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We derive a complete left-tail asymptotic series for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of a supercritical multitype Galton-Watson process in the Schr\"oder case. We show that the series converges everywhere, not only for small…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Anton A. Kutsenko

Inspired by many examples in nature, stochastic resetting of random processes has been studied extensively in the past decade. In particular, various models of stochastic particle motion were considered where upon resetting the particle is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Ofir Tal-Friedman , Yael Roichman , Shlomi Reuveni

We consider multitype Markovian branching processes evolving in a Markovian random environment. To determine whether or not the branching process becomes extinct almost surely is akin to computing the maximal Lyapunov exponent of a sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche

We consider a last progeny modified branching random walk, in which the position of each particle at the last generation $n$ is modified by an i.i.d. copy of a random variable $Y$. Depending on the asymptotic properties of the tail of $Y$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Partha Pratim Ghosh , Bastien Mallein

Self-activation coupled to a transport mechanism results in traveling waves that describe polymerization reactions, forest fires, tumor growth, and even the spread of epidemics. Diffusion is a simple and commonly used model of particle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-06 Keisuke Ishihara , Ashish B. George , Ryan Cornelius , Kirill S. Korolev

Assume that claims in a portfolio of insurance contracts are described by independent and identically distributed random variables with regularly varying tails and occur according to a near mixed Poisson process. We provide a collection of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Christian Robert , Jef Teugels

In this work we study drawdowns and drawups of general diffusion processes. The drawdown process is defined as the current drop of the process from its running maximum, while the drawup process is defined as the current increase over its…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Hongzhong Zhang , Olympia Hadjiliadis

Recently, the complete left tail asymptotic for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of the classical Galton-Watson process has been derived. The derivation is based on the properties of a special function (whose inverse Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Anton A Kutsenko

We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-26 Damián H. Zanette , Susanna Manrubia

We derive a self-duality relation for a one-dimensional model of branching and annihilating random walkers with an even number of offsprings. With the duality relation and by deriving exact results in some limiting cases involving fast…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 K. Mussawisade , J. E. Santos , G. M. Schütz , ;

In this article, we considers reversible Markov chains of which $L^2$-distances can be expressed in terms of Laplace transforms. The cutoff of Laplace transforms was first discussed by Chen and Saloff-Coste in [8], while we provide here a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Guan-Yu Chen , Jui-Ming Hsu , Yuan-Chung Sheu

We revisit the issue of Lagrangian irreversibility in the context of recent results [Xu, et al., PNAS, 111, 7558 (2014)] on flight-crash events in turbulent flows and show how extreme events in the Eulerian dissipation statistics are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-04-22 Jason R. Picardo , Akshay Bhatnagar , Samriddhi Sankar Ray

Consider a critical branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 1$, started with a single particle at the origin, and let $L(x)$ be the total number of particles that ever visit a vertex $x$. We study the tail of $L(x)$ under suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Omer Angel , Tom Hutchcroft , Antal A. Járai

We apply a simple method to provide explicit expressions for different scaling exponents in intermittent fully developed turbulence, that before were only given through a Legendre transform. This includes predictability exponents for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Francois G Schmitt

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the probability of the event that a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}(m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ $m=0,1,2,...,$ with $N$ types of particles dies at moment $n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Ex ante forecast outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. Reapplying measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors of the estimation errors of an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-12 Nassim N. Taleb

Here, we study the long-term behaviour of the non-explosion probability for continuous-state branching processes in a L\'evy environment when the branching mechanism is given by the negative of the Laplace exponent of a subordinator. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Juan Carlos Pardo

In Rayleigh-Benard convection and Taylor-Couette flow cellular patterns emerge at the onset of instability and persist as large-scale coherent structures in the turbulent regime. Their long-term dynamics has been thoroughly characterised…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-26 Daniel Feldmann , Marc Avila

We investigate front propagation in systems with diffusive and sub-diffusive behavior. The scaling behavior of moments of the diffusive problem, both in the standard and in the anomalous cases, is not enough to determine the features of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-06 Maurizio Serva , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani