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Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Autoregressive (AR) time series models are widely used in parametric spectral estimation (SE), where the power spectral density (PSD) of the time series is approximated by that of the \emph{best-fit} AR model, which is available in closed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-06 Alejandro Cuevas , Sebastián López , Danilo Mandic , Felipe Tobar

Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, economics, environmental science, and biomedical engineering, aiding in forecasting, pattern identification, and understanding underlying mechanisms. While traditional time-domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Jonathan de Souza Matias , Valderio Anselmo Reisen

The attention mechanism within the transformer architecture enables the model to weigh and combine tokens based on their relevance to the query. While self-attention has enjoyed major success, it notably treats all queries $q$ in the same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Xuechen Zhang , Xiangyu Chang , Mingchen Li , Amit Roy-Chowdhury , Jiasi Chen , Samet Oymak

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

Predicting multivariate time series is crucial, demanding precise modeling of intricate patterns, including inter-series dependencies and intra-series variations. Distinctive trend characteristics in each time series pose challenges, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Guoqi Yu , Jing Zou , Xiaowei Hu , Angelica I. Aviles-Rivero , Jing Qin , Shujun Wang

Time-series data augmentation mitigates the issue of insufficient training data for deep learning models. Yet, existing augmentation methods are mainly designed for classification, where class labels can be preserved even if augmentation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Xiyuan Zhang , Ranak Roy Chowdhury , Jingbo Shang , Rajesh Gupta , Dezhi Hong

Recently, large pre-trained neural language models have attained remarkable performance on many downstream natural language processing (NLP) applications via fine-tuning. In this paper, we target at how to further improve the token…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Mengyuan Zhou , Jian Ma , Haiqin Yang , Lianxin Jiang , Yang Mo

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

The reconstruction of phase spaces is an essential step to analyze time series according to Dynamical System concepts. A regression performed on such spaces unveils the relationships among system states from which we can derive their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Lucas Pagliosa , Alexandru Telea , Rodrigo Mello

Spatiotemporal predictive learning aims to generate future frames by learning from historical frames. In this paper, we investigate existing methods and present a general framework of spatiotemporal predictive learning, in which the spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Cheng Tan , Zhangyang Gao , Lirong Wu , Yongjie Xu , Jun Xia , Siyuan Li , Stan Z. Li

Anomaly detection is critical for the secure and reliable operation of industrial control systems. As our reliance on such complex cyber-physical systems grows, it becomes paramount to have automated methods for detecting anomalies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Mayra Macas , Chunming Wu , Walter Fuertes

This paper presents a spectral attention-driven reinforcement learning based intelligent method for effective and efficient detection of important signals in a wideband spectrum. In the work presented in this paper, it is assumed that the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-02 Gihan Mendis , Jin Wei , Arjuna Madanayakey , Soumyajit Mandalz

Deep learning models have grown increasingly popular in time series applications. However, the large quantity of newly proposed architectures, together with often contradictory empirical results, makes it difficult to assess which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Valentina Moretti , Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi

With widespread adoption of electronic health records, there is an increased emphasis for predictive models that can effectively deal with clinical time-series data. Powered by Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) architectures with Long…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-17 Huan Song , Deepta Rajan , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Andreas Spanias

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

Time series forecasting is widely used in the fields of equipment life cycle forecasting, weather forecasting, traffic flow forecasting, and other fields. Recently, some scholars have tried to apply Transformer to time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Benhan Li , Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li

Attention mechanisms, which enable a neural network to accurately focus on all the relevant elements of the input, have become an essential component to improve the performance of deep neural networks. There are mainly two attention…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Qing-Long Zhang Yu-Bin Yang

Time series forecasting remains a critical challenge across various domains, often complicated by high-dimensional data and long-term dependencies. This paper presents a novel transformer architecture for time series forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Fei Ma , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei