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This paper proposes using a sparse-structured multivariate Gaussian to provide a closed-form approximator for the output of probabilistic ensemble models used for dense image prediction tasks. This is achieved through a convolutional neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Ivor J. A. Simpson , Sara Vicente , Neill D. F. Campbell

Understanding the dimension dependency of computational complexity in high-dimensional sampling problem is a fundamental problem, both from a practical and theoretical perspective. Compared with samplers with unbiased stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Xunpeng Huang , Hanze Dong , Difan Zou , Tong Zhang

We study the linear convergence of variants of the Frank-Wolfe algorithms for some classes of strongly convex problems, using only affine-invariant quantities. As in Guelat & Marcotte (1986), we show the linear convergence of the standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Simon Lacoste-Julien , Martin Jaggi

The so-called trivializing flows were proposed to speed up Hybrid Monte Carlo simulations, where the Wilson flow was used as an approximation of a trivializing map, a transformation of the gauge fields which trivializes the theory. It was…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-10-06 David Albandea , Luigi Del Debbio , Pilar Hernández , Richard Kenway , Joe Marsh Rossney , Alberto Ramos

Flow matching (FM) constructs continuous-time ODE samplers by prescribing probability paths between a base distribution and a target distribution. In this note, we study FM through the lens of finite-sample plug-in estimation. In addition…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Soon Hoe Lim

Analogs are nearest neighbors of the state of a system. By using analogs and their successors in time, one is able to produce empirical forecasts. Several analog forecasting methods have been used in atmospheric applications and tested on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-28 P Platzer , P. Yiou , P. Naveau , P Tandeo , Y Zhen , P Ailliot , J-F Filipot

We propose a federated averaging Langevin algorithm (FA-LD) for uncertainty quantification and mean predictions with distributed clients. In particular, we generalize beyond normal posterior distributions and consider a general class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Wei Deng , Qian Zhang , Yi-An Ma , Zhao Song , Guang Lin

In this paper, we study the problem of sampling from log-concave distributions supported on convex, compact sets, with a particular focus on the randomized midpoint discretization of both vanilla and kinetic Langevin diffusions in this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Yifeng Yu , Lu Yu

Recent works on learned index open a new direction for the indexing field. The key insight of the learned index is to approximate the mapping between keys and positions with piece-wise linear functions. Such methods require partitioning key…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Shangyu Wu , Yufei Cui , Jinghuan Yu , Xuan Sun , Tei-Wei Kuo , Chun Jason Xue

In this paper, we provide some general convergence results for adaptive designs for treatment comparison, both in the absence and presence of covariates. In particular, we demonstrate the almost sure convergence of the treatment allocation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-01 Alessandro Baldi Antognini , Maroussa Zagoraiou

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

Many models of interest in the natural and social sciences have no closed-form likelihood function, which means that they cannot be treated using the usual techniques of statistical inference. In the case where such models can be…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-19 Simon Barthelmé , Nicolas Chopin

We study a normalizing flow in the latent space of a top-down generator model, in which the normalizing flow model plays the role of the informative prior model of the generator. We propose to jointly learn the latent space normalizing flow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-24 Jianwen Xie , Yaxuan Zhu , Yifei Xu , Dingcheng Li , Ping Li

The sampling of probability distributions specified up to a normalization constant is an important problem in both machine learning and statistical mechanics. While classical stochastic sampling methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Hao Wu , Jonas Köhler , Frank Noé

We propose a safe approximation to joint chance-constrained programming where the constraint functions are additively dependent on a normally-distributed random vector. The approximation is analytical, meaning that it requires neither…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Nan Li , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Anouck Girard

Sampling from high-dimensional, multi-modal distributions remains a fundamental challenge across domains such as statistical Bayesian inference and physics-based machine learning. In this paper, we propose Annealing Flow (AF), a method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-28 Dongze Wu , Yao Xie

Random graphs offer a useful mathematical representation of a variety of real world complex networks. Exponential random graphs, for example, are particularly suited towards generating random graphs constrained to have specified statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-09 Alessio Catanzaro , Diego Garlaschelli , Subodh P. Patil

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

We present a general (i.e., independent of the underlying model) interpolation technique based on optimal transportation of Gaussian models for parametric advection-dominated problems. The approach relies on a scalar testing function to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Angelo Iollo , Tommaso Taddei

Both Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) and composite likelihood methods are useful for Bayesian and frequentist inference, respectively, when the likelihood function is intractable. We propose to use composite likelihood score…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-25 Erlis Ruli , Nicola Sartori , Laura Ventura