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In this note we find a formula for the supremum distribution of spectrally positive or negative L\'evy processes with a broken linear drift. This gives formulas for ruin probabilities in the case when two insurance companies (or two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Zbigniew Michna

A new jump diffusion regime-switching model is introduced, which allows for linking jumps in asset prices with regime changes. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the risk-sensitive asset management criterion…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-21 Grzegorz Andruszkiewicz , Mark H. A. Davis , Sébastien Lleo

Generalizing earlier works of Delbaen & Haezendonck [5] as well as of [18] and [16] for given compound mixed renewal process S under a probability measure P, we characterize all those probability measures Q on the domain of P such that Q…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

In this paper, we study an optimal reinsurance-investment problem in a risk model with two dependent classes of insurance business, where the two claim number processes are correlated through a common shock component. We assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Xia Han , Zhibin Liang

Indirect Inference (I-I) is a popular technique for estimating complex parametric models whose likelihood function is intractable, however, the statistical efficiency of I-I estimation is questionable. While the efficient method of moments,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-19 Veronika Czellar , David T. Frazier , Eric Renault

We prove an exact fourth moment bound for the normal approximation of random variables belonging to the Wiener chaos of a general Poisson random measure. Such a result -- that has been elusive for several years -- shows that the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-01 Christian Döbler , Giovanni Peccati

Let $\mathbf{B}(t)=(B_1(t), B_2(t))$, $t\geq 0$ be a two-dimensional Brownian motion with independent components and define the $\mathbf{\gamma}$-reflected process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Timofei Shashkov

In this paper, we investigate the problem of optimal strategies of dividend and reinsurance under the Cram\'{e}r-Lundberg risk model embedded with the thinning-dependence structure which was firstly introduced by Wang and Yuen (2005),…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-02 Mi Chen , Kam Chuen Yuen , Wenyuan Wang

We find the optimal indemnity to minimize the probability of ruin when premium is calculated according to the distortion premium principle with a proportional risk load, and admissible indemnities are such that both the indemnity and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Bahman Angoshtari , Virginia R. Young

Stein's (1972) method is a very general tool for assessing the quality of approximation of the distribution of a random element by another, often simpler, distribution. In applications of Stein's method, one needs to establish a Stein…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrew D. Barbour , Vydas Cekanavicius , Aihua Xia

We introduce the hybrid risk process, constructed via a time-change transformation applied to the solution of a hybrid stochastic differential equation. The framework covers several modern ruin settings, incorporating features like…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Oscar Peralta , Habacuq Vallejo

We re-visit the classical problem of optimal payment of dividends and determine the degree to which the diffusion approximation serves as a valid approximation of the classical risk model for this problem. Our results parallel some of those…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Asaf Cohen , Virginia R. Young

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

We consider two insurance companies with endowment processes given by Brownian motions with drift. The firms can collaborate by transfer payments in order to maximize the probability that none of them goes bankrupt. We show that pushing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Peter Grandits , Maike Klein

The results of Koml\'{o}s, Major and Tusn\'{a}dy give optimal Wiener approximation of partial sums of i.i.d. random variables and provide an extremely powerful tool in probability and statistical inference. Recently Wu [Ann. Probab. 35…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-14 István Berkes , Siegfried Hörmann , Johannes Schauer

A common method for assessing validity of Bayesian sampling or approximate inference methods makes use of simulated data replicates for parameters drawn from the prior. Under continuity assumptions, quantiles of functions of the simulated…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-21 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nadja Klein

We propose a new approach to quantize the marginals of the discrete Euler diffusion process. The method is built recursively and involves the conditional distribution of the marginals of the discrete Euler process. Analytically, the method…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Gilles Pagès , Abass Sagna

The Gerber-Shiu function provides a way of measuring the risk of an insurance company. It is given by the expected value of a function that depends on the ruin time, the deficit at ruin, and the surplus prior to ruin. Its computation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-12 Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We investigate models of the life annuity insurance when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset with price following a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu