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Long-term electricity demand forecasting is essential for grid and operations planning, as well as for the analysis and planning of energy transition strategies. However, accurate long-term load forecasting with high temporal resolution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Soumyadeep Dhar , Ayushkumar Parmar , Haifeng Qiu , Juan Ramon L. Senga , S. Viswanathan

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

This study develops a SARIMAX-based prediction system for short-term power outage forecasting during extreme weather events. Using hourly data from Michigan counties with outage counts and comprehensive weather features, we implement a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Haoran Ye , Qiuzhuang Sun , Yang Yang

Accurate load forecasting plays a vital role in numerous sectors, but accurately capturing the complex dynamics of dynamic power systems remains a challenge for traditional statistical models. For these reasons, time-series models (ARIMA)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Anuvab Sen , Arul Rhik Mazumder , Udayon Sen

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is essential for energy markets stakeholders (e.g. grid operators, energy traders, policymakers) but remains challenging due to the inherent volatility and nonlinearity of price signals. Traditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Kritchanat Ponyuenyong , Pengyu Tu , Jia Wei Tan , Wei Soon Cheong , Jamie Ng Suat Ling , Lianlian Jiang

Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Learning processes by exploiting restricted domain knowledge is an important task across a plethora of scientific areas, with more and more hybrid training methods additively combining data-driven and model-based approaches. Although the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Yann Claes , Vân Anh Huynh-Thu , Pierre Geurts

Demand forecasting in supply chain management (SCM) is critical for optimizing inventory, reducing waste, and improving customer satisfaction. Conventional approaches frequently neglect external influences like weather, festivities, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Anees Fatima , Mohammad Abdus Salam

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

Short Term Load Forecast (STLF) is necessary for effective scheduling, operation optimization trading, and decision-making for electricity consumers. Modern and efficient machine learning methods are recalled nowadays to manage complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Junjie Hu , Brenda López Cabrera , Awdesch Melzer

Rising global energy demand from population growth raises concerns about the sustainability of fossil fuels. Consequently, the energy sector has increasingly transitioned to renewable energy sources like solar and wind, which are naturally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Afsaneh Mollasalehi , Armin Farhadi

The recent abundance of data on electricity consumption at different scales opens new challenges and highlights the need for new techniques to leverage information present at finer scales in order to improve forecasts at wider scales. In…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-23 Anestis Antoniadis , Solenne Gaucher , Yannig Goude

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Probabilistic forecasting is essential for modern risk management, allowing decision-makers to quantify uncertainty in critical systems. This paper tackles this challenge using the volatile REFIT household dataset, which is complicated by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Midhun Manoj

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

The wide spread of new energy resources, smart devices, and demand side management strategies has motivated several analytics operations, from infrastructure load modeling to user behavior profiling. Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Andreas Tritsarolis , Gil Sampaio , Nikos Pelekis , Yannis Theodoridis

Accurate electricity forecasting is crucial for grid stability and energy planning, especially in Benghazi, Libya, where frequent load shedding, generation deficits, and infrastructure limitations persist. This study proposes a data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Asma Agaal , Mansour Essgaer , Hend M. Farkash , Zulaiha Ali Othman

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

Hierarchical forecasting (HF) is needed in many situations in the supply chain (SC) because managers often need different levels of forecasts at different levels of SC to make a decision. Top-Down (TD), Bottom-Up (BU) and Optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Garth Tarr , Christoph Bergmeir