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We develop Bayesian machine learning methods for mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. This involves handling frequency mismatches and specifying functional relationships between many predictors and the dependent variable. We use…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

Gaussian process (GP) regression has been widely used in supervised machine learning due to its flexibility and inherent ability to describe uncertainty in function estimation. In the context of control, it is seeing increasing use for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Lukas Hewing , Juraj Kabzan , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful approach to sample-efficient optimization of black-box functions. However, in settings with very few function evaluations, a successful application of BO may require transferring information from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Aryan Deshwal , Sait Cakmak , Yuhou Xia , David Eriksson

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a generic modelling tool for supervised learning. While they have been successfully applied on large datasets, their use in safety-critical applications is hindered by the lack of good performance guarantees. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 David Reeb , Andreas Doerr , Sebastian Gerwinn , Barbara Rakitsch

Distributed algorithms have been playing an increasingly important role in many applications such as machine learning, signal processing, and control. Significant research efforts have been devoted to developing and analyzing new algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Xinwei Zhang , Mingyi Hong , Nicola Elia

Spatial regression of random fields based on potentially biased sensing information is proposed in this paper. One major concern in such applications is that since it is not known a-priori what the accuracy of the collected data from each…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-04 Qikun Xiang , Ido Nevat , Gareth W. Peters

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful framework for optimizing expensive black-box objectives, yet extending it to graph-structured domains remains challenging due to the discrete and combinatorial nature of graphs. Existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Shu Hong , Yongsheng Mei , Mahdi Imani , Tian Lan

Collecting operationally realistic data to inform machine learning models can be costly. Before collecting new data, it is helpful to understand where a model is deficient. For example, object detectors trained on images of rare objects may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Robert B. Gramacy , Justin A. Krometis

Bayesian optimisation is a popular technique for hyperparameter learning but typically requires initial exploration even in cases where similar prior tasks have been solved. We propose to transfer information across tasks using learnt…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Ho Chung Leon Law , Peilin Zhao , Lucian Chan , Junzhou Huang , Dino Sejdinovic

The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

In order to improve the performance of Bayesian optimisation, we develop a modified Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) acquisition function. This is done by sampling the exploration-exploitation trade-off parameter from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Julian Berk , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

Analysis of heterogeneous patterns in complex spatio-temporal data finds usage across various domains in applied science and engineering, including training autonomous vehicles to navigate in complex traffic scenarios. Motivated by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Sunrit Chakraborty , Aritra Guha , Rayleigh Lei , XuanLong Nguyen

This paper focuses on distributed learning-based control of decentralized multi-agent systems where the agents' dynamics are modeled by Gaussian Processes (GPs). Two fundamental problems are considered: the optimal design of experiment for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Viet-Anh Le , Truong X. Nghiem

Data dispersed across multiple files are commonly integrated through probabilistic linkage methods, where even minimal error rates in record matching can significantly contaminate subsequent statistical analyses. In regression problems, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Abhisek Chakraborty , Saptati Datta

Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

We propose an efficient meta-algorithm for Bayesian estimation problems that is based on low-degree polynomials, semidefinite programming, and tensor decomposition. The algorithm is inspired by recent lower bound constructions for…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-10-04 Samuel B. Hopkins , David Steurer

Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Thomas Y. Sun , Daniel R. Kowal

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

We employ Gaussian process (GP) regression to adjust for systematic errors in D3-type dispersion corrections introducing the associated, statistically improved model D3-GP. We generated a data set containing interaction energies for 1,248…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-12-03 Jonny Proppe , Stefan Gugler , Markus Reiher

We consider the problem of sampling from a product-of-experts-type model that encompasses many standard prior and posterior distributions commonly found in Bayesian imaging. We show that this model can be easily lifted into a novel latent…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-16 Muhamed Kuric , Martin Zach , Andreas Habring , Michael Unser , Thomas Pock
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