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We propose a novel class of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms, appropriate for inference in probabilistic graphical models. This class of algorithms adopts a divide-and-conquer approach based upon an auxiliary tree-structured…

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have a drawback when working with a target distribution or likelihood function that is computationally expensive to evaluate, specially when working with big data. This paper focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Asif J. Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

The goal of this article is to introduce the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method -- a Hamiltonian dynamics-inspired algorithm for sampling from a Gibbs density $\pi(x) \propto e^{-f(x)}$. We focus on the "idealized" case, where one can…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

The implementation of multi-stage splitting integrators is essentially the same as the implementation of the familiar Strang/Verlet method. Therefore multi-stage formulas may be easily incorporated into software that now uses the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Cédric M. Campos , J. M. Sanz-Serna

We consider the problem of sampling from posterior distributions for Bayesian models where some parameters are restricted to be orthogonal matrices. Such matrices are sometimes used in neural networks models for reasons of regularization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-24 Viktor Yanush , Dmitry Kropotov

Simulation of many-particle system evolution by molecular dynamics takes to decrease integration step to provide numerical scheme stability on the sufficiently large time interval. It leads to a significant increase of the volume of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-05-19 Eduard G. Nikonov

Assume interest is in sampling from a probability distribution $\mu$ defined on $(\mathsf{Z},\mathscr{Z})$. We develop a framework for sampling algorithms which takes full advantage of ODE numerical integrators, say…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-17 Christophe Andrieu , Mauro Camara Escudero , Chang Zhang

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) methods are increasingly used for the approximation of distributions and related intractable integrals in the context of Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) algorithms are a subclass of AIS…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-08 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo can provide powerful inference in complex statistical problems, but ultimately its performance is sensitive to various tuning parameters. In this paper we use the underlying geometry of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-03 M. J. Betancourt , Simon Byrne , Mark Girolami

We analyse computational efficiency of Metropolis-Hastings algorithms with stochastic AR(1) process proposals. These proposals include, as a subclass, discretized Langevin diffusion (e.g. MALA) and discretized Hamiltonian dynamics (e.g.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-23 Richard A. Norton , Colin Fox

Accurate and efficient estimation of rare events probabilities is of significant importance, since often the occurrences of such events have widespread impacts. The focus in this work is on precisely quantifying these probabilities, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou , Hamed Nikbakht , Elsayed Eshra

We study a Monte Carlo algorithm for simulation of probability distributions based on stochastic step functions, and compare to the traditional Metropolis/Hastings method. Unlike the latter, the step function algorithm can produce an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Torquil Macdonald Sørensen , Fred Espen Benth

The Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov Chain Monte Carlo schemes for generating samples from Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm is asymptotically exact, flexible and easy to implement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Estevão Prado , Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

We present a class of non-standard numerical schemes which are modifications of the discrete gradient method. They preserve the energy integral exactly (up to the round-off error). The considered class contains locally exact discrete…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-08-08 Jan L. Cieśliński , Bogusław Ratkiewicz

Model comparison for the purposes of selection, averaging and validation is a problem found throughout statistics. Within the Bayesian paradigm, these problems all require the calculation of the posterior probabilities of models within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-08 Yan Zhou , Adam M Johansen , John A D Aston

In this paper we propose to evaluate and compare Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to estimate the parameters in a generalized extreme value model. We employed the Bayesian approach using traditional Metropolis-Hastings methods,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-03 Marcelo Hartmann , Ricardo Ehlers

This overview is devoted to splitting methods, a class of numerical integrators intended for differential equations that can be subdivided into different problems easier to solve than the original system. Closely connected with this class…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Sergio Blanes , Fernando Casas , Ander Murua

The leapfrog integrator is routinely used within the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method and its variants. We give strong numerical evidence that alternative, easy to implement algorithms yield fewer rejections with a given computational effort.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-05 M. P. Calvo , D. Sanz-Alonso , J. M. Sanz-Serna

In Bayesian inference, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm known for its efficiency in sampling from complex probability distributions. However, its application to models with latent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-15 Alaa Amri , Víctor Elvira , Amy L. Wilson

We study statistical model checking of continuous-time stochastic hybrid systems. The challenge in applying statistical model checking to these systems is that one cannot simulate such systems exactly. We employ the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar , Tigran Nagapetyan