15 Seymur Garibov , Wadim Strielkowski

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed are important for a wide range of applications, ranging from operational decision making in connection with wind power generation to storm warnings, ship routing and aviation. We present a statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-06 Michael Scheuerer , David Möller

The increasing occurrence of continuous anomalous weather events has intensified the uncertainty in wind and photovoltaic power generation, posing significant challenges to the operation and optimization of building integrated energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Deyi Shao , Hongru Li , Jingsheng Li , Xia Yu , Xiaoyu Sun , Bowen Han

Ambitious decarbonisation targets are rapidly increasing the commission of new offshore wind farms. For these newly commissioned plants to run, accurate power forecasts are needed from the onset. These allow grid stability, good reserve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Dominic Weisser , Chloé Hashimoto-Cullen , Benjamin Guedj

Renewable energy sources, especially wind energy, are to play a larger role in providing electricity to industrial and domestic consumers. This is already the case today for a number of European countries, closely followed by the US and…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Pierre Pinson

Driven by climatic processes, wind power generation is inherently variable. Long-term simulated wind power time series are therefore an essential component for understanding the temporal availability of wind power and its integration into…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-20 Johann Baumgartner , Katharina Gruber , Sofia Simoes , Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan , Johannes Schmidt

We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

The production of renewable and sustainable energy is one of the most important challenges currently facing mankind. Wind has made an increasing contribution to the world's energy supply mix, but still remains a long way from reaching its…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-07-02 Richard J. Preen , Larry Bull

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is essential for large-scale integration of wind power generation. However, the seasonal and stochastic characteristics of wind speed make forecasting a challenging task. This study uses a new…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Mehdi Neshat , Meysam Majidi Nezhad , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Lina Bertling Tjernberg , Davide Astiaso Garcia , Bradley Alexander , Markus Wagner

Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Mingyi Zhu , Zhaoxin Li , Qiao Lin , Li Ding