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We finely describe the "coming down from infinity" for birth and death processes which eventually become extinct. Our biological motivation is to study the decrease of regulated populations which are initially large. Under general…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard , Mathieu Richard

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

We consider a birth-death process with the birth rates $i\lambda$ and death rates $i\mu +i(i-1)\theta$, where $i$ is the current state of the process. A positive competition rate $\theta$ is assumed to be small. In the supercritical case…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

In this article, we provide different representations for a time-fractional birth and death process $N_{\alpha}(t)$, whose transition probabilities are governed by a time-fractional system of differential equations. More specifically, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Jorge Littin

We consider a class of birth-and-death processes describing a population made of $d$ sub-populations of different types which interact with one another. The state space is $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ (unbounded). We assume that the population goes…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

Spatial birth-and-death processes with time dependent rates are obtained as solutions to certain stochastic equations. The existence, uniqueness, uniqueness in law and the strong Markov property of unique solutions are proven when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Spatial birth and death processes are obtained as solutions of a system of stochastic equations. The processes are required to be locally finite, but may involve an infinite population over the full (noncompact) type space. Conditions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nancy L. Garcia , Thomas G. Kurtz

Poisson's equation plays a fundamental role as a tool for performance evaluation and optimization of Markov chains. For continuous-time birth-death chains with possibly unbounded transition and cost rates as addressed herein, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-28 José Niño-Mora

We consider extinction times for a class of birth-death processes commonly found in applications, where there is a control parameter which determines whether the population quickly becomes extinct, or rather persists for a long time. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Charles R. Doering , Khachik V. Sargsyan , Leonard M. Sander

The simple (linear) birth-and-death process is a widely used stochastic model for describing the dynamics of a population. When the process is observed discretely over time, despite the large amount of literature on the subject, little is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Alberto Pessia , Jing Tang

We consider a hybrid method to simulate the return time to the initial state in a critical-case birth--death process. The expected value of this return time is infinite, but its distribution asymptotically follows a power-law. Hence, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Krzysztof Bartoszek

We study two time-changed variants of the birth-death process with catastrophe where the time-changing components are the first hitting times of the stable subordinator and the tempered stable subordinator. For both the processes, we derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Kuldeep Kumar Kataria , Rohini Bhagwanrao Pote

We study a class of multi-species birth-and-death processes going almost surely to extinction and admitting a unique quasi-stationary distribution (qsd for short). When rescaled by $K$ and in the limit $K\to+\infty$, the realizations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Martínez , S. Méléard

Spatial birth-and-death processes with a finite number of particles are obtained as unique solutions to certain stochastic equations. Conditions are given for existence and uniqueness of such solutions, as well as for continuous dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Viktor Bezborodov

Many numerical problems with input $x$ and output $y$ can be formulated as a system of equations $F(x, y) = 0$ where the goal is to solve for $y$. The condition number measures the change of $y$ for small perturbations to $x$. From this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Nick Dewaele , Nick Vannieuwenhoven

We consider the rates of noise-induced switching between the stable states of dissipative dynamical systems with delay and also the rates of noise-induced extinction, where such systems model population dynamics. We study a class of systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ira B. Schwartz , Lora Billings , Thomas W. Carr , Mark Dykman

The paper studies the counting process arising as a subset of births and deaths in a birth--death process on a finite state space. Whenever a birth or death occurs, the process is incremented or not depending on the outcome of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Daryl. J. Daley , Yoni Nazarathy , Jiesen Wang

Birth-death processes take place ubiquitously throughout the universe. In general, birth and death rates depend on the system size (corresponding to the number of products or customers undergoing the birth-death process) and thus vary every…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-19 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi
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