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In spite of the growing theoretical literature on cascades of failures in interbank lending networks, empirical results seem to suggest that networks of direct exposures are not the major channel of financial contagion. In this paper we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Fabio Caccioli , J. Doyne Farmer , Nick Foti , Daniel Rockmore

We use granular regulatory data on euro interest rate swap trades between January 2021 and June 2023 to assess whether derivative positions of Italian banks can offset losses on their debt securities holdings should interest rates rise…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-23 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Dario Ruzzi , Anatoli Segura

This paper proposes a novel dynamical model for determining clearing payments in financial networks. We extend the classical Eisenberg-Noe model of financial contagion to multiple time periods, allowing financial operations to continue…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to capture cascading failures among interconnected organizations in the global financial system. Failures can take the form of bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies. The network that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

Networks of financial exposures are the key propagators of risk and distress among banks, but their empirical structure is not publicly available because of confidentiality. This limitation has triggered the development of methods of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-07 Valentina Macchiati , Piero Mazzarisi , Diego Garlaschelli

When a loan is approved for a person or company, the bank is subject to \emph{credit risk}; the risk that the lender defaults. To mitigate this risk, a bank will require some form of \emph{security}, which will be collected if the lender…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Hannaneh Akrami , Kurt Mehlhorn , Tommy Odland

This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating a cash injection into a financial system in distress. Given a one-period borrower-lender network in which all debts are due at the same time and have the same seniority, we address the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-18 Zhang Li , Xiaojun Lin , Borja Peleato-Inarrea , Ilya Pollak

Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

It is generally accepted that neighboring nodes in financial networks are negatively assorted with respect to the correlation between their degrees. This feature would play an important 'damping' role in the market during downturns (periods…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-17 Guy Kelman , David S. Brée , Eran Manes , Marco Lamieri , Natasa Golo , Sorin Solomon

In the context of understanding the nature of the risk transformation process of the financial system we propose an iterative risk-trading game between several agents who build their trading strategies based on a general utility setting.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Pichler

We study the problem of designing dynamic intervention policies for minimizing networked defaults in financial networks. Formally, we consider a dynamic version of the celebrated Eisenberg-Noe model of financial network liabilities and use…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Marios Papachristou , Siddhartha Banerjee , Jon Kleinberg

We consider a banking network represented by a system of stochastic differential equations coupled by their drift. We assume a core-periphery structure, and that the banks in the core hold a bubbly asset. The banks in the periphery have not…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

Spillover of economic outcomes often arises over multiple networks, and distinguishing their separate roles is important in empirical research. For example, the direction of spillover between two groups (such as banks and industrial sectors…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-17 Clemens Possnig , Andreea Rotărescu , Kyungchul Song

This paper studies game-type credit default swaps that allow the protection buyer and seller to raise or reduce their respective positions once prior to default. This leads to the study of an optimal stopping game subject to early default…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Masahiko Egami , Tim S. T. Leung , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We show how bad and good volatility propagate through forex markets, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on forex markets. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007 -…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-28 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha

We consider a model of financial contagion in a bipartite network of assets and banks recently introduced in the literature, and we study the effect of power law distributions of degree and balance-sheet size on the stability of the system.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-25 Opeoluwa Banwo , Fabio Caccioli , Paul Harrald , Francesca Medda

A minimal stochastic dynamical model of the interbank network is introduced, with linear interactions mediated by an integral of recent variations. Defining stress as the variance over the banks' states, the interaction correction to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-30 Andrea Auconi

We analyse the importance of international relations between countries on the financial stability. The contagion effect in the network is tested by implementing an epidemiological model, comprising a number of European countries and using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-23 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

The interbank market is considered one of the most important channels of contagion. Its network representation, where banks and claims/obligations are represented by nodes and links (respectively), has received a lot of attention in the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-26 Leonardo Bargigli , Giovanni di Iasio , Luigi Infante , Fabrizio Lillo , Federico Pierobon