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The transition from conventional methods of energy production to renewable energy production necessitates better prediction models of the upcoming supply of renewable energy. In wind power production, error in forecasting production is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Alagappan Swaminathan , Venkatakrishnan Sutharsan , Tamilselvi Selvaraj

Renewable energy adoption has increased significantly over the past few years. However, with the increasing adoption of renewable energy, forecasting the net load has become a major challenge due to the inherent uncertainty associated with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Oluwafolajimi Samuel Bolusteve , Linhan Fang , Xingpeng Li

The integration of solar power has been increasing as the green energy transition rolls out. The penetration of solar power challenges the grid stability and energy scheduling, due to its intermittent energy generation. Accurate and near…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jinbao Wang , Jun Liu , Shiliang Zhang , Xuehui Ma

Efficient energy management of Distributed Renewable Energy Resources (DRER) enables a more sustainable and efficient energy ecosystem. Therefore, we propose a holistic Energy Management System (EMS), utilising the computational and energy…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Conor Mullaney , Adnan Aijaz , Rasheed Hussain

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

We introduce NeuralProphet, a successor to Facebook Prophet, which set an industry standard for explainable, scalable, and user-friendly forecasting frameworks. With the proliferation of time series data, explainable forecasting remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Oskar Triebe , Hansika Hewamalage , Polina Pilyugina , Nikolay Laptev , Christoph Bergmeir , Ram Rajagopal

The grid integration of intermittent Renewable Energy Sources (RES) causes costs for grid operators due to forecast uncertainty and the resulting production schedule mismatches. These so-called profile service costs are marginal cost…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-29 Jonas Müller , Marcus Hildmann , Andreas Ulbig , Göran Andersson

Long-duration energy storage (LDES) is a key component for fully renewable, sector-coupled energy systems based on wind and solar. While capacity expansion planning has begun to take into account interannual weather variability, it often…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-11 Felix Schmidt

Inspired from recent insights into the common ground of machine learning, optimization and decision-making, this paper proposes an easy-to-implement, but effective procedure to enhance both the quality of renewable energy forecasts and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Miguel Á. Muñoz , Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

Large penetration of renewable energy sources (RESs) brings huge uncertainty into the electricity markets. The current deterministic clearing approach in the day-ahead (DA) market, where RESs participate based on expected production, has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-07 Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Yuexin Bian , Yuanyuan Shi

Accurate renewable energy forecasting is essential to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and enabling grid decarbonization. However, current approaches fail to effectively integrate the rich spatial context of weather patterns with their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Federico Battini

We consider the performance modeling and evaluation of network systems powered with renewable energy sources such as solar and wind energy. Such energy sources largely depend on environmental conditions, which are hard to predict…

Performance · Computer Science 2011-08-09 Kui Wu , Yuming Jiang , Dimitri Marinakis

Accurate weather forecasting is essential for socioeconomic activities. While data-driven forecasting demonstrates superior predictive capabilities over traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) with reduced computational demands, its…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-12 Congyi Nai , Xi Chen , Shangshang Yang , Yuan Liang , Ziniu Xiao , Baoxiang Pan

This paper proposes a reliable energy scheduling framework for distributed energy resources (DER) of a residential area to achieve an appropriate daily electricity consumption with the maximum affordable demand response. Renewable and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-23 Anahita Moradmand , Mehrdad Dorostian , Bahram Shafai

New methods are proposed for adjusting probabilistic forecasts to ensure coherence with the aggregation constraints inherent in temporal hierarchies. The different approaches nested within this framework include methods that exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Jooyoung Jeon , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Fotios Petropoulos

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas

In two-stage electricity markets, renewable power producers enter the day-ahead market with a forecast of future power generation and then reconcile any forecast deviation in the real-time market at a penalty. The choice of the forecast…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-15 Vladimir Dvorkin

The ability to accurately forecast power generation from renewable sources is nowadays recognised as a fundamental skill to improve the operation of power systems. Despite the general interest of the power community in this topic, it is not…

The financial viability of renewable energy projects is challenged by the variability and unpredictability of production due to weather fluctuations. This paper proposes a novel risk management framework combining parametric insurance and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-29 Fallou Niakh , Alicia Bassière , Michel Denuit , Christian Robert

The European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) is a cornerstone of the EU's strategy to fight climate change and an important device for plummeting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in an economically efficient manner. The power industry…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-03 Arega Getaneh Abate , Rossana Riccardi , Carlos Ruiz
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