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In experimental design, we are given a large collection of vectors, each with a hidden response value that we assume derives from an underlying linear model, and we wish to pick a small subset of the vectors such that querying the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Michał Dereziński , Kenneth L. Clarkson , Michael W. Mahoney , Manfred K. Warmuth

Predicting which action (treatment) will lead to a better outcome is a central task in decision support systems. To build a prediction model in real situations, learning from biased observational data is a critical issue due to the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Akira Tanimoto , Tomoya Sakai , Takashi Takenouchi , Hisashi Kashima

In various applications, the potential outcome of a unit may be influenced by the treatments received by other units, a phenomenon known as interference, as well as by prior treatments, referred to as carryover effects. These phenomena…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-27 Haoyang Yu , Wei Ma , Hanzhong Liu

Transforming a causal system from a given initial state to a desired target state is an important task permeating multiple fields including control theory, biology, and materials science. In causal models, such transformations can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Jiaqi Zhang , Chandler Squires , Caroline Uhler

The shapes of functions provide highly interpretable summaries of their trajectories. This article develops a novel transfer learning methodology to tackle the challenge of data scarcity in functional linear models. The methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-16 Shuhao Jiao , Ian W. Mckeague

This paper explains why internal and external validity cannot be simultaneously maximised. It introduces "evidential states" to represent the information available for causal inference and shows that routine study operations (restriction,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-01 Daniel D. Reidpath

Machine learning models trained on uncurated datasets can often end up adversely affecting inputs belonging to underrepresented groups. To address this issue, we consider the problem of adaptively constructing training sets which allow us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Greg Fields , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Tara Javidi

Acquiring and training on large-scale labeled data can be impractical due to cost constraints. Additionally, the use of small training datasets can result in considerable variability in model outcomes, overfitting, and learning of spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Jiashu Tao , Reza Shokri

Causal discovery, the problem of inferring the direction of causality, is generally ill-posed. We use the language of structural causal models (SCM) to show that assuming that the causal relations are acyclic and invariant across multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Francesco Montagna , Francesco Locatello

Standard stochastic optimization methods are brittle, sensitive to stepsize choices and other algorithmic parameters, and they exhibit instability outside of well-behaved families of objectives. To address these challenges, we investigate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Hilal Asi , John C. Duchi

Classifiers trained solely on labeled source data may yield misleading results when applied to unlabeled target data drawn from a different distribution. Transfer learning can rectify this by transferring knowledge from source to target…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Junjun Lang , Yukun Liu

Causal learning has long concerned itself with the accurate recovery of underlying causal mechanisms. Such causal modelling enables better explanations of out-of-distribution data. Prior works on causal learning assume that the high-level…

It has long been hypothesised that causal reasoning plays a fundamental role in robust and general intelligence. However, it is not known if agents must learn causal models in order to generalise to new domains, or if other inductive biases…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Jonathan Richens , Tom Everitt

We study an information-theoretic minimax problem for finite multivariate Markov chains on $d$-dimensional product state spaces. Given a family $\mathcal B=\{P_1,\ldots,P_n\}$ of $\pi$-stationary transition matrices and a class $\mathcal F…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Zheyuan Lai , Michael C. H. Choi

Despite the rich existing literature about minimax optimization in continuous settings, only very partial results of this kind have been obtained for combinatorial settings. In this paper, we fill this gap by providing a characterization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Loay Mualem , Ethan R. Elenberg , Moran Feldman , Amin Karbasi

Visual representations underlie object recognition tasks, but they often contain both robust and non-robust features. Our main observation is that image classifiers may perform poorly on out-of-distribution samples because spurious…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Chengzhi Mao , Kevin Xia , James Wang , Hao Wang , Junfeng Yang , Elias Bareinboim , Carl Vondrick

We consider ill-posed inverse problems where the forward operator $T$ is unknown, and instead we have access to training data consisting of functions $f_i$ and their noisy images $Tf_i$. This is a practically relevant and challenging…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Miguel del Alamo

Despite decades of research, SE lacks widely accepted models (that offer precise quantitative stable predictions) about what factors most influence software quality. This paper provides a promising result showing such stable models can be…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Suvodeep Majumder , Tianpei Xia , Rahul Krishna , Tim Menzies

Human learners have the natural ability to use knowledge gained in one setting for learning in a different but related setting. This ability to transfer knowledge from one task to another is essential for effective learning. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 T. Tony Cai , Hongji Wei

Transfer learning involves taking information and insight from one problem domain and applying it to a new problem domain. Although widely used in practice, theory for transfer learning remains less well-developed. To address this, we prove…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Jake Williams , Abel Tadesse , Tyler Sam , Huey Sun , George D. Montanez