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Estimating nonlinear functionals of probability distributions from samples is a fundamental statistical problem. The "plug-in" estimator obtained by applying the target functional to the empirical distribution of samples is biased.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Florian Schäfer

Survival analysis, which estimates the probability of event occurrence over time from censored data, is fundamental in numerous real-world applications, particularly in high-stakes domains such as healthcare and risk assessment. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Yu Liu , Weiyao Tao , Tong Xia , Simon Knight , Tingting Zhu

This paper considers the blind deconvolution of multiple modulated signals, and an arbitrary filter. Multiple inputs $\boldsymbol{s}_1, \boldsymbol{s}_2, \ldots, \boldsymbol{s}_N =: [\boldsymbol{s}_n]$ are modulated (pointwise multiplied)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Ali Ahmed

We introduce a new predictive mechanism that operates in the presence of hidden confounding across distributionally diverse data sources while ensuring consistent estimation of causal parameters-despite their recognized suboptimality for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

This paper focuses on solving a challenging problem of blind deconvolution demixing involving modulated inputs. Specifically, multiple input signals $s_n(t)$, each bandlimited to $B$ Hz, are modulated with known random sequences $r_n(t)$…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Humera Hameed , Ali Ahmed

This paper addresses the problem of stochastic optimization with decision-dependent uncertainty, a class of problems where the probability distribution of the uncertain parameters is influenced by the decision-maker's actions. While recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-12 John Cotrina , Gonzalo Flores , David Salas , Anton Svensson

Risk prediction models are widely used to guide real-world decision-making in areas such as healthcare and economics, and they also play a key role in estimating nuisance parameters in semiparametric inference. The super learner is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Anders Munch , Thomas A. Gerds

In this paper we present a spatially-adaptive method for image reconstruction that is based on the concept of statistical multiresolution estimation as introduced in [Frick K, Marnitz P, and Munk A. "Statistical multiresolution Dantzig…

Applications · Statistics 2012-04-19 Klaus Frick , Philipp Marnitz , Axel Munk

Transfer learning is beneficial for survival analysis, especially when the target study has a limited number of events. However, existing transfer learning methods rely on the restrictive assumption that the target and source studies share…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , D. Y. Lin

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

We propose a reinforcement learning method for estimating an optimal dynamic treatment regime for survival outcomes with dependent censoring. The estimator allows the failure time to be conditionally independent of censoring and dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Hunyong Cho , Shannon T. Holloway , David J. Couper , Michael R. Kosorok

We develop a unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning (autoDML) for inference on a broad class of statistical parameters. The framework applies to any smooth functional of a nonparametric M-estimand, defined as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Lars van der Laan , Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Alex Luedtke

We introduce a new approach to probabilistic unsupervised learning based on the recognition-parametrised model (RPM): a normalised semi-parametric hypothesis class for joint distributions over observed and latent variables. Under the key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 William I. Walker , Hugo Soulat , Changmin Yu , Maneesh Sahani

In this paper, we propose a flexible model for survival analysis using neural networks along with scalable optimization algorithms. One key technical challenge for directly applying maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to censored data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Jiaqi Ma , Qiaozhu Mei , Ji Zhu

Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) deals with the adaptation process of a model to an unlabeled target domain while annotated data is only available for a given source domain. This poses a challenging task, as the domain shift between…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Tobias Ringwald , Rainer Stiefelhagen

Over the last five decades, we have seen strong methodological advances in survival analysis, mainly in two separate strands: One strand is based on a parametric approach that assumes some response distribution. More prominent, however, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Sandra Siegfried , Bálint Tamási , Torsten Hothorn

This paper considers statistical inference for the explained variance $\beta^{\intercal}\Sigma \beta$ under the high-dimensional linear model $Y=X\beta+\epsilon$ in the semi-supervised setting, where $\beta$ is the regression vector and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

By applying Sklar's theorem to the Multivariate Bernoulli Distribution (MBD), this paper proposes a framework to decouple marginal distributions from the dependence structure, clarifying interactions among binary variables. Explicit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Arturo Erdely

In the field of cardio-thoracic surgery, valve function is monitored over time after surgery. The motivation for our research comes from a study which includes patients who received a human tissue valve in the aortic position. These…

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr
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