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We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

The precision of contouring target structures and organs-at-risk (OAR) in radiotherapy planning is crucial for ensuring treatment efficacy and patient safety. Recent advancements in deep learning (DL) have significantly improved OAR…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-30 Marvin Tom Teichmann , Manasi Datar , Lisa Kratzke , Fernando Vega , Florin C. Ghesu

Systematic mislabelling affecting specific subgroups (i.e., label bias) in medical imaging datasets represents an understudied issue concerning the fairness of medical AI systems. In this work, we investigated how size and separability of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Emma A. M. Stanley , Raghav Mehta , Mélanie Roschewitz , Nils D. Forkert , Ben Glocker

We show that ensembling effectively quantifies model uncertainty in Neural Radiance Fields (NeRFs) if a density-aware epistemic uncertainty term is considered. The naive ensembles investigated in prior work simply average rendered RGB…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Niko Sünderhauf , Jad Abou-Chakra , Dimity Miller

The interpretation of chest radiographs is an essential task for the detection of thoracic diseases and abnormalities. However, it is a challenging problem with high inter-rater variability and inherent ambiguity due to inconclusive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Florin C. Ghesu , Bogdan Georgescu , Eli Gibson , Sebastian Guendel , Mannudeep K. Kalra , Ramandeep Singh , Subba R. Digumarthy , Sasa Grbic , Dorin Comaniciu

The uncertainty measurement of classifiers' predictions is especially important in applications such as medical diagnoses that need to ensure limited human resources can focus on the most uncertain predictions returned by machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Xuchao Zhang , Fanglan Chen , Chang-Tien Lu , Naren Ramakrishnan

The Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is a hospital department where machine learning has the potential to provide valuable assistance in clinical decision making. Classical machine learning models usually only provide point-estimates and no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 David Ruhe , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti , Daan de Bruin , Paul Elbers

Trustworthy ML systems should not only return accurate predictions, but also a reliable representation of their uncertainty. Bayesian methods are commonly used to quantify both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, but alternative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Mira Jürgens , Nis Meinert , Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

We investigate the problem of autonomous object classification and semantic SLAM, which in general exhibits a tight coupling between classification, metric SLAM and planning under uncertainty. We contribute a unified framework for inference…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Vladimir Tchuiev , Vadim Indelman

Applications of large language models often involve the generation of free-form responses, in which case uncertainty quantification becomes challenging. This is due to the need to identify task-specific uncertainties (e.g., about the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Ziyu Wang , Chris Holmes

Classifiers are often tested on relatively small data sets, which should lead to uncertain performance metrics. Nevertheless, these metrics are usually taken at face value. We present an approach to quantify the uncertainty of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-05 Niklas Tötsch , Daniel Hoffmann

Research in neural networks in the field of computer vision has achieved remarkable accuracy for point estimation. However, the uncertainty in the estimation is rarely addressed. Uncertainty quantification accompanied by point estimation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Min-hwan Oh , Peder A. Olsen , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy

It has been rightfully emphasized that the use of AI for clinical decision making could amplify health disparities. An algorithm may encode protected characteristics, and then use this information for making predictions due to undesirable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Ben Glocker , Charles Jones , Melanie Bernhardt , Stefan Winzeck

Mammographic breast density is a well-established risk factor for breast cancer. Recently there has been interest in breast MRI as an adjunct to mammography, as this modality provides an orthogonal and highly quantitative assessment of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Yaqian Chen , Lin Li , Hanxue Gu , Haoyu Dong , Derek L. Nguyen , Allan D. Kirk , Maciej A. Mazurowski , E. Shelley Hwang

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in medical image enhancement problems, such as super-resolution or image synthesis. However, to date, little consideration has been given to uncertainty quantification over the output image. Here…

Learning unbiased models on imbalanced datasets is a significant challenge. Rare classes tend to get a concentrated representation in the classification space which hampers the generalization of learned boundaries to new test examples. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Salman Khan , Munawar Hayat , Waqas Zamir , Jianbing Shen , Ling Shao

Recent research in machine learning has given rise to a flourishing literature on the quantification and decomposition of model uncertainty. This information can be very useful during interactions with the learner, such as in active…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Arthur Hoarau , Vincent Lemaire

Medical image segmentation supports clinical workflows by precisely delineating anatomical structures and lesions. However, medical image datasets medical image datasets suffer from acquisition noise and annotation ambiguity, causing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Ruiyang Li , Fang Liu , Licheng Jiao , Xinglin Xie , Jiayao Hao , Shuo Li , Xu Liu , Jingyi Yang , Lingling Li , Puhua Chen , Wenping Ma

This paper explores uncertainty quantification (UQ) as an indicator of the trustworthiness of automated deep-learning (DL) tools in the context of white matter lesion (WML) segmentation from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of…

Applying a machine learning model for decision-making in the real world requires to distinguish what the model knows from what it does not. A critical factor in assessing the knowledge of a model is to quantify its predictive uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Sepp Hochreiter
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