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We present simple classical dynamical models to illustrate the idea of introducing a stochasticity with non-locality into the time variable. For stochasticity in time, these models include noise in the time variable but not in the "space"…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Toru Ohira

This is a paper in the intersection of time series analysis and complexity theory that presents new results on permutation complexity in general and permutation entropy in particular. In this context, permutation complexity refers to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-08 J. M. Amigó , R. Dale , P. Tempesta

The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes

Chaotic systems are intrinsically sensitive to small errors, challenging efforts to construct predictive data-driven models of real-world dynamical systems such as fluid flows or neuronal activity. Prior efforts comprise either specialized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Jeffrey Lai , Anthony Bao , William Gilpin

Approximate variational inference has shown to be a powerful tool for modeling unknown complex probability distributions. Recent advances in the field allow us to learn probabilistic models of sequences that actively exploit spatial and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-15 Maximilian Soelch , Justin Bayer , Marvin Ludersdorfer , Patrick van der Smagt

Time series datasets often have missing or corrupted entries, which need to be ignored in subsequent data analysis. For example, in the context of space physics, calibration issues, satellite telemetry issues, and unexpected events can make…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-05 Daniel Wrench , Tulasi N. Parashar , Ritesh K. Singh , Marcus Frean , Ramesh Rayudu

High particle rates in current and future experiments make pile-up phenomena a critical issue for extracting useful information. In this context, timing can be important as the 4$^{\mathrm{th}}$ dimension parameter for triggering or event…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-12-05 A. Kallitsopoulou , I. Maniatis , I. Manthos , T. Papaevangelou , L. Sohl , A. Tsiamis , S. E. Tzamarias

In the present paper a newer application of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has been developed i.e., predicting response-function results of electrical-mechanical system through ANN. This method is specially useful to complex systems for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2011-11-09 R. C. Gupta , Ankur Agarwal , Ruchi Gupta , Sanjay Gupta

Network structures underlie the dynamics of many complex phenomena, from gene regulation and foodwebs to power grids and social media. Yet, as they often cannot be observed directly, their connectivities must be inferred from observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Thomas Gaskin , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Mark Girolami

Shannon Entropy is the preeminent tool for measuring the level of uncertainty (and conversely, information content) in a random variable. In the field of communications, entropy can be used to express the information content of given…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Bill Kay , Audun Myers , Thad Boydston , Emily Ellwein , Cameron Mackenzie , Iliana Alvarez , Erik Lentz

Neural processes (NPs) learn stochastic processes and predict the distribution of target output adaptively conditioned on a context set of observed input-output pairs. Furthermore, Attentive Neural Process (ANP) improved the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Shenghao Qin , Jiacheng Zhu , Jimmy Qin , Wenshuo Wang , Ding Zhao

Reconstructing noise-driven nonlinear networks from time series of output variables is a challenging problem, which turns to be very difficult when nonlinearity of dynamics, strong noise impacts and low measurement frequencies jointly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-20 Rundong Shi , Gang Hu , Shihong Wang

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke

Many stochastic time series can be described by a Langevin equation composed of a deterministic and a stochastic dynamical part. Such a stochastic process can be reconstructed by means of a recently introduced nonparametric method, thus…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 J. Carvalho , F. Raischel , M. Haase , P. G. Lind

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

We study associative memory based on temporal coding in which successful retrieval is realized as an entrainment in a network of simple phase oscillators with distributed natural frequencies under the influence of white noise. The memory…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Masahiko Yoshioka , Masatoshi Shiino

Although recent studies on time-series anomaly detection have increasingly adopted ever-larger neural network architectures such as transformers and foundation models, they incur high computational costs and memory usage, making them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Jinju Park , Seokho Kang

A steadily increasing body of evidence suggests that the brain performs probabilistic inference to interpret and respond to sensory input and that trial-to-trial variability in neural activity plays an important role. The neural sampling…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-07 Ilja Bytschok , Dominik Dold , Johannes Schemmel , Karlheinz Meier , Mihai A. Petrovici

Measuring the predictability and complexity of time series using entropy is essential tool de-signing and controlling a nonlinear system. However, the existing methods have some drawbacks related to the strong dependence of entropy on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Andrei Velichko , Hanif Heidari

We propose a physics-informed Echo State Network (ESN) to predict the evolution of chaotic systems. Compared to conventional ESNs, the physics-informed ESNs are trained to solve supervised learning tasks while ensuring that their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri