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We propose a novel neural network architecture that enables non-parametric calibration and generation of multivariate extreme value distributions (MEVs). MEVs arise from Extreme Value Theory (EVT) as the necessary class of models when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-03 Ali Hasan , Khalil Elkhalil , Yuting Ng , Joao M. Pereira , Sina Farsiu , Jose H. Blanchet , Vahid Tarokh

In a wide variety of sequential decision making problems, it can be important to estimate the impact of rare events in order to minimize risk exposure. A popular risk measure is the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), which is commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-11 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

Dynamic environments require adaptive applications. One particular machine learning problem in dynamic environments is open world recognition. It characterizes a continuously changing domain where only some classes are seen in one batch of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Tobias Koch , Felix Liebezeit , Christian Riess , Vincent Christlein , Thomas Köhler

Abstract In Extreme Value methodology the choice of threshold plays an important role in efficient modelling of observations exceeding the threshold. The threshold must be chosen high enough to ensure an unbiased extreme value index but…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Andréhette Verster , Lizanne Raubenheimer

Electromyography is a promising approach to the gesture recognition of humans if an efficient classifier with high accuracy is available. In this paper, we propose to utilize Extreme Value Machine (EVM) as a high-performance algorithm for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-10 Reza Bagherian Azhiri , Mohammad Esmaeili , Mohsen Jafarzadeh , Mehrdad Nourani

Data-driven anomaly detection methods typically build a model for the normal behavior of the target system, and score each data instance with respect to this model. A threshold is invariably needed to identify data instances with high (or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-09 Sreelekha Guggilam , S. M. Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , Abani Patra

Modeling cyber risks has been an important but challenging task in the domain of cyber security. It is mainly because of the high dimensionality and heavy tails of risk patterns. Those obstacles have hindered the development of statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Mingyue Zhang Wu , Jinzhu Luo , Xing Fang , Maochao Xu , Peng Zhao

The estimation of the Extreme Value Index (EVI) is fundamental in extreme value analysis but suffers from high variance due to reliance on only a few extreme observations. We propose a control variates based transfer learning approach in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Louison Bocquet-Nouaille , Jérôme Morio , Benjamin Bobbia

We present a novel statistical treatment, the "metastatistics of extreme events", for calculating the frequency of extreme events. This approach, which is of general validity, is the proper statistical framework to address the problem of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-14 Massimiliano Ignaccolo , Marco Marani

This paper explores the potential of extreme learning machine based supervised classification algorithm for land cover classification. In comparison to a backpropagation neural network, which requires setting of several user-defined…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Mahesh Pal

Extreme weather events pose significant challenges, thereby demanding techniques for accurate analysis and precise forecasting to mitigate its impact. In recent years, deep learning techniques have emerged as a promising approach for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-23 Shikha Verma , Kuldeep Srivastava , Akhilesh Tiwari , Shekhar Verma

Machine learning algorithms have been used widely in various applications and areas. To fit a machine learning model into different problems, its hyper-parameters must be tuned. Selecting the best hyper-parameter configuration for machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Li Yang , Abdallah Shami

The distribution of block maxima of sequences of independent and identically-distributed random variables is used to model extreme values in many disciplines. The traditional extreme value (EV) theory derives a closed-form expression for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-27 Marco Marani , Enrico Zorzetto

Threshold selection is a fundamental problem in any threshold-based extreme value analysis. While models are asymptotically motivated, selecting an appropriate threshold for finite samples is difficult and highly subjective through standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Conor Murphy , Jonathan A. Tawn , Zak Varty

One important issue commonly encountered in the analysis of microarray data is to decide which and how many genes should be selected for further studies. For discriminant microarray data analyses based on statistical models, such as the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-09 Wentian Li , Fengzhu Sun , Ivo Grosse

The paper proposes a new variant of a decision tree, called an Extreme Learning Tree. It consists of an extremely random tree with non-linear data transformation, and a linear observer that provides predictions based on the leaf index where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Anton Akusok , Emil Eirola , Kaj-Mikael Björk , Amaury Lendasse

The amount of information in the form of features and variables avail- able to machine learning algorithms is ever increasing. This can lead to classifiers that are prone to overfitting in high dimensions, high di- mensional models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-12 Aaron Karper

Modern Deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms require estimates of the maximal Q-value, which are difficult to compute in continuous domains with an infinite number of possible actions. In this work, we introduce a new update rule for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Divyansh Garg , Joey Hejna , Matthieu Geist , Stefano Ermon

We introduce the hyperparameter search problem in the field of machine learning and discuss its main challenges from an optimization perspective. Machine learning methods attempt to build models that capture some element of interest based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-07 Marc Claesen , Bart De Moor

The heavy-tailed behavior of the generalized extreme-value distribution makes it a popular choice for modeling extreme events such as floods, droughts, heatwaves, wildfires, etc. However, estimating the distribution's parameters using…