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We investigated the quality of forecasting of fractional Brownian motion, and new method for estimating of Hurst exponent is validated. Stochastic model of the time series in the form of converted fractional Brownian motion is proposed. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Valeria Bondarenko , Victor Bondarenko , Kiryl Truskovsky , Ina Taralova

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

In a previous paper, the authors proved a conjecture of Lalley and Sellke that the empirical (time-averaged) distribution function of the maximum of branching Brownian motion converges almost surely to a Gumbel distribution. The result is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-27 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

The goal of this paper is to establish a relation between characteristic polynomials of $N\times N$ GUE random matrices $\mathcal{H}$ as $N\to\infty$, and Gaussian processes with logarithmic correlations. We introduce a regularized version…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-09-05 Y. V. Fyodorov , B. A. Khoruzhenko , N. J. Simm

Consider a time-varying collection of n points on the positive real axis, modeled as exponentials of n Brownian motions whose drift vector at every time point is determined by the relative ranks of the coordinate processes at that time. If…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-06 Sourav Chatterjee , Soumik Pal

We apply the techniques of stochastic integration with respect to fractional Brownian motion and the theory of regularity and supremum estimation for stochastic processes to study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ciprian A. Tudor , Frederi G. Viens

The first passage time process of a L\'evy subordinator with heavy-tailed L\'evy measure has long-range dependent paths. The random fluctuations that appear under two natural schemes of summation and time scaling of such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Ingemar Kaj , Anders Martin-Löf

We introduce a class of Gaussian processes with stationary increments which exhibit long-range dependence. The class includes fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2 as a typical example. We establish infinite and finite past…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Akihiko Inoue , Vo Van Anh

A family of log-correlated Gaussian processes indexed by metric spaces is introduced, when the metric is conditionally negative definite. These processes arise as the limit of bi-fractional Brownian motions indexed by $(H,K)$ scaled by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Yizao Wang

The stable-regenerative multiple-stable model has been shown recently to have distinct candidate extremal index and extremal index. To understand further this rare phenomenon, two more results are established here for the double-stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Shuyang Bai , Rafał Kulik , Yizao Wang

We consider a discrete version of the Atlas model, which corresponds to a sequence of zero-range processes on a semi-infinite line, with a source at the origin and a diverging density of particles. We show that the equilibrium fluctuations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-20 F. Hernández , M. Jara , Fabio J. Valentim

Using structures of Abstract Wiener Spaces, we define a fractional Brownian field indexed by a product space $(0,1/2] \times L^2(T,m)$, $(T,m)$ a separable measure space, where the first coordinate corresponds to the Hurst parameter of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Alexandre Richard

We consider Brownian motions with one-sided collisions, meaning that each particle is reflected at its right neighbour. For a finite number of particles a Sch\"{u}tz-type formula is derived for the transition probability. We investigate an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-04-23 Patrik L. Ferrari , Herbert Spohn , Thomas Weiss

In many areas of science one aims to estimate latent sub-population mean curves based only on observations of aggregated population curves. By aggregated curves we mean linear combination of functional data that cannot be observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-15 Ronaldo Dias , Nancy L. Garcia , Alexandra M. Schmidt

This work focuses on moderate deviations for two-time scale systems with mixed fractional Brownian motion. Our proof uses the weak convergence method which is based on the variational representation formula for mixed fractional Brownian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Xiaoyu Yang , Yuzuru Inahama , Yong Xu

We consider the sum of two self-similar centred Gaussian processes with different self-similarity indices. Under non-negativity assumptions of covariance functions and some further minor conditions, we show that the asymptotic behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian , Ercan Sönmez

The fractional Brownian motion can be considered as a Gaussian field indexed by $(t,H)\in {\mathbb{R}_{+}\times (0,1)}$, where $H$ is the Hurst parameter. On compact time intervals, it is known to be almost surely jointly H\"older…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-06 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

We study the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient in complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by fractional Brownian motion, extending the results of Chen, Hu, Wang…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Fares Alazemi , Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

This paper introduces a general and new formalism to model the turbulent wave-front phase using fractional Brownian motion processes. Moreover, it extends results to non-Kolmogorov turbulence. In particular, generalized expressions for the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Dario G. Perez , Luciano Zunino , Mario Garavaglia

We construct a new process using a fractional Brownian motion and a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the Second Kind as building blocks. We consider the increments of the new process in discrete time and, as a result, we obtain a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-11 José Igor Morlanes