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We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

Time series anomaly detection plays a critical role in automated monitoring systems. Most previous deep learning efforts related to time series anomaly detection were based on recurrent neural networks (RNN). In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Tailai Wen , Roy Keyes

Neural-network models of high-level brain functions such as memory recall and reasoning often rely on the presence of stochasticity. The majority of these models assumes that each neuron in the functional network is equipped with its own…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 Jakob Jordan , Mihai A. Petrovici , Oliver Breitwieser , Johannes Schemmel , Karlheinz Meier , Markus Diesmann , Tom Tetzlaff

An approach to the time-accurate prediction of chaotic solutions is by learning temporal patterns from data. Echo State Networks (ESNs), which are a class of Reservoir Computing, can accurately predict the chaotic dynamics well beyond the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

Context: Several approaches to estimate frequency, phase and amplitude errors in time series analyses were reported in the literature, but they are either time consuming to compute, grossly overestimating the error, or are based on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 T. Kallinger , P. Reegen , W. W. Weiss

We propose a mechanism which produces periodic variations of the degree of predictability in dynamical systems. It is shown that even in the absence of noise when the control parameter changes periodically in time, below and above the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 A. Crisanti , M. Falcioni , G. Paladin , A. Vulpiani

Conditional differential entropy provides an intuitive measure for relatively ranking time-series complexity by quantifying uncertainty in future observations given past context. However, its direct computation for high-dimensional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Jacob Ayers , Richard Hahnloser , Julia Ulrich , Lothar Sebastian Krapp , Remo Nitschke , Sabine Stoll , Balthasar Bickel , Reinhard Furrer

This paper discusses the problem of estimating a stochastic signal from nonlinear uncertain observations with time-correlated additive noise described by a first-order Markov process. Random deception attacks are assumed to be launched by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-09 R. Caballero-Águila , J. Hu , J. Linares-Pérez

We model acoustic dynamics in space and time from synthetic sensor data. The tasks are (i) to predict and extrapolate the spatiotemporal dynamics, and (ii) reconstruct the acoustic state from partial observations. To achieve this, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-12 Defne Ege Ozan , Luca Magri

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

Taking a multidimensional time-homogeneous dynamical system and adding a randomly perturbed time-dependent deterministic signal to some of its components gives rise to a high-dimensional system of stochastic differential equations which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Simon Holbach

Stochasticity is both exploited and controlled by cells. Although the intrinsic stochasticity inherent in biochemistry is relatively well understood, cellular variation, or 'noise', is predominantly generated by interactions of the system…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2008-09-18 Vahid Shahrezaei , Julien F Ollivier , Peter S Swain

In this work, time series analysis techniques are used to analyze sequential, equispaced mass measurements of a Si density artifact, collected from an electromechanical transducer. Specifically, techniques such as Power Spectral Density,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-03-01 Dimitra Georgakaki , Chris Mitsas , Hariton Polatoglou

The timing of individual neuronal spikes is essential for biological brains to make fast responses to sensory stimuli. However, conventional artificial neural networks lack the intrinsic temporal coding ability present in biological…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Iulia M. Comsa , Krzysztof Potempa , Luca Versari , Thomas Fischbacher , Andrea Gesmundo , Jyrki Alakuijala

Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process. Mean-variance estimation networks can learn this type of uncertainty but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jiaxiang Yi , Miguel A. Bessa

To understand the ability and limitations of convolutional neural networks to generate time series that mimic complex temporal signals, we trained a generative adversarial network consisting of deep convolutional networks to generate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Yuki Tanaka , Yutaka Yamaguti

We present for the first time an asymptotic convergence analysis of two time-scale stochastic approximation driven by "controlled" Markov noise. In particular, the faster and slower recursions have non-additive controlled Markov noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Prasenjit Karmakar

This paper demonstrates the application of Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks to Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) inverse problems. We consider the case of estimating an unknown chaotic dynamical system transition model from state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 David K. E. Green , Filip Rindler

The study of experimental data is a relevant task in several physical, chemical and biological applications. In particular, the analysis of chaotic dynamics in cardiac systems is crucial as it can be related to some pathological…

Spectroscopically measuring low levels of non-equilibrium phenomena (e.g. emission in the presence of a large thermal background) can be problematic due to an unfavorable signal-to-noise ratio. An approach is presented to use time-series…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-04-08 John Scoville