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This article develops general conditions for weak convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo processes and is shown to imply a weak law of large numbers for bounded Lipschitz continuous functions. This allows an estimation theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

In this paper, we study a discrete-time analogue of a Hawkes process, modelled as a Poisson autoregressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. The model is characterized to allow these parameters to take negative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

The expansion of a stochastic Liouville equation for the coupled evolution of a quantum system and an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process into a hierarchy of coupled differential equations is a useful technique that simplifies the simulation of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-02 Mohan Sarovar , Matthew D. Grace

In this article, we solve the problem of the long time behaviour of transition probabilities of time-inhomogeneous Markov processes and give a unified approach to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with periodic, quasi-periodic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Chunrong Feng , Baoyou Qu , Huaizhong Zhao

We propose a transfer principle to study the adapted 2-Wasserstein distance between stochastic processes. First, we obtain an explicit formula for the distance between real-valued mean-square continuous Gaussian processes by introducing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Yifan Jiang , Fang Rui Lim

The Hawkes process is a counting process that has self- and mutually-exciting features with many applications in various fields. In recent years, there have been many interests in the mean-field results of the Hawkes process and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Fuqing Gao , Yunshi Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we consider a random walk of a particle in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Convergence of different transformations of trajectories of random flights with Poisson switching moments has been obtained by Davydov and Konakov, as well as…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Alexander Falaleev , Valentin Konakov

We prove a law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem for multivariate Hawkes processes observed over a time interval $[0,T]$ in the limit $T \rightarrow \infty$. We further exhibit the asymptotic behaviour of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-07 Emmanuel Bacry , Sylvain Delattre , Marc Hoffmann , Jean François Muzy

We are concerned with scaling limits of the solutions to stochastic differential equations with stationary coefficients driven by Poisson random measures and Brownian motions. We state an annealed convergence theorem, in which the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-26 Remi Rhodes , Vincent Vargas

In this paper we study the frequentist properties of Bayesian approaches in linear high dimensional Hawkes processes in a sparse regime where the number of interaction functions acting on each component of the Hawkes process is much smaller…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Judith Rousseau , Vincent Rivoirard , Déborah Sulem

Let $X:=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be an ergodic Markov process on $\real^d$, and $p>0$. We derive upper bounds of the $p$-Wasserstein distance between the invariant measure and the empirical measures of the Markov process $X$. For this we assume,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 René L. Schilling , Jian Wang , Bingyao Wu , Jie-Xiang Zhu

Researchers from different areas have independently defined extensions of the usual weak convergence of laws of stochastic processes with the goal of adequately accounting for the flow of information. Natural approaches are convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Daniel Bartl , Mathias Beiglböck , Gudmund Pammer , Stefan Schrott , Xin Zhang

We consider the motion of a particle under a continuum random environment whose distribution is given by the Howitt-Warren flow. In the moderate deviation regime, we establish that the quenched density of the motion of the particle (after…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Sayan Das , Hindy Drillick , Shalin Parekh

We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Young Lee , Kar Wai Lim , Cheng Soon Ong

We examine the Langevin diffusion confined to a closed, convex domain $D\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, represented as a reflected stochastic differential equation. We introduce a sequence of penalized stochastic differential equations and prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Tarika Mane , Amine Boukardagha

We study the long time behavior of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process under the influence of a periodic drift. We prove that, under the standard diffusive rescaling, the law of the particle position converges weakly to the law of a Brownian…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Hairer , G. A. Pavliotis

Resetting a stochastic process is an important problem describing the evolution of physical, biological and other systems which are continually returned to their certain fixed point. We consider the motion of a subdiffusive particle with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-18 Aleksander A. Stanislavsky

We extend the ideas of (Barbour 1990) and use Stein's method to obtain a bound on the distance between a scaled time-changed random walk and a time-changed Brownian Motion. We then apply this result to bound the distance between a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Mikolaj J. Kasprzak

In this note we extend the continuous dual Hahn process constructed by Corwin and Knizel on a finite time interval to the entire real line by taking a limit of a closely related Markov process. We also characterize this Markov processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Wlodek Bryc

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian
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