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Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) samples efficiently from high-dimensional posterior distributions with proposed parameter draws obtained by iterating on a discretized version of the Hamiltonian dynamics. The iterations make HMC…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-03 Khue-Dung Dang , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Mattias Villani

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) improves the computational efficiency of the Metropolis algorithm by reducing its random walk behavior. Riemannian Manifold HMC (RMHMC) further improves HMC's performance by exploiting the geometric properties…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Vassilios Stathopoulos , Babak Shahbaba , Mark Girolami

Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

We introduce a new method to simulate the physics of rare events. The method, an extension of the Temperature Accelerated Molecular Dynamics, comes in use when the collective variables introduced to characterize the rare events are either…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-09-13 Giovanni Ciccotti , Simone Meloni

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a methodology for sampling approximately from a sequence of probability distributions of increasing dimension and estimating their normalizing constants. We propose here an alternative methodology named…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-13 Anthony Brockwell , Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

We introduce a new class of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, which we call free energy SMC. This class is inspired by free energy methods, which originate from Physics, and where one samples from a biased distribution such that a given…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-16 Nicolas Chopin , Pierre Jacob

Being the most classical generative model for serial data, state-space models (SSM) are fundamental in AI and statistical machine learning. In SSM, any form of parameter learning or latent state inference typically involves the computation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-04 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) has become increasingly popular for simulating posterior samples in large-scale Bayesian modeling. However, existing SG-MCMC schemes are not tailored to any specific probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Wenbo Gong , Yingzhen Li , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

It has become increasingly important to include one or more individual flavours of dynamical fermion in lattice QCD simulations. This is due in part to the advent of QCD+QED calculations, where isospin symmetry breaking means that the up,…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2019-03-27 Taylor Haar , Waseem Kamleh , James Zanotti , Yoshifumi Nakamura

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are not only a popular tool in the analysis of state space models, but offer an alternative to MCMC in situations where Bayesian inference must proceed via simulation. This paper introduces a new SMC…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-11 Paul Fearnhead , Benjamin M. Taylor

We build on auto-encoding sequential Monte Carlo (AESMC): a method for model and proposal learning based on maximizing the lower bound to the log marginal likelihood in a broad family of structured probabilistic models. Our approach relies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-06 Tuan Anh Le , Maximilian Igl , Tom Rainforth , Tom Jin , Frank Wood

This paper concerns the use of sequential Monte Carlo methods (SMC) for smoothing in general state space models. A well-known problem when applying the standard SMC technique in the smoothing mode is that the resampling mechanism introduces…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-06 Jimmy Olsson , Olivier Cappé , Randal Douc , Eric Moulines

We unify slice sampling and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling, demonstrating their connection via the Hamiltonian-Jacobi equation from Hamiltonian mechanics. This insight enables extension of HMC and slice sampling to a broader family…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-12 Yizhe Zhang , Xiangyu Wang , Changyou Chen , Ricardo Henao , Kai Fan , Lawrence Carin

Monte Carlo simulation is often used for the reliability assessment of power systems, but it converges slowly when the system is complex. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) can be applied to speed up computation without compromises on model…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-12 Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon Tindemans

Self-learning Monte Carlo method [arXiv:1610.03137, 1611.09364] is a powerful general-purpose numerical method recently introduced to simulate many-body systems. In this work, we implement this method in the framework of determinantal…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2018-07-12 Xiao Yan Xu , Yang Qi , Junwei Liu , Liang Fu , Zi Yang Meng

In this article we develop a multi-grid multi-level Monte Carlo (MGMLMC) method for the stochastic Stokes-Darcy interface model with random hydraulic conductivity both in the porous media domain and on the interface. Because the randomness…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Zhipeng Yang , Xiaoming He , Li Zhang , Ju Ming

Sampling-based inference has seen a surge of interest in recent years. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has emerged as a powerful algorithm that leverages concepts from Hamiltonian dynamics to efficiently explore complex target distributions.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-07 Arghya Mukherjee , Dootika Vats

Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) can be used to train accurate machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs), enabling molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of complex materials on time scales and for system sizes previously unattainable. VMC…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2025-11-11 Giacomo Tenti , Kousuke Nakano , Michele Casula

Conventional diagonalization methods to calculate nuclear energy levels in the framework of the configuration-interaction (CI) shell model approach are prohibited in very large model spaces. The shell model Monte Carlo (SMMC) is a powerful…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-01-08 Y. Alhassid , M. Bonett-Matiz , C. N. Gilbreth , S. Vartak

Self-learning Monte Carlo (SLMC) methods are recently proposed to accelerate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods using a machine learning model. With latent generative models, SLMC methods realize efficient Monte Carlo updates with less…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-21 Yuma Ichikawa , Akira Nakagawa , Hiromoto Masayuki , Yuhei Umeda