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Related papers: On Margins and Derandomisation in PAC-Bayes

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Deep neural networks (DNNs) have emerged as a powerful methodology with significant practical successes in fields such as computer vision and natural language processing. Recent works have demonstrated that sparsely connected DNNs with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 The Tien Mai

One goal in Bayesian machine learning is to encode prior knowledge into prior distributions, to model data efficiently. We consider prior knowledge from systems of linear partial differential equations together with their boundary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Markus Lange-Hegermann

We present a novel analysis of the expected risk of weighted majority vote in multiclass classification. The analysis takes correlation of predictions by ensemble members into account and provides a bound that is amenable to efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Andrés R. Masegosa , Stephan S. Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Yevgeny Seldin

Analysing statistical properties of neural networks is a central topic in statistics and machine learning. However, most results in the literature focus on the properties of the neural network minimizing the training error. The goal of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Laura Tinsi , Arnak S. Dalalyan

The Bayesian posterior minimizes the "inferential risk" which itself bounds the "predictive risk". This bound is tight when the likelihood and prior are well-specified. However since misspecification induces a gap, the Bayesian posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Warren R. Morningstar , Alexander A. Alemi , Joshua V. Dillon

In this article we present an algorithm to compute bounds on the marginals of a graphical model. For several small clusters of nodes upper and lower bounds on the marginal values are computed independently of the rest of the network. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-27 B. Kappen , M. Leisink

We prove new probabilistic upper bounds on generalization error of complex classifiers that are combinations of simple classifiers. Such combinations could be implemented by neural networks or by voting methods of combining the classifiers,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Dmitry Panchenko

We exploit qualitative probabilistic relationships among variables for computing bounds of conditional probability distributions of interest in Bayesian networks. Using the signs of qualitative relationships, we can implement abstraction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Chao-Lin Liu , Michael P. Wellman

We present a unified framework for deriving PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds. Unlike most previous literature on this topic, our bounds are anytime-valid (i.e., time-uniform), meaning that they hold at all stopping times, not only for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Ben Chugg , Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper contains a recipe for deriving new PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds based on the $(f, \Gamma)$-divergence, and, in addition, presents PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds where we interpolate between a series of probability divergences…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Paul Viallard , Maxime Haddouche , Umut Şimşekli , Benjamin Guedj

One of the defining properties of deep learning is that models are chosen to have many more parameters than available training data. In light of this capacity for overfitting, it is remarkable that simple algorithms like SGD reliably return…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Daniel M. Roy

We consider the problem of cost sensitive multiclass classification, where we would like to increase the sensitivity of an important class at the expense of a less important one. We adopt an {\em apportioned margin} framework to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-05 Lee-Ad Gottlieb , Eran Kaufman , Aryeh Kontorovich

Improved computational power has enabled different disciplines to predict causal relationships among modeled variables using Bayesian network inference. While many alternative algorithms have been proposed to improve the efficiency and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Habibolla Latifizadeh , Anika C. Pirkey , Alanna Gould , David J. Klinke

Let $f(\theta, X_1),$ $ \dots,$ $ f(\theta, X_n)$ be a sequence of random elements, where $f$ is a fixed scalar function, $X_1, \dots, X_n$ are independent random variables (data), and $\theta$ is a random parameter distributed according to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Ilja Kuzborskij , Kwang-Sung Jun , Yulian Wu , Kyoungseok Jang , Francesco Orabona

This article studies the achievable guarantees on the error rates of certain learning algorithms, with particular focus on refining logarithmic factors. Many of the results are based on a general technique for obtaining bounds on the error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Steve Hanneke

This paper is focused on dimension-free PAC-Bayesian bounds, under weak polynomial moment assumptions, allowing for heavy tailed sample distributions. It covers the estimation of the mean of a vector or a matrix, with applications to least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Olivier Catoni , Ilaria Giulini

Generalization bounds which assess the difference between the true risk and the empirical risk, have been studied extensively. However, to obtain bounds, current techniques use strict assumptions such as a uniformly bounded or a Lipschitz…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Itai Gat , Yossi Adi , Alexander Schwing , Tamir Hazan

Margin-based structured prediction commonly uses a maximum loss over all possible structured outputs \cite{Altun03,Collins04b,Taskar03}. In natural language processing, recent work \cite{Zhang14,Zhang15} has proposed the use of the maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-16 Jean Honorio , Tommi Jaakkola

The Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Bayes framework (McAllester, 1999) can incorporate knowledge about the learning algorithm and (data) distribution through the use of distribution-dependent priors, yielding tighter generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-22 Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Daniel M. Roy

It has been argued that in supervised classification tasks, in practice it may be more sensible to perform model selection with respect to some more focused model selection score, like the supervised (conditional) marginal likelihood, than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Henry Tirri