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We propose an agent-based opinion formation model characterised by a two-fold novelty. First, we realistically assume that each agent cannot measure the opinion of its neighbours with infinite resolution and accuracy, and hence it can only…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Carlos Andres Devia , Giulia Giordano

In pedestrian dynamics, the internal drive that propels individuals toward their goals is typically captured by a single, fixed parameter, the desired walking speed. This simplification overlooks that motivation fluctuates in response to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-04 Ezel Üsten , Anna Sieben , Mohcine Chraibi , Armin Seyfried

Collective opinions affect civic participation, governance, and societal norms. Due to the influence of opinion dynamics, many models of their formation and evolution have been developed. A commonly used approach for the study of opinion…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Claudia Kann , Michelle Feng

The outcomes of democratic elections rest on individuals' decision-making that is driven by their varying preferences and beliefs. Individuals may prefer consensus to gridlock, or gridlock to consensus, and information may be fractured via…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-29 Jonathan Engle , Bryce Morsky

Users online tend to join polarized groups of like-minded peers around shared narratives, forming echo chambers. The echo chamber effect and opinion polarization may be driven by several factors including human biases in information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Carlo Michele Valensise , Matteo Cinelli , Walter Quattrociocchi

In this work we study opinion formation on a fully-connected population participating of a public debate with two distinct choices, where the agents may adopt three different attitudes (favorable to either one choice or to the other, or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-28 Nuno Crokidakis , Victor H. Blanco , Celia Anteneodo

We study the critical behavior of a noisy kinetic opinion model subject to resilience to change depending on aging, defined as the time spent on the current opinion state. In this model, the opinion of each agent can take the three discrete…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-01 Allan R. Vieira , Jaume Llabrés , Raúl Toral , Celia Anteneodo

Independent voters play an increasingly decisive role in contemporary elections, yet their collective behavior remains poorly understood. This paper investigates how a minority of voters with greater flexibility in their political…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-22 Ernő Buzás , Attila Szilva

A voting bloc is defined to be a group of voters who have similar voting preferences. The cleavage of the Irish electorate into voting blocs is of interest. Irish elections employ a ``single transferable vote'' electoral system; under this…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-26 Isobel Claire Gormley , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Opinion diffusion is a crucial phenomenon in social networks, often underlying the way in which a collective of agents develops a consensus on relevant decisions. The voter model is a well-known theoretical model to study opinion spreading…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Luca Becchetti , Vincenzo Bonifaci , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale

Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Marco D'Errico , Gulnur Muradoglu , Silvana Stefani , Giovanni Zambruno

We model voting behaviour in the multi-group setting of a two-tier voting system using sequences of de Finetti measures. Our model is defined by using the de Finetti representation of a probability measure (i.e. as a mixture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Gabor Toth

We propose a kinetic model to describe the dynamical evolution of wealth and knowledge in national and global markets, starting from a microscopic description of individual interactions. The model is built upon interaction rules that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-24 Marzia Bisi , Martina Conte , Maria Groppi

Social consensus is important for society. Sometimes the success of society depends on a consensus (e.g. the decision to pay taxes or to commit to the constitution). Examples for continuous opinion dynamics are discussions about tax rates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-03-06 Jan Lorenz

In modern society people are being exposed to numerous information, with some of them being frequently repeated or more disruptive than others. In this paper we use a model of opinion dynamics to study how this news impact the society. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-24 Gioia Boschi , Chiara Cammarota , Reimer Kühn

The question of how people vote strategically under uncertainty has attracted much attention in several disciplines. Theoretical decision models have been proposed which vary in their assumptions on the sophistication of the voters and on…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

Previous explanations for the persistence of polarization of opinions have typically included modelling assumptions that predispose the possibility of polarization (i.e., assumptions allowing a pair of agents to drift apart in their opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-16 Benedikt V. Meylahn , Janusz M. Meylahn

The Trump phenomenon is argued to depart from current populist rise in Europe. According to a model of opinion dynamics from sociophysics the machinery of Trump's amazing success obeys well-defined counter-intuitive rules. Therefore, his…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-05-24 Serge Galam

Public support and political mobilization are two crucial factors for the adoption of ambitious climate policies in line with the international greenhouse gas reduction targets of the Paris Agreement. Despite their compound importance, they…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-21 Simon Montfort

In this work an opinion formation model with heterogeneous agents is proposed. Each agent is supposed to have different power of persuasion, and besides its own level of zealotry, that is, an individual willingness to being convinced by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Mayte Pérez-Llanos , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Nicolas Saintier , Analía Silva