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A hybrid approach, incorporating concepts of nonlinear dynamics in artificial neural networks (ANN), is proposed to model time series generated by complex dynamic systems. We introduce well known features used in the study of dynamic…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 D. R. Kulkarni , A. S. Pandya , J. C. Parikh

With the increasing use of nonlinear devices in both generation and consumption of power, it is essential that we develop accurate and quick control for active filters to suppress harmonics. Time delays between input and output are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-04 Dixant Bikal Sapkota , Puskar Neupane , Kajal Pokharel , Shahabuddin Khan

Nonlinear time series analysis is an active field of research that studies the structure of complex signals in order to derive information of the process that generated those series, for understanding, modeling and forecasting purposes. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Lucas Lacasa , Raul Toral

The applicability of machine learning for predicting chaotic dynamics relies heavily upon the data used in the training stage. Chaotic time series obtained by numerically solving ordinary differential equations embed a complicated noise of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-13 Igor A Khovanov

In experiments, the dynamical behavior of systems is reflected in time series. Due to the finiteness of the observational data set it is not possible to reconstruct the invariant measure up to arbitrary fine resolution and arbitrary high…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Cencini , M. Falcioni , H. Kantz , E. Olbrich , A. Vulpiani

Approaches for mapping time series to networks have become essential tools for dealing with the increasing challenges of characterizing data from complex systems. Among the different algorithms, the recently proposed ordinal networks stand…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-10-15 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

We present a general system identification procedure capable of estimating of a broad spectrum of state-space dynamical models, including linear time-invariant (LTI), linear parameter-varying} (LPV), and nonlinear (NL) dynamics, along with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Alberto Bemporad , Roland Tóth

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-18 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

Biological neural networks effortlessly tackle complex computational problems and excel at predicting outcomes from noisy, incomplete data, a task that poses significant challenges to traditional processors. Artificial neural networks…

Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by recurrent neural networks (RNNs) based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine the internal dynamics of RNNs and establish a set of conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Boris Rubinstein

The rapid advancement of models based on artificial intelligence demands innovative monitoring techniques which can operate in real time with low computational costs. In machine learning, especially if we consider artificial neural networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anna Malinovskaya , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Philipp Otto

Certain deterministic non-linear systems may show chaotic behaviour. Time series derived from such systems seem stochastic when analyzed with linear techniques. However, uncovering the deterministic structure is important because it allows…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Nils Christophersen

Some systems cannot be predicted by classical theories and it is required the development of combined deterministic and stochastic theories that make used of noise for dynamical prediction. Noise is not always an interfering signal which…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-05-14 Alexandra Pinto Castellanos

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

In this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) was developed for the time series prediction. The hybrid ANN+PSO algorithm was applied on Mackey--Glass chaotic time series in the short-term…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-09-22 C. H. López-Caraballo , J. A. Lazzús , I. Salfate , P. Rojas , M. Rivera , L. Palma-Chilla

Recurrence entropy $(\cal S)$ is a novel time series complexity quantifier based on recurrence microstates. Here we show that $\mathsf{max}(\cal S)$ is a \textit{parameter-free} quantifier of time correlation of stochastic and chaotic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-19 Sergio Roberto Lopes , Thiago de Lima Prado , Gilberto Corso , Gustavo Zampier dos Santos Lima , Jurgen Kurths

The analysis of chaotic signals with time-frequency methods is considered. For this purpose, two new transformations are presented which consist in the decomposition of a signal onto an orthogonal set of respectively linear and hyperbolic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-07-28 Benjamin Ricaud , Francoise Briolle , F. Clairet

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold
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