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We consider a class of birth/death like process corresponding to coupled biochemical reactions and consider the problem of quantifying the variance of the molecular species in terms of the rates of the reactions. In particular, we address…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Giovanni Pugliese Carratelli , Ioannis Leastas

Systems that evolve towards a state from which they cannot depart are common in nature. But the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, a fundamental result in statistical mechanics, is mainly restricted to systems near-stationarity. In processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-25 Prajwal Padmanabha , Sandro Azaele , Amos Maritan

In calculations of the inspiral of binary black holes an intermediate approximation is needed that can bridge the post-Newtonian methods of the early inspiral and the numerical relativity computations of the final plunge. We describe here…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 Benjamin Bromley , Robert Owen , Richard H. Price

Birth-and-death processes (BDPs) form a class of continuous-time Markov chains that are particularly suited to describing the changes in the size of a population over time. Population-size-dependent BDPs (PSDBDPs) allow the rate at which a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-12 Sophie Hautphenne , Brendan Patch

We introduce an interacting particle system which models the inherited sterility method. Individuals evolve on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ according to a contact process with parameter $\lambda>0$. With probability $p \in [0,1]$ an offspring is fertile…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Sonia Velasco

We develop a likelihood-based inference for finite-state birth-death processes with composite birth rates, in which multiple distinct mechanisms contribute additively to the total birth intensity. Our main motivating example is an SIS…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Marko Lalovic , Nicos Georgiou , Istvan Z. Kiss

Despite remarkable progress made in natural language processing, even the state-of-the-art models often make incorrect predictions. Such predictions hamper the reliability of systems and limit their widespread adoption in real-world…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Neeraj Varshney , Chitta Baral

Employing model predictive control to systems with unbounded, stochastic disturbances poses the challenge of guaranteeing safety, i.e., repeated feasibility and stability of the closed-loop system. Especially, there are no strict repeated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-11 Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

In this paper we review some results on time-homogeneous birth-death processes. Specifically, for truncated birth-death processes with two absorbing or two reflecting endpoints, we recall the necessary and sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci

We consider the problem of extinction processes on random networks with a given structure. For sufficiently large well-mixed populations, the process of extinction of one or more state variable components occurs in the tail of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-13 Brandon S. Lindley , Leah B. Shaw , Ira B. Schwartz

A combination of implicit and explicit timestepping is analyzed for a system of ODEs motivated by ones arising from spatial discretizations of evolutionary partial differential equations. Loosely speaking, the method we consider is implicit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Mihai Anitescu , William J. Layton , Faranak Pahlevani

We study a fractional birth-death process with state dependent birth and death rates. It is defined using a system of fractional differential equations that generalizes the classical birth-death process introduced by Feller (1939). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 K. K. Kataria , P. Vishwakarma

This paper is an attempt to formalize analytically the question raised in "World Population Explained: Do Dead People Outnumber Living, Or Vice Versa?" Huffington Post, \cite{HJ}. We start developing simple deterministic Malthusian growth…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Jean Avan , Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

Preterm births occur at an alarming rate of 10-15%. Preemies have a higher risk of infant mortality, developmental retardation and long-term disabilities. Predicting preterm birth is difficult, even for the most experienced clinicians. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-29 Truyen Tran , Wei Luo , Dinh Phung , Jonathan Morris , Kristen Rickard , Svetha Venkatesh

Mathematical models of population extinction have a variety of applications in such areas as ecology, paleontology and conservation biology. Here we propose and investigate two types of sub-exponential models of population extinction.The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-05 Georgy P. Karev , Irina G. Kareva

We present a stochastic model for the size of a taxon in paleobiology, in which we allow for the evolution of new taxon members, and both individual and catastrophic extinction events. The model uses ideas from the theory of birth and death…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Barry D. Hughes , William J. Reed

We consider excursions for a class of stochastic processes describing a population of discrete individuals experiencing density-limited growth, such that the population has a finite carrying capacity and behaves qualitatively like the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-10 Todd L. Parsons

Our paper computationally explores the extinction dynamics of an animal species effected by a sudden spike in mortality due to an extreme event. In our study, the animal species has a 2-year life cycle and is endowed with a high survival…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Sukanto Bhattacharya , Sreepurna Malakar

A novel powerful mathematical method is presented, which allows us to find an analytical solution of a simplified version of the statistical multifragmentation model with the restriction that the largest fragment size cannot exceed the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Kyrill A. Bugaev

We consider Poisson's equation for quasi-birth-and-death processes (QBDs) and we exploit the special transition structure of QBDs to obtain its solutions in two different forms. One is based on a decomposition through first passage times to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-13 Sarah Dendievel , Guy Latouche , Yuanyuan Liu