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The 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes started with a magnitude (M) 6.5 quake on Apr 14 on the Hinagu fault zone (FZ), followed by active seismicity including an M6.4 quake. Eventually, an M7.3 quake occurred on Apr 16 on the Futagawa FZ. We…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-12-28 K. Z. Nanjo , A. Yoshida

The ability to measure, predict, and compute tsunami flow velocities is of importance in risk assessment and hazard mitigation. Substantial damage can be done by high velocity flows, particularly in harbors and bays, even when the wave…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 M. E. M. Arcos , Randall J. LeVeque

Pattern informatics (PI) technique can be used to detect precursory seismic activation or quiescence and make earthquake forecast. Here we apply the PI method for optimal forecasting of large earthquakes in Japan, using the data catalogue…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 K. Z. Nanjo , J. B. Rundle , J. R. Holliday , D. L. Turcotte

Stress evolution governs material failure across scales, from microscopic fractures to large earthquakes, yet direct observation of its dynamics in natural systems has remained elusive. Laboratory experiments using active ultrasonic…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-03 Nader Shakibay Senobari

The procedure by means of which the occurrence time of an impending mainshock can be identified by analyzing in natural time the seismicity in the candidate area subsequent to the recording of a precursory Seismic Electric Signals (SES)…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-08 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , M. S. Lazaridou-Varotsos

We present a simple model of earthquakes on a pre-existing hierarchical fault network. The system self-organizes on long time scales in a stationary state with a power law Gutenberg-Richter distribution of earthquake sizes. The largest…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Y. Huang , H. Saleur , C. G. Sammis , D. Sornette

We can observe the changes of Total Electron Content, TEC, in ionosphere by analyzing the data from GNSS satellites. There are many reports about TEC anomalies after earthquakes, i.e. large earthquakes often disturb the ionosphere. Up to…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-06-13 Takuya Iwata , Ken Umeno

The article discusses the possibilities of three-step early warning and short-term prediction of earthquakes based on the classical geological model of fault formation and a model of the generation of electromagnetic emissions detected…

Gaussian Processes (GPs) has experienced tremendous success in geoscience in general and for bio-geophysical parameter retrieval in the last years. GPs constitute a solid Bayesian framework to formulate many function approximation problems…

It has been shown [Phys. Rev. E 84, 022101 (2011); Chaos 22, 023123 (2012)] that earthquakes of magnitude $M$ greater or equal to 7 are globally correlated. Such correlations were identified by studying the variance $\kappa_1$ of natural…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-21 N. V. Sarlis , S. -R. G. Christopoulos , E. S. Skordas

Earthquakes cannot be predicted with precision, but algorithms exist for intermediate-term middle range prediction of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold, based on seismicity patterns. Few years ago, a first attempt was made in the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-07 G. F. Panza , A. Peresan , F. Sansò , M. Crespi , A. Mazzoni , A. Nascetti

Tsunamis can trigger internal gravity waves (IGWs) in the ionosphere, perturbing the Total Electron Content (TEC) - referred to as Traveling Ionospheric Disturbances (TIDs) that are detectable through the Global Navigation Satellite System…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Valentino Constantinou , Michela Ravanelli , Hamlin Liu , Jacob Bortnik

The University of Tokyo and JAMSTEC have conducted state-of-the-art wave and current resource assessments to assist with generator site identification and construction in Japan. These assessments are publicly-available and accessible via a…

It is shown that earthquakes do not know how large they will become, at least from the information collected at seismic catalogs. In other words, the magnitude is independent on previous magnitudes as well as on the waiting time between…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The recent evolution of induced seismicity in Central United States calls for exhaustive catalogs to improve seismic hazard assessment. Over the last decades, the volume of seismic data has increased exponentially, creating a need for…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-02-08 Thibaut Perol , Michaël Gharbi , Marine Denolle

Gravitational wave observatories have always been affected by tele-seismic earthquakes leading to a decrease in duty cycle and coincident observation time. In this analysis, we leverage the power of machine learning algorithms and archival…

Recently, slow earthquakes (slow EQ) have received much attention relative to understanding the mechanisms underlying large earthquakes and to detecting their precursors. Low-frequency earthquakes (LFE) are a specific type of slow EQ. In…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-02 Tomoki Tokuda , Hirohiko Shimada

In the nucleated instability picture of gas giant formation, the final stage is the rapid accretion of a massive gas envelope by a solid core, bringing about a tenfold or more increase in mass. This tends to trigger the scattering of any…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Edward W. Thommes

Earthquake monitoring is vital for understanding the physics of earthquakes and assessing seismic hazards. A standard monitoring workflow includes the interrelated and interdependent tasks of phase picking, association, and location.…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-06-27 Xu Si , Xinming Wu , Zefeng Li , Shenghou Wang , Jun Zhu

A theoretical analysis of the earthquake prediction problem in space-time is presented. We find an explicit structure of the optimal strategy and its relation to the generalized error diagram. This study is a generalization of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Molchan , V. Keilis-Borok
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