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Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

We propose a general framework for studying optimal impulse control problem in the presence of uncertainty on the parameters. Given a prior on the distribution of the unknown parameters, we explain how it should evolve according to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-06 N. Baradel , B. Bouchard , Ngoc Minh Dang

This paper presents a joint optimisation framework for optimal estimation and stochastic optimal control with imperfect information. It provides a estimation and control scheme that can be decomposed into a classical optimal estimation step…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Emilien Flayac , Karim Dahia , Bruno Hérissé , Frédéric Jean

In this paper, we apply the nonlinear filtering theory to the estimation of the partially observed dynamics of anthracnose which is a phytopathology. The signal here is the inhibition rate and the observations are the fruit volume ant the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-05 David Jaurès Fotsa Mbogne

We consider the problem of nonlinear filtering of one-dimensional diffusions from noisy measurements. The filter is said to lose lock if the estimation error exits a prescribed region. In the case of phase estimation this region is one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. Fischler , Z. Schuss

We consider a statistical problem of detection of a signal with unknown energy in a multi-channel system, observed in a Gaussian noise. We assume that the signal can appear in the $k$-th channel with a known small prior probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-19 Evgeny Burnaev , Georgy Golubev

Filtering - the task of estimating the conditional distribution for states of a dynamical system given partial and noisy observations - is important in many areas of science and engineering, including weather and climate prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Enoch Luk , Andrew Stuart

A two-stage batch estimation algorithm for solving a class of nonlinear, static parameter estimation problems that appear in aerospace engineering applications is proposed. It is shown how these problems can be recast into a form suitable…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-18 Kerry Sun , Demoz Gebre-Egziabher

In this paper, we study parametric analysis of semidefinite optimization problems w.r.t. the perturbation of the objective function. We study the behavior of the optimal partition and optimal set mapping on a so-called nonlinearity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Ali Mohammad-Nezhad , Tamas Terlaky

The aim of this paper is to provide a variational interpretation of the nonlinear filter in continuous time. A time-stepping procedure is introduced, consisting of successive minimization problems in the space of probability densities. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Richard S. Laugesen , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn , Maxim Raginsky

In this paper, a new filter model called set-membership Kalman filter for nonlinear state estimation problems was designed, where both random and unknown but bounded uncertainties were considered simultaneously in the discrete-time system.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Ligang Sun , Hamza Alkhatib , Boris Kargoll , Vladik Kreinovich , Ingo Neumann

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

Towards understanding the fundamental limits of estimation from data of varied quality, we study the problem of estimating a mean parameter from heteroskedastic Gaussian observations where the variances are unknown and may vary arbitrarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Yanjun Han , Abhishek Shetty , Jacob Shkrob

At the beginning of this century, a real time solution of the nonlinear filtering problem without memory was proposed in [1, 2] by the third author and his collaborator, and it is later on referred to as Yau-Yau algorithm. During the last…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Zeju Sun , Xiuqiong Chen , Stephen S. -T. Yau

This paper focuses on designing a particle filter for randomly delayed measurements with an unknown latency probability. A generalized measurement model is adopted which includes measurements that are delayed randomly by an arbitrary but…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-03-22 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik , Paresh Date

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang

Wave propagation problems have many applications in physics and engineering, and the stochastic effects are important in accurately modeling them due to the uncertainty of the media. This paper considers and analyzes a fully discrete finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Yukun Li , Shuonan Wu , Yulong Xing

This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

In order to interact intelligently with objects in the world, animals must first transform neural population responses into estimates of the dynamic, unknown stimuli which caused them. The Bayesian solution to this problem is known as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Sacha Sokoloski

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations is a ubiquitous problem in a large number of applications, such as probabilistic weather forecasting and prediction of epidemics. Particle filters are a widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 E. Calvello , J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , P. Monmarché , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes