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Accurate identification of parameters of load models is essential in power system computations, including simulation, prediction, and stability and reliability analysis. Conventional point estimation based composite load modeling approaches…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Chang Fu , Zhe Yu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Caisheng Wang , Zhiwei Wang , Jie Li

The scientific method relies on the iterated processes of inference and inquiry. The inference phase consists of selecting the most probable models based on the available data; whereas the inquiry phase consists of using what is known about…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-19 N. K. Malakar , K. H. Knuth

Several statistical and machine learning methods are proposed to estimate the type and intensity of physical load and accumulated fatigue . They are based on the statistical analysis of accumulated and moving window data subsets with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Sergii Stirenko , Gang Peng , Wei Zeng , Yuri Gordienko , Oleg Alienin , Oleksandr Rokovyi , Nikita Gordienko

The new method is proposed to monitor the level of current physical load and accumulated fatigue by several objective and subjective characteristics. It was applied to the dataset targeted to estimate the physical load and fatigue by…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-01-19 Yuri Gordienko , Sergii Stirenko , Yuriy Kochura , Oleg Alienin , Michail Novotarskiy , Nikita Gordienko

Analytic continuation of numerical data obtained in imaginary time or frequency has become an essential part of many branches of quantum computational physics. It is, however, an ill-conditioned procedure and thus a hard numerical problem.…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2016-08-18 Dominic Bergeron , A. -M. S. Tremblay

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient method for solving expensive, black-box optimization problems. Stochastic programming concerns optimization under uncertainty where, typically, average performance is the quantity of interest. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-19 Jack M. Buckingham , Ivo Couckuyt , Juergen Branke

In this work, we present a statistical treatment of stress-life (S-N) data drawn from a collection of records of fatigue experiments that were performed on 75S-T6 aluminum alloys. Our main objective is to predict the fatigue life of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-13 Ivo Babuska , Zaid Sawlan , Marco Scavino , Barna Szabó , Raúl Tempone

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

In recent times, products have become increasingly complex and highly reliable, so failures typically occur after long periods of operation under normal conditions and may arise from multiple causes. This paper employs simple step-stress…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Rathin Das , Soumya Roy , Biswabrata Pradhan

The measurement of the efficiency of an event selection is always an important part of the analysis of experimental data. The statistical techniques which are needed to determine the efficiency and its uncertainty are reviewed. Frequentist…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-28 Diego Casadei

Empirical force fields employed in molecular dynamics simulations of complex systems can be optimised to reproduce experimentally determined structural and thermodynamic properties. In contrast, experimental knowledge about the rates of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-12 P. G. Bolhuis , Z. F. Brotzakis , B. G. Keller

We extend the weighted ensemble (WE) path sampling method to perform rigorous statistical sampling for systems at steady state. The straightforward steady-state implementation of WE is directly practical for simple landscapes, but not when…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 Divesh Bhatt , Bin W. Zhang , Daniel M. Zuckerman

We introduce a novel approach based on stochastic optimization to find the optimal sampling distribution for the data-driven stability analysis of switched linear systems. Our goal is to address limitations of existing approaches, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Alexis Vuille , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient method for black-box global optimization. How- ever, the performance of a Bayesian optimization method very much depends on its exploration strategy, i.e. the choice of acquisition function, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-06 Bobak Shahriari , Ziyu Wang , Matthew W. Hoffman , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Nando de Freitas

We employ the Bayesian improved cross entropy (BiCE) method for rare event estimation in static networks and choose the categorical mixture as the parametric family to capture the dependence among network components. At each iteration of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Jianpeng Chan , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used to draw conclusions about populations from sample data, typically represented in tables. With the prevalence of graph representations in real-life applications, hypothesis testing in graphs is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-27 Yun Wang , Chrysanthi Kosyfaki , Sihem Amer-Yahia , Reynold Cheng

Accurate force fields are essential for reliable molecular simulations. These models are refined against quantum mechanical calculations and experimental measurements, which are subject to random and systematic errors. Bayesian Inference of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Robert M. Raddi , Vincent A. Voelz

In this article we consider a simple step stress set up under the cumulative exposure model assumption. At each stress level the lifetime distribution of the experimental units are assumed to follow the generalized exponential distribution.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-18 Debashis Samanta , Debasis Kundu , Ayon Ganguly

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Connor Smith , Samuel Muller