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We study auction design when a seller relies on machine-learning predictions of bidders' valuations that may be unreliable. Motivated by modern ML systems that are often accurate but occasionally fail in a way that is essentially…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Ilan Lobel , Humberto Moreira , Omar Mouchtaki

We establish nonparametric identification of auction models with continuous and nonseparable unobserved heterogeneity using three consecutive order statistics of bids. We then propose sieve maximum likelihood estimators for the joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-10 Yao Luo , Peijun Sang , Ruli Xiao

We present an extensive analysis of the key problem of learning optimal reserve prices for generalized second price auctions. We describe two algorithms for this task: one based on density estimation, and a novel algorithm benefiting from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-10 Mehryar Mohri , Andres Munoz Medina

For selling a single item to agents with independent but non-identically distributed values, the revenue optimal auction is complex. With respect to it, Hartline and Roughgarden (2009) showed that the approximation factor of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Saeed Alaei , Jason Hartline , Rad Niazadeh , Emmanouil Pountourakis , Yang Yuan

We consider online procurement auctions, where the agents arrive sequentially, in random order, and have private costs for their services. The buyer aims to maximize a monotone submodular value function for the subset of agents whose…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Andreas Charalampopoulos , Dimitris Fotakis , Panagiotis Patsilinakos , Thanos Tolias

Recently the online advertising market has exhibited a gradual shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions. Although there has been a line of works concerning online bidding strategies in first-price auctions, it still remains…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Rui Ai , Chang Wang , Chenchen Li , Jinshan Zhang , Wenhan Huang , Xiaotie Deng

The problem of market clearing is to set a price for an item such that quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. In this work, we cast the problem of predicting clearing prices into a learning framework and use the resulting models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Weiran Shen , Sébastien Lahaie , Renato Paes Leme

A single unit of a good is sold to one of two bidders. Each bidder has either a high prior valuation or a low prior valuation for the good. Their prior valuations are independently and identically distributed. Each bidder may observe an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-10 Wanchang Zhang

Automated negotiation is a well-known mechanism for autonomous agents to reach agreements. To realize beneficial agreements quickly, it is key to employ a good bidding strategy. When a negotiating agent has a good back-up plan, i.e., a high…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Tamara C. P. Florijn , Pinar Yolum , Tim Baarslag

Automated bidding, an emerging intelligent decision making paradigm powered by machine learning, has become popular in online advertising. Advertisers in automated bidding evaluate the cumulative utilities and have private financial…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Yidan Xing , Zhilin Zhang , Zhenzhe Zheng , Chuan Yu , Jian Xu , Fan Wu , Guihai Chen

We consider an online ad network problem in which an ad exchange auctions ad slots and intermediaries called demand side platforms (DSPs) buy these ad slots for their clients (advertisers). An intermediary represents multiple advertisers.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-07 Rahul Meshram , Kesav Kaza

In today's online advertising markets, a crucial requirement for an advertiser is to control her total expenditure within a time horizon under some budget. Among various budget control methods, throttling has emerged as a popular choice,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Zhaohua Chen , Chang Wang , Qian Wang , Yuqi Pan , Zhuming Shi , Zheng Cai , Yukun Ren , Zhihua Zhu , Xiaotie Deng

In this paper, we study how a budget-constrained bidder should learn to bid adaptively in repeated first-price auctions to maximize cumulative payoff. This problem arises from the recent industry-wide shift from second-price auctions to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yige Wang , Jiashuo Jiang

Robust mechanism design is a rising alternative to Bayesian mechanism design, which yields designs that do not rely on assumptions like full distributional knowledge. We apply this approach to mechanisms for selling a single item, assuming…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Nir Bachrach , Inbal Talgam-Cohen

In this paper, we analyze a natural learning algorithm for uniform pacing of advertising budgets, equipped to adapt to varying ad sale platform conditions. On the demand side, advertisers face a fundamental technical challenge in automating…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-14 MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi , Max Springer

Reserve prices are widely used in practice. The problem of designing revenue-optimal auctions based on reserve price has drawn much attention in the auction design community. Although they have been extensively studied, most developments…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-22 Yifan Huang , Dong Hao , Zhiyi Fan , Yuhang Guo , Bin Li

We propose a machine learning method to solve a mean-field game price formation model with common noise. This involves determining the price of a commodity traded among rational agents subject to a market clearing condition imposed by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Diogo Gomes , Julian Gutierrez , Mathieu Laurière

First-price auctions are one of the most popular mechanisms for selling goods and services, with applications ranging from display advertising to timber sales. Unlike their close cousin, the second-price auction, first-price auctions do not…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Rachitesh Kumar , Omar Mouchtaki

In online ad markets, a rising number of advertisers are employing bidding agencies to participate in ad auctions. These agencies are specialized in designing online algorithms and bidding on behalf of their clients. Typically, an agency…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Yurong Chen , Qian Wang , Zhijian Duan , Haoran Sun , Zhaohua Chen , Xiang Yan , Xiaotie Deng

Internet advertisers (buyers) repeatedly procure ad impressions from ad platforms (sellers) with the aim to maximize total conversion (i.e. ad value) while respecting both budget and return-on-investment (ROI) constraints for efficient…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Negin Golrezaei , Patrick Jaillet , Jason Cheuk Nam Liang , Vahab Mirrokni